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Daily Batter Breakdown: Friday, August 8th

Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Each day, with at least 8 games on the night slate, I’ll breakdown some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup. The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him. Be sure to check out the FAQ for more information on specific stats.

A pretty solid slate going today as there are a few bad pitchers and some good spots for the hitters going. There could be a decent spread between the percentages owned tonight because I could see arguments for a lot of different players tonight.

j.p.-arencibia-100x75 J.P. Arencibia
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.267 1.000 10.00% 0.411
Last 7 Days Splits 0.235 0.88 5.88% 0.397
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Oberholtzer – LEFT 0.292 0.775 1.17% 0.338
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.981 0.000 $3,200 $8,200 $3,600 $78,400 $8,200

J.P. Arencibia

Arencibia is cheap as well tonight against Oberholtzer and has been hitting the ball pretty well since coming up for the Rangers. Texas has put together a mash squad here of who appear to be rejects but for some reason they are homering pretty well. Arencibia has a 1.000 OPS against lefties with 3 homers in 30 at bats and is hitting in a hitters park tonight. The Rangers have a 4 over under which is fairly high and someone has to score those runs if they are to get to that number.


albert-pujols-100x75 Albert Pujols
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.274 0.795 4.56% 0.341
Last 7 Days Splits 0.300 0.877 3.33% 0.381
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Webster – RIGHT
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.922 0.000 $3,500 $10,400 $4,300 $83,000 $10,450

Albert Pujols

There are lots of good first base options today and one of those has to be Albert. He’s having a solid season and while he’s pretty expensive, the Angels have a great potential against Webster who has been less than stellar in his 2 appearances this year. Not a great sample size, but the .829 OPS to right handers given up by Webster should help Pujols and Pujols has always been a good hitter against either side.


ian-kinsler-100x75 Ian Kinsler
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.280 0.756 2.74% 0.331
Last 7 Days Splits 0.276 0.645 0.00% 0.288
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Dickey – RIGHT 0.239 0.738 2.00% 0.323
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.106 0.000 $3,300 $8,950 $4,300 $70,700 $9,000

Ian Kinsler

Kinsler has been decent against right handers this year and I’m really looking forward to what the Tigers big hitters can do in the Rogers Centre today. Kinsler is cheap and although he’s struggled a bit lately, I like the potential against Dickey who has allowed a higher OPS to right handers than left handers. Dickey is also a bit homer prone in his home park and when the knuckleball isn’t moving, the other team can put up a ton of runs.


lonnie-chisenhall-100x75 Lonnie Chisenhall
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.287 0.828 3.73% 0.364
Last 7 Days Splits 0.167 0.594 6.67% 0.258
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Rogers – RIGHT 0.367 1.089 8.16% 0.471
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.897 0.000 $2,800 $7,500 $4,000 $69,700 $7,500

Lonnie Chisenhall

Chisehall has one of the top wOBAs today and I’m really picking on Rogers today. The Indians lefties look solid and they have one of the top over/unders of the night. Look below to Brantley to see how bad Rogers has been against lefties this year and pitching in Yankee Stadium isn’t going to help. Chisenhall is cheap and has really hit well against right handers this year.


adam-rosales-100x75 Adam Rosales
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.250 0.975 10.00% 0.421
Last 7 Days Splits 0.500 1.683 20.00% 0.693
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Oberholtzer – LEFT 0.292 0.775 1.17% 0.338
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.981 0.000 $3,000 $8,450 $3,200 $48,900 $7,550

Adam Rosales

I’m not really sure what to think about Rosales right now. He’s been great since coming up for the Rangers in hitter friendly parks, but the problem is that he’s had awful numbers in all of his previous seasons. He’s still decently cheap and I want to ride the hot hand against Oberholtzer since the Rangers have good potential today but I would really use caution.


