MLB Daily Grind Down April 25th Night Games
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Cincinnati at Washington
| Cincinnati | Washington | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals Park | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Bronson Arroyo (2-1 REC, 3.54 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Gio Gonzalez (1-1 REC, 5.85 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 36-115 (0.313) H/AB, 0.791 OPS, 1 HR, 15 Ks | PvB | 15-60 (0.25) H/AB, 0.75 OPS, 0 HR, 19 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 6 IP, 6 ERA, 0.227 BAA, 3 K/9 | HOME | 16 IP, 4.5 ERA, 0.224 BAA, 8.4 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CIN BvP  | CIN vs L | WSN BvP | WSN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored WAS -137
Pitchers
- Home Gio Gonzalez takes the hill as the favorite in this one but it is hard to like a pitcher that has made it only 14 IP over his last 3 starts giving up 13 ER over that time. His K totals have been solid and he takes the hill versus a CIN team batting .245 on the road, .296 versus left-handers and .275 over the last 7 days. The BvP numbers also slightly favor them. Avoid
- Away Bronson Arroyo holds teams to just few enough runs and gets just enough Ks to be a matchup play. He is the dog here on the road versus a WAS team that is slumping over the last 7 days batting only .189. However, the BvPs favor them heavily. Arroyo pitched better on the road last year than he did at home. He could get the win today but it is a risky bet.
Batters
- Home Ian Desmond, Bryce Harper, Danny Espinosa and Ryan Zimmerman have encouraging BvPs. Harper and Desmond have been swing the bat well and I think this team gets to Arroyo a little.
- Away Brandon Phillips and Todd Frazier have been hot and draw the left-hander today. Brandon Phillips is killing lefties so far this year. Jay Bruce Shin Choo-Choo and Joey Votto have encouraging BvPs versus Gonzalez and the lefty has been really struggling lately
Toronto at NY Yankees
| Toronto | NY Yankees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankee Stadium | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Mark Buehrle (1-0 REC, 5.87 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | Hiroki Kuroda (2-1 REC, 2.35 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 130-417 (0.312) H/AB, 0.839 OPS, 12 HR, 62 Ks | PvB | 37-145 (0.255) H/AB, 0.786 OPS, 6 HR, 32 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 4.1 IP, 10.38 ERA, 0.35 BAA, 4.2 K/9 | HOME | 10.1 IP, 1.74 ERA, 0.225 BAA, 5.2 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TOR BvP | TOR vs R | NYY BvP | NYY vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored NYY -142
Pitchers
- Home Hiroki Kuroda was an outstanding pitcher at home last year. He has been outstanding no matter where he has pitched this year. He is 2-1 with 19 Ks and 6 ER over 23 IP of work in 4 starts. He draws a TOT team that is batting .214 on the road, .226 versus right-handers and .203 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away Mark Buehrle first two starts were horrible. His last couple have gone better. He went 13.1 IP with 4 ER and 10 Ks. He might be in a good spot to produce since he draws a NYY team batting .243 at home, only .199 versus left-handers, and .221 over the last 7 days. He could be a good against the grain play in a GPP if you fade Kuroda
Batters
- Home Even the left-handers have great numbers versus Buerle. There is not a bad BvP play up and down the list of hitters so it becomes a game of which numbers you want to look at. Personally, I use recent performances as my tie-breaker and the Yankees have looked lost against left-handers so I am avoiding them today but it could get real ugly real fast for Buehrle
- Away Jose Bautista has 2 HRs in 8 AB versus Kuroda. J.P. Arencibia is 6-12 versus him with 1 HR. Rajai Davis has some nice BvP numbers also if he plays
Chicago Cubs at Miami
| Chicago Cubs | Miami | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Edwin Jackson (0-3 REC, 4.84 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Kevin Slowey (0-2 REC, 1.90 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 28-81 (0.346) H/AB, 0.988 OPS, 3 HR, 11 Ks | PvB | 12-38 (0.316) H/AB, 0.868 OPS, 1 HR, 6 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 11 IP, 2.45 ERA, 0.163 BAA, 7.4 K/9 | HOME | 12.1 IP, 2.19 ERA, 0.306 BAA, 5.1 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CHC BvP | CHC vs R | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored CHC -115
Pitchers
- Home What happens when a very stoppable force collides with an easy to move object? Kevin Slowey has been very sharp to start the season. Yet, he takes the hill at home as the slight dog today against a CHC team that batting only .200 on the road, .235 versus right-handers, and .243 over the last 7 days. This might be the only time I recommend taking Slowey all year but I think he could get the win today.
- Away Edwin Jackson has been very good on the road so far this year. His two starts in Wrigley have been pretty bad. He was a 4.78 pitcher on the road last year so I am not sure that is a trend that will continue. His K totals are what you like to see and he pairs against a MIA team that is batting only .179 at home, only .216 versus right-handers and .242 over the last 7 days. The have struggled to get hits but have only 147 Ks on the year so I do not think this is the give me that you usually see with the Marlins considering how well his opponent has pitched so far.
Batters
- Home I cannot recommend anyone from the Marlins until the start producing a higher OBP than .279.
- Away David DeJesus is 7-20 versus Slowey with 5 XBHs and 1 HR. The way Slowey has been pitching and the way the Cubs have struggled to produce runs scares me off of everyone else.
Texas at Minnesota
| Texas | Minnesota | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Nick Tepesch (1-1 REC, 3.07 ERA, 4.2 Avg IP) | Vance Worley (0-2 REC, 7.11 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 0-0 (0) H/AB, 0 OPS, 0 HR, 0 Ks | PvB | 2-9 (0.222) H/AB, 0.444 OPS, 0 HR, 2 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 5.2 IP, 6.35 ERA, 0.346 BAA, 7.9 K/9 | HOME | 7 IP, 12.86 ERA, 0.405 BAA, 5.1 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TEX BvP | TEX vs R | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
- OU 8.5
- Favored TEX -116
Pitchers
- Home After getting shelled in his first 3 starts, Vance Worley put in a very solid performance his last time out going 7 IP with 1 ER and 7 Ks. It was against the struggling CHW, though. He catches a TEX team batting, .248 on the road, .259 versus right-handers, and .261 over the last 7 days. I think we see stats more in line with his first three starts than his last one. Avoid
- Away Nick Tepesch is coming off an injury that pulled him out of his last start after only 1.2 IP. His first 2 big league starts went well for him so he has promise but I am not sure how much the wrist will effect him today. He draws A MIN team batting .225 on the road, .237 versus right-handers, and .224 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau remain the only two MIN players to consider based off of their lefty/righty splits. The team is struggling to score but catch a pitcher who started the year in triple A so there should be some chances today.
- Away Worley just switched leagues so there is not much BvP data. Just look at the splits pages above though and you will see many great plays. Adrian Beltre is a guy I also like today because he has been heating up and his salary is still pretty low on some sites.