FanDuel NFL Expert Survey: Week 7
Want to know who Notorious is definitely paying up for in NFL DFS this week? Wondering which value play STLCardinals84 is eyeing most? You’re in luck. Our daily fantasy sports experts will answer a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup building decisions for this week’s contests.
|#||NFL Expert Survey Questions (Week 7)||Notorious||STLCardinals84||JMToWin||Stevietpfl||TheSeige||Meansy53|
|1||Who is your must-play stud in cash games?||Le’Veon Bell||Le’Veon Bell||Ezekiel Elliott||Mark Ingram||Mark Ingram||Ezekiel Elliott|
|2||Who is your must-play stud in tournaments?||LeSean McCoy||Michael Thomas||Mike Evans||Julio Jones||Mike Evans||Julio Jones|
|3||Who is your favorite salary saver on the board?||Rishard Matthews||Eric Decker||Bennie Fowler||George Kittle||Rishard Matthews||Rishard Matthews|
|4||Which stud play are you fading in tournaments?||Antonio Brown||A.J. Green||Antonio Brown||Ezekiel Elliott||Antonio Brown||Dez Bryant|
|5||Who’s your top contrarian play on the board?||Melvin Gordon||Jay Ajayi||Doug Baldwin||Todd Gurley||Joe Mixon||Pierre Garcon|
|6||Which low-priced chalk player are you most likely to fade?||Tyrod Taylor||Tyrod Taylor||Adrian Peterson||Carlos Hyde||Adrian Peterson||Adrian Peterson|
|7||Which low-priced chalk player are you most likely to have heavy exposure to?||Rishard Matthews||Eric Decker||Rishard Matthews||Rishard Matthews||Rishard Matthews||Rishard Matthews|
|8||Which player are you afraid of being underweight on compared to the field?||Antonio Brown||Antonio Brown||Ezekiel Elliott||Ezekiel Elliott||Julio Jones||Antonio Brown|
|9||Which skill position players (if any) are you targeting versus an elite defense?||Hunter Henry||Adam Thielen||N/A||Melvin Gordon||N/A||Le’Veon Bell|
|10||Which NFL team are you targeting players from the most?||NO||NO||NO||SF||TEN||NO|
|11||Which NFL team are you looking to avoid?||NYG||BAL||BAL||NYG||NYG||BAL|
|12||What’s the best position to spend up on this week?||RB||RB||RB||RB||RB||RB|
|13||What’s the best position to save salary on this week?||TE||TE||TE||TE||TE||TE|
|14||Which game has sneaky shootout potential this week?||TEN/CLE||CIN/PIT||TEN/CLE||TEN/CLE||TEN/CLE||TEN/CLE|
What is your favorite correlation of the week and why?
Notorious: Melvin Gordon and the Chargers D/ST – This is a low-owned correlation play that has a lot of upside in a home matchup against the Broncos. Denver’s offense has stalled in recent weeks and they are expected to be without Emmanuel Sanders. The Chargers haven’t been great defensively, but they have an adjusted sack rate of 8.8%, which matches the adjusted sack rate of the Broncos’ offensive line.
STLCardinals84: Jay Ajayi and Miami Defense – I’m still not sold on the Jets continuing their current offensive pace, and the Dolphins should have some momentum after their big second half comeback against the Falcons on the road. It is no coincidence that they finally won on the day where they gave Jay Ajayi 26 carries. I expect a similar dose this week and love the Ajayi/MIA D pairing.
JMToWin: Brett Hundley and Davante Adams – The DFS community may shy away from the Packers after they lost Aaron Rodgers, but Hundley is a dual-threat quarterback taking on a sub-par defense, and Adams is priced affordably and showed a good connection with Hundley in Week 6. I expect this stack to pay off nicely, and if ownership goes in other directions, all the better for us.
