Daily Batter Breakdown: Fri, July 25th

by Jon Schiller (Varncass) Last Updated 2014-07-25 18:46:27

Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Each day, with at least 8 games on the night slate, I’ll breakdown some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup. The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him. Be sure to check out the FAQ for more information on specific stats.

I am going to try to keep it short and sweet today, I know there’s a big night so I definitely wanted to get something up but I’ve come down with some sort of disastrous cold and am trying to do this inbetween jobs so here we go!

		John Jaso
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.290	0.851	3.27%	0.372
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.538	1.409	0.00%	0.571
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Williams – RIGHT		0.282	0.811	9.09%	0.358
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
		$3,400	$8,200	$4,100	$79,000	$6,800	$7,750

John Jaso

Jaso has been solid lately for Oakland and is still pretty low in salary at most places. He’s almost certainly going to start with a righty on the mound, and will bat at the top of the order. Jaso is one of the safest plays on the board with a high OBP, nice OPS against lefties and a solid wOBA. The only concern I have with him at the catcher position is that he will most likely be pinch hit for in the later innings.

		Jose Abreu
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.299	0.975	8.76%	0.413
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.286	0.747	0.00%	0.327
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Correia – RIGHT		0.294	0.772	3.33%	0.342
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.109	1.027	$4,100	$12,200	$5,200	$82,800	$9,500	$12,450

Jose Abreu

Abreu is probably the top play on the board today, especially facing a pitcher in Correia who just isn’t very good. Abreu has blasted 22 of his homers off right handed pitching this year and doesn’t really seem to care who he hits against. Correia’s WHIP is garbage and so are his other stats. Vegas hates him today as well and he gives up solid numbers to righties.

		Jose Altuve
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.417	0.989	1.85%	0.432
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.360	0.88	4.00%	0.386
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Hand – LEFT		0.272	0.777	12.00%	0.349
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.011	1.018	$4,300	$10,000	$5,100	$84,700	$8,800	$10,350

Jose Altuve

Altuve may be short, but he sure isn’t short on power against left handed pitching. His .998 OPS against lefties off the charts and he’s going to hit at the top of Houston’s lineup. The Astros get to face one of the worst pitchers on the slate tonight and definitely have a shot at putting up some runs. Altuve does everything and while you may not get a homer out of him, he’s definitely a cash game play.

		Kyle Seager
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.276	0.909	6.58%	0.393
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.259	0.693	3.70%	0.305
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Gausman – RIGHT		0.265	0.763	8.57%	0.338
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.869	0.957	$3,500	$9,300	$4,300	$83,200	$7,400	$9,950

Kyle Seager

Seager hits right handed pitching well. That is probably an overused statement but shouldn’t be overlooked tonight against Gausman. Gausman was thrashed by the Athletics lefties the last time out and even in Safeco, I like Seager tonight as an option probably not a lot of people will have. He’s definitely cheaper than the top 3b guys but still has that HR potential you need to compete in GPPs.

		Alexei Ramirez
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.282	0.726	2.44%	0.320
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.250	0.599	0.00%	0.275
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Correia – RIGHT		0.294	0.772	3.33%	0.342
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.109	1.027	$2,800	$8,100	$4,000	$64,500	$6,000	$8,050

Alexei Ramirez

I am not a big fan of the shortstop pool tonight, so I’m going with Ramirez. He’s cheap on a site like FanDuel and on a couple others ones around the industry and has nice potential against Correia. As noted above, Correia is pretty much garbage against both sides of the plate and is giving the White Sox 4.5 over/under at some outlets. Ramirez has SB potential and has always hit righties better hitting all but one of his homers off of righties this year and hitting them at a better OPS.

		Mike Trout
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.284	1.014	7.84%	0.438
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.296	0.996	7.41%	0.428
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Smyly – LEFT		0.282	0.815	8.03%	0.357
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.970	1.066	$5,300	$14,450	$6,000	$123,600	$11,600	$15,050

Mike Trout

I used Smyly earlier in the season against the Angels in a GPP situation, possibly because I wanted to lose or probably because I thought it was an educated gamble at the time. Every time Trout came up to bat I almost felt like he was destined to get a hit. Instead of going against him, I’m going to join him and use him against Smyly tonight. You’ll have to pay big bucks but there really isn’t anyone out there safer and with a higher upside than Trout tonight who crushes right handers. Smyly is a beast against lefties but has allowed a .895 OPS to right handed batters.

		Chris Carter
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.232	0.854	8.08%	0.366
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.316	0.97	0.00%	0.407
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Hand – LEFT		0.272	0.777	12.00%	0.349
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.011	1.018	$3,600	$8,850	$4,800	$82,600	$7,100	$9,300

Chris Carter

The master of the double dinger comes home to face Brad Hand, a lefty who has allowed an .864 OPS to righties this year. Carter has destroyed lefties this year and is really an all or nothing guy. If you’re taking a gamble in a GPP you can certainly do worse than him because his upside is through the roof.

		Andrew McCutchen
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.259	0.923	6.90%	0.400
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.227	0.643	0.00%	0.294
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Anderson – LEFT		0.290	0.789	9.58%	0.353
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.384	1.147	$5,000	$12,700	$5,800	$109,800	$10,600	$13,050

Andrew McCutchen

It’s been a while, but finally the first player from Coors Field! I am expecting McCutchen to be about 60% owned tonight in the Survive and Revive, so fade him at your own risk. The lefty masher faces a Rockies team who will throw Brett Anderson out there. Aside from hitting in Coors Field tonight, McCutchen has absolutely otherworldly numbers against lefties in his career and what makes it sweeter is that Anderson cannot get righties out. Definitely one of the safest plays on the board.

		Brian Dozier
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.269	0.846	5.77%	0.368
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.200	0.659	4.00%	0.293
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Danks – LEFT		0.272	0.786	6.55%	0.346
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.109	1.027	$3,900	$10,600	$4,600	$91,700	$8,300	$10,600

Brian Dozier

Danks is prone to the implosion and is just not a good pitcher, but every time I seem to target him he throws a 7ip 2er gem which wrecks a lot of my plans to win money in the evening. I do like Dozier tonight in Minnesota, and with him hitting at the top of the lineup against Danks I think he makes a nice pivot play away from Altuve if you are looking for a little bit more homer power. Dozier is great against lefties and Danks has given up 14 of his 16 HRs this year to righties.

		Carlos Gonzalez
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.248	0.783	4.83%	0.339
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.158	0.554	5.26%	0.252
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Morton – RIGHT		0.267	0.691	10.59%	0.335
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.384	1.042	$3,600	$10,150	$4,900	$58,400	$7,900	$10,150

Carlos Gonzalez

To me, his price just seems way too low for one of the best lefty hitters in the game facing a homer-prone right hander in Coors Field. I know Morton has been solid this year and has a fine WHIP, but I just don’t know how much to trust him and the over/under in this game is just so sky high. CarGo is fighting with something out there but how low does his salary get before he starts taking off?