Kalshi Super Bowl LX Odds: How Event Contracts Settled - RotoGrinders
Super Bowl LX is over, and the Kalshi Super Bowl LX odds board is no longer “live” on the prediction market app. However, just because the markets have settled, that doesn’t mean you can’t learn more about how those contracts settled after the final whistle, and what to look for the next time a big game board pops up.
TL;DR
- Super Bowl LX is officially over: Seattle Seahawks 29, New England Patriots 13.
- The winner’s “Yes” contract settles at $1.00. The loser’s “Yes” settles at $0.00. The “No” side is the reverse.
- Before kickoff, the cents price showed what traders thought would happen.
- A lot of people tried to fund right before kickoff, and some deposits lagged. If timing matters, fund your account earlier.
Kalshi Super Bowl Odds at a Glance
Seattle beat New England 29-13 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III was named Super Bowl MVP.
If you were trading the championship market on Kalshi, here’s what that settlement meant:
| Team | If you bought “Yes” | If you bought “No” |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | Settles to $1.00 | Settles to $0.00 |
| New England Patriots | Settles to $0.00 | Settles to $1.00 |
Long story short, the market only cares about one thing at the end: did the event happen, yes or no?
What “Kalshi Super Bowl Odds” Meant
Kalshi isn’t posting sportsbook odds. You were trading event contracts.
- Each contract has a $1.00 face value at settlement.
- Before settlement, it trades in cents (or dollars). 62¢ is the same as $0.62.
- That price is the market’s implied probability in real time. (62¢ ≈ 62% implied, before fees.
- Here, your risk is literally what you pay.
For example, let’s say you bought Seattle “Yes” at $0.62:
- If Seattle wins, that contract settles to $1.00.
- Your gross profit is $1.00 minus $0.62 = $0.38 per contract.
- Fees come out on top of that and are shown before you place the order.
If Seattle loses, that contract settles to $0.00 and you’re out what you paid (plus fees).
How to Trade a Super Bowl Market on Kalshi
- Sign up on Kalshi and complete verification.
- Fund your account.
- Search for the Super Bowl market hub or the “Pro Football Champion” style market.
- Pick your outcome.
- Choose “Yes” or “No” (depending on how the market is structured).
- Choose an order type:
- Market order: you’re accepting whatever the best available price is in the order book when your order hits.
- Limit order: you’re naming your price. If the market never trades there, you might never get filled.
- Enter your size and confirm.
What “close your position” means
Closing your position is just exiting before settlement.
- If you bought “Yes,” you close by selling “Yes” back to the market.
- If the price moved in your favor, you can lock in profit without waiting for the game to end.
- And if it moved against you, you can cut the loss instead of riding it all the way to $0.
Once a market stops trading, you’re done. You can’t “close” after the door is locked. That’s why timing matters.
Deposits Were Delayed on Super Bowl Sunday. What Can I Do Next Time?
If you tried to fund right before kickoff and things didn’t hit instantly, it wasn’t “bad luck.” It was poor planning.
During the Super Bowl traffic surge, Kalshi said some transfers/deposits were delayed because of the volume of activity on the app. To avoid this next year, fund earlier in the day (or the day before), don’t assume “I’ll deposit at 6:20 pm ET” is a real plan, and if you’re going to trade anything time-sensitive, test your funding flow ahead of time so you know what to expect.
Other Super Bowl LX Markets Kalshi Listed
The “who wins” market gets the spotlight, but Kalshi also had a bunch of side markets that played way better for people who like props and weird edges. Here’s what you could’ve traded on:
- Commercials (will a specific brand run a Super Bowl ad?)
- Halftime show markets (like what Bad Bunny song comes first)
- Broadcast-style markets (things like mentions, milestones, and other on-air outcomes)
- Game and player markets (MVP, team totals, margins, etc.)
Why People Used Kalshi for Super Bowl LX Instead of a Sportsbook
If you already live on DraftKings and/or FanDuel, Kalshi feels different for three reasons:
- You’re buying and selling positions, not placing one-way slips.
- You can use limit orders and actually see the order book.
- Pricing is crowd-driven, meaning the market moves when people move it.
- This is also why you can’t treat a busy board like it’s automatically “right.” Liquidity tells you it’s active, but it doesn’t guarantee the crowd nailed the outcome.
- You have access to markets beyond just sports, including politics, pop culture, and world news.
- And lastly you get potentially better pricing, though you should always shop around for odds, as they might be more favorable at other sites such as Polymarket (which has started rolling out a U.S. app again).
Availability and Legal Reality Check
Kalshi describes itself as a CFTC-regulated exchange, but sports-style event contracts have been under pressure from state regulators.
As of February 2026, a Massachusetts judge ordered Kalshi to stop offering sports-event contracts in the state within 30 days unless it gets a state gaming license. Separately, a federal judge in Tennessee temporarily blocked state regulators from enforcing a cease-and-desist that targeted Kalshi’s sports event contracts.
If you’re traveling, or if you’re in a state that’s actively pushing back, do a quick in-app check before you assume the sports markets are available.
Super Bowl Odds at Kalshi FAQs
Is the Super Bowl LX market still trading on Kalshi?
No. Super Bowl LX ended February 8, 2026, and the markets tied to the game are settled.
How does Kalshi settle Super Bowl champion contracts?
Settlement is binary: $1.00 if the event happened, $0.00 if it didn’t. For a two-team championship matchup, the winner’s “Yes” goes to $1.00 and the loser’s “Yes” goes to $0.00.
When do payouts hit after the Super Bowl ends?
Timing varies by market and by banking rails, but many sports contracts show a projected payout shortly after the outcome is official. If you’re planning around “immediately,” don’t. Treat it as “after the result is confirmed.”
How old do you have to be to use Kalshi?
Kalshi’s account eligibility requirement is 18+.
How much activity did Kalshi see during the Super Bowl?
Kalshi said it saw over $325 million in volume less than an hour before kickoff during the Super Bowl traffic surge.
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