MLB Daily Grind Down: Wednesday, September 18th Part 2

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2013-09-18 16:31:23

Miami vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	Miami – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.231	0.623	19.80%	0.43		0.248	0.694	19.90%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.230	0.613	19.70%	0.31		0.253	0.701	19.90%	0.41
SP STATS	Eovaldi – RHP					Miner – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.35	3.80	6.50	8.35		1.57	3.72	6.60	1.93
LAST 14 DAYS	1.64	4.09	6.55	9.00		1.75	4.50	6.75	1.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIA vs R		MIA BvP			PHI vs R		PHI BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Nathan Eovaldi – If you look at Eovaldi’s numbers on the season, he really hasn’t been a bad pitcher. He has a 3.80 ERA and a K rate of 6.5 per 9 innings. Those are very respectable numbers. However, he plays on the Marlins so he rarely gets enough run support and you need a win from your pitcher. Starter Rating = 4

• Zach Miner – Miner is a 31 year old relief pitcher making a spot start for the Phillies. Even though he has a decent matchup, I don’t think he will pitch very deep into this one. Starter Rating = 3

Batter Grind Down

MIA – Miner is making a spot start, so this could be an opportunity to get a couple Marlins in your lineup. Christian Yelich and Giancarlo Stanton both look like solid plays against the righty.

PHI – Eovaldi’s splits don’t really favor left or right hand hitters, but I do like the matchup for Chase Utley. He has been on fire in this series and is still very affordable on most sites.

NY Yankees vs. Toronto

7:07 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Toronto – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.246	0.685	19.40%	0.55		0.252	0.733	18.00%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.688	19.60%	0.42		0.254	0.744	18.00%	0.49
SP STATS	Hughes – RHP					Happ – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.43	5.07	7.52	6.93		1.53	5.15	7.51	7.21
LAST 14 DAYS	1.91	9.64	6.43	0.73		1.64	3.86	8.36	8.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs L		NYY BvP			TOR vs R		TOR BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Phil Hughes – Hughes is just not a recommended fantasy option at this point. There is a reason that he was demoted to the bullpen a couple weeks ago. Starter Rating = 3

• J.A. Happ – Happ is another one of those inconsistent pitchers that you never know what to expect from. He has an ERA close to 5.00 on the season and is facing a Yankees team that has actually been pretty good against lefties since acquiring Soriano. I think this will be a high scoring game. Starter Rating = 3

Batter Grind Down

NYY – The Yankees really need to string together some wins if they are going to have any shot at the Wild Card. I think they have a big night offensively against Happ. Alfonso Soriano and Alex Rodriguez are my two favorites here.

TOR – Jose Reyes, Adam Lind, and Brett Lawrie all hit right hand pitching well and Hughes just hasn’t been very good. Also, keep your eye on Moises Sierra as a value play, he is batting in the middle of that order and is 6/11 off of Hughes.

San Francisco vs. NY Mets

7:10 PM	San Francisco – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.692	16.90%	0.51		0.239	0.683	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.264	0.706	16.90%	0.41		0.238	0.679	21.90%	0.41
SP STATS	Cain – RHP					Harang – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.16	4.24	7.87	9.61		1.32	5.70	6.92	7.09
LAST 14 DAYS	1.45	2.03	5.50	9.05		0.83	4.50	15.00	13.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SFG vs R		SFG BvP			NYM vs R		NYM BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Matt Cain – Cain has been unlucky all season long. His WHIP and strikeout numbers are very similar to last year yet he has given up a lot more runs. I think the luck turns around for him tonight against the Mets. That pitcher friendly ballpark should work to his benefit. Starter Rating = 8

• Aaron Harang – If you ever decide to roll out Aaron Harang as your starting pitcher, you certainly won’t be able to feel confident about it. He has a 5.70 ERA on the season and faces a Giants offense that is batting over .300 in their last 7 games. Starter Rating = 3

Batter Grind Down

SF – The Giants offense has been hot over the last week, especially one bat in particular. Hunter Pence now has 5 HR’s in his last 5 games. I think that will cool off a little bit in Citi Field, but they do have a nice matchup.

NYM – The Mets offense is terrible at home. They also have a bad matchup against Matt Cain. This is an easy one to avoid.

Texas vs. Tampa Bay

7:10 PM	Texas – ROAD					Tampa Bay – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.262	0.740	16.80%	0.62		0.262	0.748	18.70%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.261	0.731	17.10%	0.46		0.274	0.751	18.30%	0.48
SP STATS	Holland – LHP					Archer – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.31	3.40	8.11	11.00		1.10	3.03	6.52	9.85
LAST 14 DAYS	2.14	8.78	4.81	2.37		1.36	4.61	8.86	7.73
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TEX vs R		TEX BvP			TBR vs L		TBR BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Derek Holland – Holland is coming off of 3 bad starts in a row, all of which he got stuck with the loss. While that means his price has come down a bit, the Rays are one of the best teams in baseball against left hand pitching. Starter Rating = 4

• Chris Archer – Archer is a pitcher that I love to take at home. He has a 2.67 ERA at home and has a pretty decent K rate. While the matchup against the Rangers is tough, he should be able to pitch well enough to pick up the win. Starter Rating = 6

Batter Grind Down

TEX – I’m not too high on the Rangers bats tonight. They are the underdogs in what should be a low scoring game.

TB – Evan Longoria and Wil Myers are two guys that have been swinging a hot bat. They are also two guys that hit lefties well. I think Holland continues to struggle.

Baltimore vs. Boston

7:10 PM	Baltimore – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.264	0.755	18.10%	0.63		0.273	0.780	20.40%	0.68
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.267	0.767	18.00%	0.52		0.260	0.743	20.60%	0.48
SP STATS	Chen – LHP					Peavy – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.25	3.99	6.68	9.26		1.12	4.03	7.41	10.68
LAST 14 DAYS	1.49	5.51	12.30	9.37		1.50	5.25	6.00	6.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	BAL vs R		BAL BvP			BOS vs L		BOS BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Wei-Yin Chen – I’m not a fan of taking pitchers against the Red Sox and I’m guessing that most Grinders aren’t either. Chen has an average ERA, average K rate, and a below average matchup. Starter Rating = 2

• Jake Peavy – Peavy has really pitched well for the Red Sox but draws a tough matchup against the Orioles tonight. They have some powerful hitters that could turn a good start into a bad one with only one swing of the bat. I think Peavy could get the win, but that will likely come with a few earned runs. Starter Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

BAL – At this point, Chris Davis is in play anytime he faces a right hand pitcher in a hitter friendly park. Even when it looks like he flies out, the ball just keeps carrying. I like him tonight against Peavy.

BOS – The Red Sox are a nice stacking option tonight. Chen has really struggled with the Sox this year with an ERA close to 10.0 against them. I really like Dustin Pedroia leading off, but all Sox are in play.

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