Breaking Down Maxdalury's Dominance in the DK MEGA Payoff Pitch

As maxdalury likes to say, I had a hunch my 721st team would be my best. Maxdalury and his 888 lineups absolutely dominated last night’s DraftKings $1 Million MEGA Payoff Pitch, taking home five of the top 10 spots and 29 of the top 100 spots, including the $100,000 first place prize. He took home more than $221,000 in prizes making him not only the highest paid fantasy MLB player on the evening, but the highest paid player in the baseball world, finishing ahead of Clayton Kershaw, who earns $190,000 per game.

Let’s take a look at how he did it.

First, maxdalury took a major stand on pitchers. He chose Kershaw (37.35 points) in 884 of his 888 lineups and paired him with Matt Shoemaker (24.75 points) in 859 of those 884 lineups.

Next, maxdalury doubled down on the Toronto Blue Jays’ bats. He had at least one Blue Jay in 505 of his 888 lineups and had 165 Blue Jays stacks (4+ hitters). Below is the breakdown of Blue Jays hitters in maxdalury’s lineups:

PlayerPointsmaxdaluryField
Josh Donaldson4828.2%24.3%
Jose Bautista2527.5%9.7%
Danny Valencia023.0%20.7%
Jose Reyes715.8%10.9%
Steve Tolleson714.6%3.5%
Edwin Encarnacion09.0%11.1%
Chris Colabello58.7%25.0%
Josh Thole197.1%2.2%
Kevin Pillar05.0%1.4%

Finally, he filled out his lineups with top hitters:

PlayerPointsmaxdaluryField
Prince Fielder2612.4%4.7%
Ryan Raburn2164.2%10.2%
Denard Span1723.9%4.9%
Joey Butler179.6%10.2%

Many of you are thinking to yourself “I could do that if I had the bankroll.” Here are some stats highlighting maxdalury’s epic night:

• Maxdalury cashed 51% of his lineups. Of the 21 users who entered 100+ lineups, only one (AshyL4rry – 54%) had a higher percentage of lineups finish in the money.

• Only three of those 21 users turned a profit. The average user with 100+ entries lost $1,200, and two users lost more than $10,000.

• 10 of those 21 users didn’t have a single lineup finish in the top 1,000.

Now let’s take a look at the rest of the field:

# of Entries# of Users% of Users% of Lineups CashedBest FinishROI
17,26764.5%22.5%7-26%
21,62214.4%23.5%49-31%
36916.1%25.2%36-22%
44313.8%25.7%12-18%
52382.1%25.0%131-28%
6-105474.9%25.5%5-9%
11-253182.8%25.9%233%
26-50990.9%23.8%29-27%
51-99260.2%25.3%42-22%
100+210.2%25.7%1117%

The majority of users entered one or two lineups. The single-entry hero last night was jaebberwock, who finished seventh for $7,500 with a lineup of Kershaw, deGrom, Gonzalez, Reyes, Raburn, Montero, Walker, Venable, Donaldson and Butler.

There has been some discussion about how mass multi-entry and stacking affects the cash line in GPPs. The table below shows last night’s Payoff Pitch had the lowest cash line compared to the other big GPPs and 50/50s.

TournamentBuy-InCash Line
50/50$300 147.25
Gold Glove$1,060 145.15
50/50$5 142.10
50/50$10 141.10
50/50$50 140.65
Perfect Game$300 140.15
50/50$100 139.45
50/50$25 135.25
Moonshot$3 132.90
Payoff Pitch$27 131.45

The $1 Million MEGA Payoff Pitch attracted approximately 11,300 users. To put that in perspective, the millionaire series DK ran for NFL attracted 30,000-35,000 users per week, and the PGA millionaire game for the Masters last month attracted nearly 50,000 users.

So what’s the takeaway from all this? Maxdalury is an absolute beast at mass multi-entry tournaments. With all the discussion about multi-entry and stacking, he said it best in a tweet earlier today: “Was just one of those days where all my core went off.”

About the Author

  • baseballs (baseballs)

  • Chad Hancher is a western Pennsylvania native and 2005 graduate of Penn State who’s been hooked on DFS since 2011. He currently resides in Alexandria, VA with his wife and works as a statistician in Washington DC. You can find him on twitter at baseballsDFS.

Comments

  • nonamejoe

    Even one player can be a huge variance, we all know this. We’ve all lost and won games by .25 pts, with some guy getting a hit either for or against us in the ninth to win it. So even if 90% of his lineups were all the same, the variance with the other 10% is huge.

  • MRCOOKONUTS

    I find that amount of entries absolutely disgusting!
    As long as the rules allow so be it but not a fan of these type things.

  • jakz101

    • 583

      RG Overall Ranking

    • $1M Prize Winner

    • x5

      2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    There is some really great info in this article. Thanks for the work.

  • ATLSoulchild

    How does he create so many lineups? Is there some sort of site that lets you export lineups into DraftKings?

  • dpapa01

    How did you get access to all these statistics? Did draftkings give you the data? Did you hand count how many of each player max used?

  • theriot326

    Did you not read the article? Lol

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