michael-brantley-100x75 Michael Brantley
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.350 0.955 4.00% 0.416
Last 7 Days Splits 0.429 1.145 3.57% 0.494
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Rogers – RIGHT 0.367 1.089 8.16% 0.471
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.897 0.000 $3,700 $9,850 $5,200 $102,300 $10,250

Michael Brantley

Not a lot of people are high on Esmil Rogers today espcially not the RG tools who have 3 of the Indians outfielders at the top wOBA guys. I am bullish on Brantley today but I don’t know if I am that down on Rogers. You’ll have to pay for Brantley but I always like lefties that crush right handers in Yankee Stadium. Rogers has a 1.5 WHIP and a 1.089 OPS allowed to left handed hitters this year, so load up those Indian lefties.


desmond-jennings-100x75 Desmond Jennings
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.274 0.879 4.21% 0.382
Last 7 Days Splits 0.227 0.519 0.00% 0.243
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Wada – LEFT 0.295 0.877 3.07% 0.376
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.968 0.000 $4,400

Desmond Jennings

Wada has been fairly effective since joining the cubs rotation and will take on the Rays today. Jennings should be close to the leadoff spot today against the Cubs and has destroyed left handers this year to a .880 OPS. Jennings has the power to put one in the seats but also has speed. Wada has really been good against lefties but struggles against right handed hitters allowing a .877 OPS. Jennings has one of the top wOBAs on the day and shouldn’t be highly owned.


mark-trumbo-100x75 Mark Trumbo
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.275 0.906 7.50% 0.388
Last 7 Days Splits 0.364 0.878 0.00% 0.384
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Matzek – LEFT 0.303 0.859 0.83% 0.375
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
1.113 0.000 $2,800 $7,900 $4,000 $62,800 $8,000

Mark Trumbo

Trumbo has been hot with the stick lately and it’s only a matter of time until he starts getting the power we are used to. Matzek was horrible last time out against the Tigers and has really struggled against right handed pitching this year giving up all 5 homers and an .859 OPS. Trumbo, although he’s having a poor season still has a .902 OPS against left handers and has hit them well.


brandon-moss-100x75 Brandon Moss
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.243 0.814 6.15% 0.351
Last 7 Days Splits 0.000 0.118 0.00% 0.081
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Gibson – RIGHT 0.281 0.721 0.79% 0.320
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.966 0.000 $3,100 $8,800 $3,900 $59,500 $8,800

Brandon Moss

Moss is in the same boat as the guy below really but surprisingly I actually like Davis more for cash games. Moss faces Gibson who has been the most up and down pitcher all of this year. He struggles against left handed batters and Moss has hit 19 homers against right handed pitchers but Moss always has the 0-fer ability and Gibson has shut many an offense down this year. Lots of 1st base options today and while I think Moss has some of the highest upside, he also is very likely for downside too.


chris-davis-100x75 Chris Davis
Daily Breakdown Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Left/Right Splits 0.202 0.740 6.28% 0.322
Last 7 Days Splits 0.167 0.773 11.11% 0.328
Opp SP vs. LR Avg OPS HR% wOBA
Masterson – RIGHT 0.323 0.944 2.24% 0.412
PARK-1 PARK-LR FD DD DK FF SS FTD
0.808 0.000 $3,200 $9,050 $4,300 $63,200 $8,950

Chris Davis

Still cheap almost everywhere, one of the best RHP crushers of last year gets to face one of the worst pitchers against left handed batters anywhere. Davis has had a horrible season but has the ability to get it going at anytime and has incredible power. It doesn’t really matter where he’s batting here I love him tonight against Masterson as he seems to have rediscovered a way to hit a baseball with a couple homers in the last few games.


About the Author

Varncass
Jon Schiller (Varncass)

Jon Schiller (aka Varncass) has been providing college sports content for the fantasy industry since 2012 and the sports betting industry since 2022. He’s an analytics junkie who uses any and all predictive stats and game theory to discover edges for the RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds community. Follow Jon on Twitter – @Bronzesword