Breaking Down Maxdalury's Dominance in the DK MEGA Payoff Pitch

As maxdalury likes to say, I had a hunch my 721st team would be my best. Maxdalury and his 888 lineups absolutely dominated last night’s DraftKings $1 Million MEGA Payoff Pitch, taking home five of the top 10 spots and 29 of the top 100 spots, including the $100,000 first place prize. He took home more than $221,000 in prizes making him not only the highest paid fantasy MLB player on the evening, but the highest paid player in the baseball world, finishing ahead of Clayton Kershaw, who earns $190,000 per game.

Let’s take a look at how he did it.

First, maxdalury took a major stand on pitchers. He chose Kershaw (37.35 points) in 884 of his 888 lineups and paired him with Matt Shoemaker (24.75 points) in 859 of those 884 lineups.

Next, maxdalury doubled down on the Toronto Blue Jays’ bats. He had at least one Blue Jay in 505 of his 888 lineups and had 165 Blue Jays stacks (4+ hitters). Below is the breakdown of Blue Jays hitters in maxdalury’s lineups:

PlayerPointsmaxdaluryField
Josh Donaldson4828.2%24.3%
Jose Bautista2527.5%9.7%
Danny Valencia023.0%20.7%
Jose Reyes715.8%10.9%
Steve Tolleson714.6%3.5%
Edwin Encarnacion09.0%11.1%
Chris Colabello58.7%25.0%
Josh Thole197.1%2.2%
Kevin Pillar05.0%1.4%

Finally, he filled out his lineups with top hitters:

PlayerPointsmaxdaluryField
Prince Fielder2612.4%4.7%
Ryan Raburn2164.2%10.2%
Denard Span1723.9%4.9%
Joey Butler179.6%10.2%

Many of you are thinking to yourself “I could do that if I had the bankroll.” Here are some stats highlighting maxdalury’s epic night:

• Maxdalury cashed 51% of his lineups. Of the 21 users who entered 100+ lineups, only one (AshyL4rry – 54%) had a higher percentage of lineups finish in the money.

• Only three of those 21 users turned a profit. The average user with 100+ entries lost $1,200, and two users lost more than $10,000.

• 10 of those 21 users didn’t have a single lineup finish in the top 1,000.

Now let’s take a look at the rest of the field:

# of Entries# of Users% of Users% of Lineups CashedBest FinishROI
17,26764.5%22.5%7-26%
21,62214.4%23.5%49-31%
36916.1%25.2%36-22%
44313.8%25.7%12-18%
52382.1%25.0%131-28%
6-105474.9%25.5%5-9%
11-253182.8%25.9%233%
26-50990.9%23.8%29-27%
51-99260.2%25.3%42-22%
100+210.2%25.7%1117%

The majority of users entered one or two lineups. The single-entry hero last night was jaebberwock, who finished seventh for $7,500 with a lineup of Kershaw, deGrom, Gonzalez, Reyes, Raburn, Montero, Walker, Venable, Donaldson and Butler.

There has been some discussion about how mass multi-entry and stacking affects the cash line in GPPs. The table below shows last night’s Payoff Pitch had the lowest cash line compared to the other big GPPs and 50/50s.

TournamentBuy-InCash Line
50/50$300 147.25
Gold Glove$1,060 145.15
50/50$5 142.10
50/50$10 141.10
50/50$50 140.65
Perfect Game$300 140.15
50/50$100 139.45
50/50$25 135.25
Moonshot$3 132.90
Payoff Pitch$27 131.45

The $1 Million MEGA Payoff Pitch attracted approximately 11,300 users. To put that in perspective, the millionaire series DK ran for NFL attracted 30,000-35,000 users per week, and the PGA millionaire game for the Masters last month attracted nearly 50,000 users.

So what’s the takeaway from all this? Maxdalury is an absolute beast at mass multi-entry tournaments. With all the discussion about multi-entry and stacking, he said it best in a tweet earlier today: “Was just one of those days where all my core went off.”

About the Author

  • baseballs (baseballs)

  • Chad Hancher is a western Pennsylvania native and 2005 graduate of Penn State who’s been hooked on DFS since 2011. He currently resides in Alexandria, VA with his wife and works as a statistician in Washington DC. You can find him on twitter at baseballsDFS.

