Primetime Parlay: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Picks
ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool simulates NFL contests thousands of times using RotoGrinders’ NFL Statistical Projections. Along with the simulations, we will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sports betting sites to find the best price for our same-game parlay ticket. For this article, we build a Wild Card Weekend same-game parlay for the Cowboys vs. Buccaneers .
Tom Brady and the Buccaneers survived the inept NFC South to earn a home game in the NFC playoffs. En route to Tampa Bay for the playoff matchup will be the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys factored into the top seed in the playoffs until the final week of the season. For the Cowboys, a road game in Tampa Bay does not seem like a great reward for a great season. That said, the Cowboys have struggled to close the season and will need to get it together to beat Tom Brady and company on the road. Let’s preview the game and make some picks for our same-game parlay ticket on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Same Game Parlay for Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
At the time of this writing, FanDuel Sportsbook institutes the Cowboys as 2.5-point road favorites in the wild card playoff matchup. The Buccaneers, per SAO, are getting most of the spread betting action, though. Per SAO, 57% of tickets and 70% of betting handle sit on the Tampa Bay side. Perhaps sharper bettors think Tom Brady gets it done again.
As for our game total, the number sits at 45.5. Bettors of all types like the over in this one with 58% of tickets and 72% of betting handle favoring going over the point total in this game. Both defenses are known for stalwart play but have struggled as of late.
With regard to injuries, Julio Jones and Carlton Davis should play. The returning Davis will draw CeeDee Lamb and be a big boost to the Tampa defense. Stay tuned on the offensive line situation as Nick Leverett and Donovan Smith are questionable. Any leaks on the offensive line could provide a big advantage for the Cowboys defensive front with Tom Brady possessing zero mobility.
Cowboys C Tyler Biadasz looks poised to return from his ankle injury. He would be a big boost to the run game. Similarly, Leighton Vander Esch is questionable with his shoulder injury and would be a big improvement to the Dallas defense. The Dallas defense has struggled without the aggressive linebacker. With all of the short throws by Tom Brady, Van Esch will certainly be a boost.
Like the Giants versus Vikings game yesterday, this game feels too close to call. Can we find enough props to avoid taking a side in our same-game parlay ticket? Let’s have a look.
Same Game Parlay Picks – Cowboys & Buccaneers Props
Leonard Fournette Over 38.5 Rushing Yards
Playoff Lenny unloaded on the Cowboys in Week 1 with 127 rushing yards. While that level of production has escaped the veteran back, this number seems a bit preposterous.
The way to beat the Cowboys is on the ground to avoid a frightening pass rush. The Buccaneers throw the football in abundance but would be wise to keep Tom Brady off of his back by using their running backs. Fournette should see double-digit carries in this one if the Bucs elect to run the ball more, and even a paltry average would exceed this total.
ParlayIQ is on board with 59% of simulations supporting this prop.
Tony Pollard Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
Here we go again.
Another receiving total for a running back he says. What could go wrong? Tony Pollard needs to be unleashed in this contest against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Even if the Cowboys continue to give the ball to Zeke, Dallas cannot get away from using one of their best offensive weapons in a playoff scenario. Right? Right?
ParlayIQ supports this over with a 63% hit rate when coupled with our first prop. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Color me insane.
Ezekiel Elliott Under 50.5 Rushing Yards
Let’s stick with the Dallas backfield. My love for Tony Pollard continues to make me bearish on Zeke.
The Cowboys can get him there on shear volume, but 51 rushing yards is no easy hurdle for the veteran back to clear. With far less agility and speed, Zeke is the Cowboys ram that earns his 3-4 yards per touch. If the Cowboys were to ever fall behind, this number is so far off of the table.
We need to mix in some unders and ParlayIQ is in favor of including this as a complement to our other selections.
Dalton Schultz Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Finally, we land on a coin flip. Instead of picking a touchdown in this contest, I am going to take a side on a prop that ParlayIQ is split down the middle on.
The Buccaneers allowed 83 catches to the tight end position during the season, which ranked in the bottom third of the NFL. ParlayIQ seems to be very confused about which Dallas receiver will see the volume — preferring the under on CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup but the over on Noah Brown. I am not comfortable with that confusion.
Instead, give me Schultz. We know he will see volume against a defense that doesn’t clamp down on tight ends. We could do far worse.
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Parlay Odds
- Leonard Fournette Over 38.5 Rushing Yards
- Tony Pollard Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
- Ezekiel Elliott Under 50.5 Rushing Yards
- Dalton Schultz Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
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ParlayIQ offers the following recommended price for our ticket:
FanDuel Sportsbook prices our ticket like so:
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PLACE THIS BET ON Parlay Odds: +1068
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 5.34 units
Good luck with all of your bets and plays this weekend. Share your parlays with me on Twitter and any other plays you are making for the game. First touchdown scorers? Touchdowns? DFS lineups? Thanks for reading.
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