Stevietpfl: C.J. Beathard and George Kittle – Beathard came into the game late in second quarter, and this offense started to click. Young quarterbacks tend to go to tight ends, and George Kittle played with Beathard at Iowa in college. He targeted him seven times on Sunday, and with a full game, he could see double-digit targets. I love going cheap here, I think that frees up salary to build what I want.
TheSeige: Rishard Matthews and DeShone Kizer – Well, these guys don’t play for the same team I get that, but both are in game I think will shoot. They also come at super cheap price tags that allow you to pay up for all the other studs on the board.
Meansy53: Marcus Mariota and Rishard Matthews – Cleveland ranks dead last in pass defense DVOA, and Matthews is arguably Mariota’s favorite target. He has almost 24% of the target market share. I expect them to connect for, at the very least, one score this weekend.
Which useful trend or statistic stuck out most during your research?
Notorious: LeSean McCoy is often an afterthought in DFS because he doesn’t score many touchdowns, but I expect some positive regression in that aspect. On the season, he has 12 rushes in the redzone, five inside the ten, and two inside the five yard line.
STLCardinals84: Outside of the Falcons/Patriots Sunday night game, not a single game on the board opened with a Vegas total above 48 points. It’s going to be a very difficult week to build rosters, and we might see a lot of diversity in ownership. Barring some surprising injury news, this will be a difficult week.
JMToWin: Across the last four Pittsburgh/Cincy regular season games, Antonio Brown has averaged five catches for 57.5 yards.
Stevietpfl: The LA Rams lead the league with 29.8 points per game this season. Gurley has played 85.9% of the snaps, and he leads the NFL in goal line carries (1.6 p/g).
TheSeige: #1 WRs have quietly mashed the Bills all season and Mike Evans is underpriced and draws that nice matchup this week
Meansy53: LeSean McCoy gets almost 35% of his team’s red zone opportunities, yet he hasn’t found the box yet the entire season. The touchdowns are coming.
What’s your hot take of the week?
Notorious: The starting QB of the Browns (Kizer or Hogan) finishes inside the top ten in fantasy scoring.
STLCardinals84: Michael Thomas breaks out with 140 receiving yards and a touchdown.
JMToWin: Brett Hundley is on the winning roster in every major DFS tourney.
Stevietpfl: DeShone Kizer throws 3 touchdowns after being benched last weekend.
TheSeige: Mike Evans goes over 26 FanDuel points
Meansy53: Brett Hundley throws for three touchdowns and runs for another.
Which player will you be most overweight on compared to the field and why?
Notorious: Michael Thomas – He’s had a bad string of matchups and now gets to square off against an injured Packers’ secondary. After letting a lot of people down a week ago, people may be hesitant to go back to the well.
STLCardinals84: Le’Veon Bell – The floor is simply the highest you will find, and the Steelers realize that they win games when he gets the football. They lost to the Jaguars in a game where he only got 15 carries, and they won against the Ravens and Chiefs when he got 30+ carries. The production has ramped up of late, and he’s a great play in all formats in a home game against Cincinnati.
JMToWin: Brett Hundley – On a week without a lot to like in terms of value – and with plenty of low-Total games – I’ll gladly take the dual-threat quarterback in a well-schemed offense against a poor defensive opponent, all at a low price.
Stevietpfl: Mark Ingram – The Saints are 6th in run blocking efficiency this season, and it continues to fly under the radar. Green Bay is allowing 3.85 yards per carry this season, and they’ve allowed at least 100-yards rushing in four of six games. I love the Saints defense with Ingram, and I think Ingram gets 25+ touches again this weekend.
TheSeige: Saints defense – Apparently people think last week was a total fluke, but this defense is really talented and everyone wants to ignore it. Brett Hundley is not good at throwing footballs, so I like the Saints chances at sacks, INTs and TDs this week.
Meansy53: LeSean McCoy – We already are betting on some positive touchdown regression coming his way, and the Tampa defense has struggled all year. Even if the Bucs get a few bodies back, the price discount we get on Shady more than makes up for it in my opinion.
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