Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat - Game 4, April 24
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Jrue Holiday, Duncan Robinson, and Jimmy Butler? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Monday, April 24, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
On Monday evening, the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat will play Game 4 of their opening-round playoff series. Miami won the series opener by a final score of 130-117. Milwaukee got even with a 138-122 victory in Game 2. The Heat dominated game 3 in a 22-point win. Ahead of tip-off tonight, Giannis Antetokounmpo is once again listed as questionable as the team continues to monitor his back injury, but he is expected to suit up.
Tonight, the Bucks are priced as 7.5-point favorites on the spread and the total is set at over/under 218 points.
We are 33-32-1 on player prop recommendations to begin the postseason. For those who would prefer to attack the player prop market rather than a side or total, we have three leans below for tonight’s action!
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NBA Player Props – Bucks vs. Heat, April 24, 2023
- Jrue Holiday o17.5 points
- Duncan Robinson o8.5 points
- Jimmy Butler less than 28.5 points
Jrue Holiday o17.5 points (-110), BetMGM
Though Giannis Antetokounmpo is widely expected to play on Monday night against the Miami Heat, it is unclear how close to 100 percent health he will be when he steps on the floor. If Antetokounmpo is limited or restricted in any way, Jrue Holiday is the player who is most likely to benefit for the Milwaukee Bucks on the offensive end of the floor. According to props.cash, Jrue Holiday has eclipsed this market number in 10 of the last 12 games in which he has played with Antetokounmpo out of the lineup. In each of the first three games of this series, Holiday has attempted no fewer than 18 shot attempts or played fewer than 33 minutes. Even if Antetokounmpo suits up this evening, Holiday, who averaged 19.3 points per game during the regular season, should have a healthy number of shot attempts, which will give him a great opportunity to hit the over in this spot.
Duncan Robinson o8.5 points (+100), DraftKings
As this series has progressed, Duncan Robinson has seen a larger and larger role within the Miami Heat offense. Robinson had only two field goal attempts in six minutes of playing time in Game 1, but he was entrusted with eight shot attempts in Game 2 and another nine shot attempts in Game 3 – both games in which Robinson saw at least 24 minutes of court time. Robinson was far more useful at home than he was on the road this year, averaging 7.7 points on 37.1% shooting from beyond the arc at home compared to 5.1 points per game on 28.4% shooting from deep on the road. Assuming he sees north of 20 minutes on the court tonight, he should have a great opportunity to eclipse this market number on Monday evening.
NBA DFS Pick’em
Jimmy Butler less than 28.5 points, PrizePicks
We ran this same play in Game 3 and lost, with Jimmy Butler scoring 30 points. However, he still only had 19 shot attempts and was an incredulous 4-for-4 from beyond the arc. Butler has proven himself to be a much more aggressive offensive force in the postseason compared to the regular season, but this market number is still far too high for a player who averaged only 22.9 points per game this year and is worse than 35.0% from the three-point line for his career. During the 2021-2022 playoffs, Butler averaged a career-high 19.3 shot attempts per game, but still only managed to average 27.4 points across 17 postseason contests. It is not likely that Butler will continue to shoot the ball this well from distance. Assuming he takes fewer than 20 shot attempts again tonight, we should get our money back here.
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