Primetime Parlay: Chiefs vs. Bills Same Game Parlay Picks
Same game parlays are more popular than ever on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings. Follow along as Joe Cistaro builds his own Chiefs vs Bills same-game parlay ahead of their divisional-round matchup on Sunday, January 21, 2024.
Here we go again. The NFL presents another meeting of Patrick Mahomes versus Josh Allen — a rivalry that seems fated to be historic, as both AFC powerhouses continue to cross paths in the postseason. The Bills beat the Chiefs in the regular season on the way to running the table to make the playoffs as the second seed. The Chiefs, in what seemed to be a down regular season, left no doubt in their opening-round victory against the Dolphins last weekend. Who will come out on top this time as the teams meet in Buffalo? With enough excitement around the action on the field on Sunday night, let’s add a same-game parlay on FanDuel Sportsbook to only enhance the occasion.
Chiefs vs. Bills Same Game Parlay Preview
The Bills are 2.5-point favorites at the time of this writing with a little better than half of the betting action falling on Buffalo. Despite the slight majority on the Bills’ betting spread, the line has dropped a half-point toward the Chiefs throughout the week. Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs- should we expect any less?
Both teams come into this contest with identities that are a bit different than those of prior meetings. The Bills can lean on a rushing attack now, while the Chiefs can do the same with a very good defense. On the road, the Chiefs might choose to lean on Isiah Pacheco and the timely Patrick Mahomes play while the defense looks to take advantage of the occasional miscue from Josh Allen.
Neither team seemed to have any difficulty moving on in the Wild Card Round. The Bills burst out to a huge lead thanks to strong offensive play and good fortune with the turnover margin. Meanwhile, the Dolphins never seemed to be in the same orbit as the Chiefs as the ridiculous cold did a number on Miami’s offensive rhythm. Both defenses did a great job of stifling the opposing offense, as a rematch between the two titans became cleared as each game proceeded.
For Sunday night, the Bills will miss the services of Gabe Davis and CB Christian Benford. Stefon Diggs was removed from the injury report, and Buffalo seems optimistic that both Taron Johnson (concussion) and Rasul Douglas (knee) will play against the Chiefs. The presence of both corners will be a big boost against a Patrick Mahomes-led offense.
For the Chiefs, both Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore will not play in the divisional round. The emergence of Rashee Rice has made both receivers less vital to the Chiefs’ offensive game plans. Kansas City also elevated two defensive tackles — Mike Pennell and Matt Dickerson. The loss of Derrick Nnadi and potentially Charles Omenihu resulted in Kansas City looking for depth in the position.
Historically, sports bettors would anticipate a shootout between the two offensive juggernauts. Instead, FanDuel posts a 45.5 implied game total for the contest. Per ScoresAndOdds, 63% of tickets found the over this week while 69% of actual money was bet on the under. This type of betting action pushes one to attack the under, as the sharper, larger bets project a low total. Given the defensive play on both sides of the football coupled with occasional offensive struggles, a low score could be in the works.
Patrick Mahomes was inefficient in the victory over an ailing Dolphins defense. Mahomes completed 23 of 41 passes for 262 yards and only one touchdown. Undeniably, the brutally cold weather had plenty to do with passing game struggles, but the Chiefs have found something with Rashee Rice. Rice exploded for 130 yards on 8 catches and a touchdown. Lacking a play maker on the outside for some time, Rice seems to finally be growing into the role at the perfect time.
On the other hand, Josh Allen was pretty efficient in the victory against Pittsburgh, throwing three touchdowns with zero turnovers. The Bills’ defense took the wheel, as Buffalo often leaned on the legs of both Josh Allen and James Cook. Leonard Fournette was cut before this round, and it seems Buffalo will go back to battle with Ty Johnson and Latavius Murray backing up the dynamic James Cook. When the Bills pipped the Chiefs in Kansas City in Week 14, Cook was the engine.
The running back saw 15 touches for a total of 141 yards and one touchdown. The Chiefs have shut down top receivers from opposing offenses all season. Stefon Diggs caught a measly 4 passes on 11 targets in Week 14. The path for the Bills could be to win a close game with James Cook as the focal point of the offense.
Let’s pick some props. The best way to make an exciting game more exciting is some betting action.
Same Game Parlay Picks for Chiefs at Bills
- Buffalo -2.5
- Cook Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
- Rice Over 71.5 Receiving Yards
- Allen Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
Buffalo -2.5
The heart wants what the heart wants on Sunday night. I want to see Buffalo finally exorcise the Kansas City demons in the playoffs and think this is by far their best chance.
First, the Bills are at home. Second, the Kansas City offense is not the offense that has given Josh Allen and company fits over the last few years. Instead, one can argue that Allen will be in command of a more explosive offense with a home-field advantage. While Rashee Rice has exploded onto the scene, Kansas City doesn’t seem to have another go-to option, as Travis Kelce has severely shown his age over the last couple of months.
I think this game goes down to the wire but love that we have the hook at the time of this writing. Book the Bills.
James Cook Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
In the regular season, the Bills leaned heavily on James Cook because the Chiefs are so effective on the outside against receivers. Without Gabe Davis, the Bills will look to fill the gap with Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. Yet, won’t more of the work just go to James Cook?
Cook has shown he is probably the best play maker on the Buffalo Bills aside from his quarterback. I think the Bills will need to get the ball to him quickly this game.
Rashee Rice Over 71.5 Receiving Yards
With Travis Kelce producing at a far lower level, I think Rashee Rice continues to be the top option for Patrick Mahomes when he has to throw the football. As evidenced by last week’s performance, Patrick Mahomes is still going to throw the ball 35+ times. With very few options at his disposal, I think Rice sees 10+ targets again.
Rice has shown some big-play upside during this metamorphosis. I think he has a big game in a loss.
Josh Allen Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
Finally, with the playoffs here, Buffalo has no reason to keep Josh Allen wrapped in bubble wrap. Wins are necessary, and the Bills’ offense is going to flow through their star quarterback throughout the game.
Often that means Allen is going to get loose in the secondary for big runs. The Bills will also design runs for the quarterback and dare linebackers and secondary defenders to make a tackle. Josh Allen at full speed is nearly impossible to bring down.
Statistics are out the window. The Bills are looking to get to the Super Bowl. I think Allen’s legs will play a key role to the Bills moving on.
Chiefs vs. Bills Parlay Odds
- Buffalo -2.5
- James Cook Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice Over 71.5 Receiving Yards
- Josh Allen Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
FanDuel Sportsbook offers the following odds:
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Parlay Odds: +1028
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 5.14 units
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