Daily Batter Breakdown: Fri, July 11th

by Jon Schiller (Varncass) Last Updated 2014-07-11 15:12:49

Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Each day, with at least 8 games on the night slate, I’ll breakdown some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup. The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him. Be sure to check out the FAQ for more information on specific stats.

Was looking down the line at all of the games being played on this Friday and definitely saw a really balanced schedule until I noticed that there was a game in Coors with an over/under of 10.5. I hate to always dwell on it but the fact is that Coors Field will have the higher scoring games at season’s end and it is financially important to continue to consider players from those games.

		Brian McCann
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.209	0.590	2.84%	0.264
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.235	0.728	5.88%	0.325
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Gonzalez – RIGHT			0.259	0.740	9.34%	0.331
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.057	1.073	$2,900	$5,635	$7,400	$3,700	$59,700	$5,000	$7,300

Brian McCann

I feel like I continue to tout McCann day in and day out because I know his numbers this year are not reflective of his career numbers and I expect him to turn it around. He’s got great career numbers against right handed pitching and is hitting in Camden Yards which is very favorable to the left handed hitters and is facing a guy in Miguel Gonzalez tonight who hasn’t been great at all in ERA, WHIP or wOBA against in his years in the majors. McCann is cheap and I still think you’re getting a bargain for using him tonight.

		David Ortiz
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.245	0.827	6.13%	0.349
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.235	0.922	5.88%	0.382
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Feldman – RIGHT			0.248	0.671	7.43%	0.309
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.074	1.035	$3,800	$7,497	$10,550	$5,100	$84,000	$8,200	$10,300

David Ortiz

Feldman is kind of boring, he just goes out there and gets the job done every night giving up a few runs but never really having a terrible start which is why I don’t really like the Red Sox as stack options tonight. I do like Ortiz however who has a 1.019 OPS against right handed pitching in the last 3 years and was hitting well just a week ago. Ortiz has the moxie for a clutch hit and I think he needs it here. I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see him jack a solo shot right when the Sox need it tonight.

		Brian Dozier
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.253	0.828	6.90%	0.361
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.154	0.454	3.85%	0.203
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		De La Rosa – LEFT			0.279	0.771	9.39%	0.350
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.273	1.146	$3,000	$7,319	$9,300	$4,400	$70,500	$7,700	$8,900

Brian Dozier

The man who is the most unlikely candidate to participate in the home run derby that is has to be Brian Dozier. Yes, he’s having a great season, but no, he’s not a great home run hitter which puzzles me about the selection. Anyways, I love him today not only because of home run potential in Coors Field but also because of the fact that he crushes left handed pitching. De La Rosa has allowed 11 homers to righties with a .825 OPS and Dozier in his career has hit .900 against lefties. Load him up tonight at 2nd base.

		Nick Castellanos
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.291	0.852	3.49%	0.370
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.263	0.785	0.00%	0.36
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Duffy – LEFT			0.212	0.643	11.61%	0.297
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.082	0.971	$2,600	$4,399	$6,100	$3,300	$56,600	$4,900	$6,100

Nick Castellanos

Another new name this year is Castellanos but he’s proving that he belongs especially against lefties. His .852 OPS is solid and so is the Tigers’ entire lineup who has put up double digit runs a few times this week. Today they face Danny Duffy and even though he has been solid, I’m definitely selling on Duffy today.

		Troy Tulowitzki
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.389	1.269	9.72%	0.529
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.375	0.849	0.00%	0.378
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Johnson – LEFT			0.314	0.810	22.22%	0.388
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.273	1.146	$4,700	$10,294	$14,250	$5,600	$99,600	$10,000	$13,500

Troy Tulowitzki

Kris Johnson is a spot starter for the Twins who isn’t very good and has a north of 4 ERA in all of the minor leagues since he turned pro in 2006. He did well with the Indy Indians in 2013 but doesn’t feature electric stuff and is making a spot start in Coors against Tulo and the crew. I am going to guess this doesn’t turn out very well especially seeing as the Rockies are huge favorites here.

		Torii Hunter
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.325	0.803	3.61%	0.348
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.333	0.852	3.70%	0.371
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Duffy – LEFT			0.212	0.643	11.61%	0.297
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.082	0.971	$3,300	$7,774	$8,700	$4,300	$85,100	$6,300	$8,750

Torii Hunter

Hunter has been great lately and what really interests me here is the price that he has continued to have throughout the year even when he’s hot. He’s easy to play tonight against Duffy in Kauffman especially since the Tigers are so hot with the bats right now and he’s knocked around to around a .850 OPS in his career.

		Mike Trout
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.307	0.965	5.33%	0.409
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.259	0.931	7.41%	0.404
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Tepesch – RIGHT			0.252	0.692	7.11%	0.315
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.985	1.016	$5,100	$9,996	$12,650	$5,900	$97,800	$10,200	$13,050

Mike Trout

The Angels are again huge favorites tonight against Nick Tepesch just like they were last night when Trout definitely had a game to remember. I don’t seem much different about this game and Trout’s numbers against righties while not better than vs lefites, are still huge and should be able to destroy Tepesch. The Angels are a big favorite for a reason; part of that is the pitching and part is the hitting as well.

		George Springer
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.248	0.818	6.80%	0.358
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.208	0.887	8.33%	0.372
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Lackey – RIGHT			0.271	0.748	4.55%	0.330
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.074	1.017	$4,300	$6,810	$9,650	$4,500	$90,100	$8,100	$9,650

George Springer

I really think Springer is in line for a solid game tonight. Yes he strikes out a lot and yes Lackey has struck out a lot, however Lackey has allowed the most power against righties this year and Springer has hit 15 of his 19 homers off of right handers this year. He’s definitely an all or nothing guy but his upside is incredible here and I love the fact that Houston has been hot and they are in one of the higher over/under games of the night.

		Jason Kipnis
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.270	0.736	1.26%	0.329
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.250	0.572	0.00%	0.257
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Noesi – RIGHT			0.267	0.744	7.60%	0.333
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.933	0.992	$3,200	$6,029	$8,650	$4,400	$62,200	$7,700	$8,450

Jason Kipnis

Vegas continues to hate on Noesi, and even though he’s shut down every team that I’ve stacked against him, I will continue to hate on him too because I have seen the runs he can give up. The Indians destroy right handed pitching especially at home and Kipnis has been crushing the new leadoff spot that he has. I have been riding the Kipnis train for a couple days and am not ready to get off just yet.

		Chris Davis
		Daily Breakdown			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits			0.194	0.729	5.88%	0.317
		Last 7 Days Splits			0.077	0.22	0.00%	0.113
		Opp SP vs. LR			Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Kuroda – RIGHT			0.262	0.734	5.96%	0.323
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DS	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.057	1.073	$3,100	$4,645	$8,700	$4,900	$57,800	$7,300	$8,500

Chris Davis

I really even hate to write his name down right now but I had to do it. At this point, he’s just a price dependant play but there’s no doubting he has total upside to swing a tournament. I would never use him in a cash game right now but I think he makes a fantastic play in a GPP especially where they don’t take away points for strikeouts. Davis has been awful lately but still has out of the park power with the ability to hit multiple homers out. Kuroda hasn’t been good at all and in Camden, I think we could see a Chris Davis resurgence.