Comments

  • mski9

    How much did he pay in entry fees on that? And congrats, what a haul !

  • ssbledsoe

    • 2015 FanDuel WFBBC Finalist

    No matter how clearly you lay out the stats, there will always be folks that believe that multi-entry and stacking are “bad” for DFS. Congrats to Max. Mass Multi-entry is definitely a skill that isn’t “just clicking buttons”

  • aka_the_goat

    HUGE night for Max and a great recap here. Well done!

  • jhn7537

    Well, 888 (entries) x $27 (each entry cost) = $23,976 he tossed into the contest

    Very nice ROI I’d say ;)

  • baseballs

    obviously many of these entries were purchased at a discount through qualifiers but all the stats in the article assume each entry was $27.

  • emac

    • Ranked #90

      RG Tiered Ranking

    Thank you for taking the time to lay this out baseballs!

  • bhdevault

    • Lead Moderator

    • Blogger of the Month

    Awesome article! Thanks!

  • fightingjohn

    bankroll talks and will always will. Bound to hit a great lineup with that amount of entries. Not much skill in that

  • holla2mlo

    • Blogger of the Month

    amazing! someone should break down or ask boggs about his lineups i saw they also did super well

  • CUTiger81

    Congrats, that’s a great night. Really puts it into perspective when you consider he made more than Kershaw last night.

  • shaneomiz

    awesome! must be an amazing feeling! Congrats!

  • Mod518

    Great article. His shares of Shoemaker are really interesting. I wonder if he had some Buchholz shares and global swaped due to the weather. Would love to hear from him

  • Syko

    @Mod518 said...

    Great article. His shares of Shoemaker are really interesting. I wonder if he had some Buchholz shares and global swaped due to the weather. Would love to hear from him

    Shoemaker had a lot of things to like yesterday. Not to mention the likely low ownership %. I don’t think it’s terribly surprising but it could be that some of the shares came from Buchholz.

  • GQ1NYC

    I want to know how he goes about entering the 888 lineups and keeping track of inactives and stuff. I had 22 lineups in the contest and it took me a long time to construct those lineups.

  • SouthernShield

    @fightingjohn said...

    bankroll talks and will always will. Bound to hit a great lineup with that amount of entries. Not much skill in that

    He cashed over 50% of his entries. Lots of skill involved in that.

  • jonsousa46

    I can’t even fathom putting 100 lineups in a GPP, yet alone 888. Congrats on the big score Max!

  • VChair23

    • 924

      RG Overall Ranking

    Well done review

  • tthousand66

    He was basically all in with two pitchers, so that took some balls on a night with many good pitching choices both on paper and after the games were played. And even though Kershaw was the obvious top pick of the night, he cost a ton. We bow before you, Maxdalury!

  • drinkgood3

    • 380

      RG Overall Ranking

    I was top 30 and hated max last night but congrats to him, I couldn’t believe how many lineups he has

  • ckamins87

    • 2016 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2016 FanDuel WFBBC Finalist

    @fightingjohn said...

    bankroll talks and will always will. Bound to hit a great lineup with that amount of entries. Not much skill in that

    lol…#facepalm

  • kings2609

    @fightingjohn said...

    bankroll talks and will always will. Bound to hit a great lineup with that amount of entries. Not much skill in that

    Did you not read the article at all? Well done Max and what you do takes skill

  • jgallagher80

    yes but also how many qualifiers did he enter that didn’t cash

  • cmbarbee226

    Max is legit. If you think just because he had that many entries he is bound to do well, I encourage you to take his action in H2H every night. Your bankroll will suffer for it.

  • Mindgame247

    It’s so baller to have the same two pitchers on 859 of your 888 line-ups. Even if one of them is kershaw I would have guessed there would be a lot more diversification with so many entries. Congrats to Max and thanks to baseballs for an excellent article!

  • Dcbthink

    @GQ1NYC said...

    I want to know how he goes about entering the 888 lineups and keeping track of inactives and stuff. I had 22 lineups in the contest and it took me a long time to construct those lineups.

    Same question. I don’t understand how he got 888 lineups in without using some sort of program. Anyone know if he repeats or was every lineup unique?

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