MLB Daily Grind Down April 20th Night Games Part2
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
| Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Edwin Jackson (0-2 REC, 6.06 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Hiram Burgos (0-0 REC, 0.00 ERA, 0.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 42-137 (0.307) H/AB, 0.934 OPS, 6 HR, 23 Ks | PvB | 0-0 (0) H/AB, 0 OPS, 0 HR, 0 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 90.1 IP, 4.78 ERA, 0.255 BAA, 7.5 K/9 | HOME | 0 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHC BvP  | CHC vs R | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored MIL -110
Pitchers
- Home Hiram Burgos was the Brewers’ minor league pitcher of the year last year and he comes off a great showing for Puerto Rico in the World Baseball Classic. His K/9 ratio is expected to be in the mid 7s. He will be cheap and has GPP upside versus a Cubs team batting .271 over the last 7 days but only 195 on the road. In Play
- Away Edwin Jackson location has been poor in his first three starts and this has led to him giving up 11 ER in 16.1 IP of work. He was a bad away pitcher a year ago but he did pitch well in his only start in MIL. He gave up no runs over 7 IP. His Ks are still there, at 20, but he faces a MIL team batting .263 over the last 7 days with 11 HRs. MIL as a team sports a very lofty .307 BAA against him and the sample size is large. Avoid
Batters
- Home Carlos Gomez, Rickie Weeks, and Yuniesky Betancourt are the only 3 brewers who do not have a plus .300 BAA vs. Jackson. The team is a combined 42-137 with 6 HRs. I would roll with all the hot hitters.
- Away Alfonso Soriano has really turned it on. Also heating up is David DeJesus. Wellington Castillo, Nate schierholtz and Starlin Castro are swinging well at the plate also. MIL is known to have a hitter’s park. You have to like all those guys versus the prospect. Anthony Rizzo may only be batting .185 on the season but he has 5 HRs.
Oakland at Tampa Bay
| Oakland | Tampa Bay | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropicana Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Jarrod Parker (0-2 REC, 10.80 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Jeremy Hellickson (0-1 REC, 4.91 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 10-38 (0.263) H/AB, 0.921 OPS, 2 HR, 5 Ks | PvB | 9-49 (0.184) H/AB, 0.633 OPS, 2 HR, 6 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 81.1 IP, 4.54 ERA, 0.257 BAA, 7.6 K/9 | HOME | 100.2 IP, 3.22 ERA, 0.245 BAA, 7.3 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| OAK BvP | OAK vs R | TBR BvP | TBR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored TAM -135
Pitchers
- Home Jeremy Hellickson is favored to get the win today. Anytime I see the number over -130 it instill confidence in me to take the player. He looks to finally have gotten back on track in his last start in BOS. He takes the hill against an OAK team that is batting .275 on the season and .325 on the road. He had great year and Vegas likes him today. In Play
- Away Jarrod Parker was not a good road pitcher last year. This year he has also been getting hit hard at home. Tampa Bay has been almost as bad batting .217 over the last 7 days. In a game like this someone is going to get back on track. I do not think it will be Parker on the road though. Avoid
Batters
- Home Outside of Evan Longoria and Ben Zobrist, production has been hard to come by for TAM. There is not enough BvP data to make an educated guess. I think the Rays will win out at home, though, and I like James Loney, Matt Joyce, and/or Desmond Jennings to have a good game.
- Away Jed Lowrie and Seth Smith are both still batting over .400 on the season. Coco Crisp is battin .345 and 5 HRs with 4 SBs. The cold, Josh Reddick, has good BvPs today and nice splits.
Seattle at Texas
| Seattle | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Brandon Maurer (1-2 REC, 9.95 ERA, 4.0 Avg IP) | Nick Tepesch (1-1 REC, 3.46 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 5-23 (0.217) H/AB, 0.652 OPS, 0 HR, 5 Ks | PvB | 9-26 (0.346) H/AB, 0.923 OPS, 1 HR, 5 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 0 | HOME | 0 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SEA BvP | SEA vs R | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 10
- Favored TEX -170
Pitchers
- Home Nick Tepesch just got hit pretty hard by this same SEA team five days ago in Seattle. He faces them today in a much more hitter friendly park. He is the huge favorite by Vegas but the OU is very high also. His K/9 has been solid. If you can still get him for the minimum then you can think about using him as a second or third pitcher. Otherwise, Avoid
- Away Brandon Maurer last start versus Texas at home was encouraging but you would have to be crazy to take him today in Arlington when he is slated a -170 dog in a game expected to clip 10 runs. Avoid
Batters
- Home All of the rangers are in play again. Forget the last time these two teams faced. Left-handers are batting .393 versus Maurer and right-handers .333. He was able to scatter his hits last time. Probably will not be so lucky today.
- Away I cannot recommend anyone from SEA as bad as they have been hitting. If you want to take chance on a sleeper roll with one of the big bats and pray for a HR. Justin Smoak fits the bill.
Arizona at Colorado
| Arizona | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Trevor Cahill (0-2 REC, 3.50 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Jorge De La Rosa (1-1 REC, 3.86 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 28-100 (0.28) H/AB, 0.79 OPS, 3 HR, 22 Ks | PvB | 18-72 (0.25) H/AB, 0.764 OPS, 2 HR, 13 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 102 IP, 2.91 ERA, 0.221 BAA, 6.8 K/9 | HOME | 3 IP, 6 ERA, 0.333 BAA, 6 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ARI BvP | ARI vs L | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored COL -117
Pitchers Yesterdays game turned into a pitchers duel but that is not the norm for COL. If you feel like gambling then Trevor Cahill has pitched well to start the season and is a better pitcher on the road than at home. Avoid
Batters
- Home Dexter Fowler is 4-5 vs. Cahill with 2 3B. Tyler Colvin, Josh Rutledge, and Wilin Rosario also have positive BvPs. Carlos Gonzalez is killing right-handed pitching right now.
- Away Paul Goldschmidt looks in line for a big game today. I like all the ARI bats though. Don’t forget about A.J. Pollock he is a nice value play. Also look to value at 2B.
San Diego at San Francisco
| San Diego | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 9:05 PM | ||||||
| Clayton Richard (0-1 REC, 5.28 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Tim Lincecum (1-0 REC, 5.63 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 42-141 (0.298) H/AB, 0.816 OPS, 4 HR, 11 Ks | PvB | 47-195 (0.241) H/AB, 0.79 OPS, 8 HR, 56 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 123.1 IP, 4.74 ERA, 0.284 BAA, 4.1 K/9 | HOME | 102 IP, 4.15 ERA, 0.242 BAA, 8.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SDP BvP | SDP vs R | SFG BvP | SFG vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored SFO -158
Pitchers
- Home Tim Lincecum still has a great K/9 ratio. He has struggled but the upside is still there. SD has been turning it on lately batting .270 but are batting only .245 on the road. Lincecum is capable of GPP winning performances and he catches a golden matchup vs. a team that he has pitched well against in the past. Target
- Away Clayton Richards is that dream matchup. He has a horrible 4.74 road ERA. SFO has been real hot lately and they sport a combined .298 BAA vs. him. Even against weak teams his K/9 ratio is too low.
Batters
- Home You can feel good about taking anyone you like from SFO in this one. There is no one who has overwhelmingly good numbers but everyone’s data is positive. SFO is batting .276 versus right-handed pitching and .270 as a team.
- Away Carlos Quentin has good numbers vs. Tim. He is 3-7 with an HR versus him. Yonder Alonso normally hits righties pretty well and is swinging a nice stick and the red hot Chris Denorfia is still batting .375 on the year.