FantasyDraft NFL Expert Survey: Week 14
Want to know who Notorious is definitely paying up for in NFL DFS this week? Wondering which value play STLCardinals84 is eyeing most? You’re in luck. Our daily fantasy sports experts will answer a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup building decisions for this week’s contests.
|#||NFL Expert Survey Questions (Week 14)||Notorious||STLCardinals84||JMToWin||Stevietpfl||Meansy53||TheSeige|
|1||Who is your must-play stud in cash games?||DeAndre Hopkins||Todd Gurley||DeAndre Hopkins||DeAndre Hopkins||DeAndre Hopkins||Todd Gurley|
|2||Who is your must-play stud in tournaments?||Josh Gordon||Josh Gordon||Josh Gordon||Josh Gordon||LeSean McCoy||Josh Gordon|
|3||Who is your favorite salary saver on the board?||Giovani Bernard||Marquise Goodwin||Giovani Bernard||Giovani Bernard||Giovani Bernard||Stephen Anderson|
|4||Which stud play are you fading in tournaments?||Leonard Fournette||Keenan Allen||Leonard Fournette||Kareem Hunt||Leonard Fournette||Alex Smith|
|5||Who’s your top contrarian play on the board?||Adam Thielen||Eli Manning||Marquise Goodwin||Marvin Jones||Frank Gore||Dede Westbrook|
|6||Which low-priced chalk player are you most likely to fade?||Ricky Seals-Jones||Latavius Murray||Zay Jones||Josh Doctson||none||Zay Jones|
|7||Which low-priced chalk player are you most likely to have heavy exposure to?||Giovani Bernard||Mike Davis||Giovani Bernard||Josh Gordon||Giovani Bernard||Stephen Anderson|
|8||Which player are you afraid of being underweight on compared to the field?||Brandin Cooks||Kareem Hunt||Dez Bryant||A.J. Green||Dez Bryant||KC Passing Attack|
|9||Which skill position players (if any) are you targeting versus an elite defense?||Todd Gurley||Russell Wilson||Keenan Allen||Keenan Allen||Todd Gurley||Russell Wilson|
|10||Which NFL team are you targeting players from the most?||CLE||OAK||HOU||SF||HOU||SF|
|11||Which NFL team are you looking to avoid?||CHI||CHI||CHI||CHI||CHI||CHI|
|12||What’s the best position to spend up on this week?||WR||WR||WR||WR||WR||WR|
|13||What’s the best position to save salary on this week?||RB||RB||RB||RB||RB/TE||TE|
|14||Which game has sneaky shootout potential this week?||GB/CLE||SF/HOU||SF/HOU||SF/HOU||SF/HOU||SF/HOU|
|15||Which position will you have the most exposure to in FLEX?||RB||RB||WR||WR||RB||WR|
What is your favorite correlation of the week and why?
Notorious: DeShone Kizer & Josh Gordon – Kizer may not be the most accurate quarterback in the league, but he has some serious weapons to work with in Gordon, Coleman, and Johnson. He’s not afraid to take shots down the field, as evidenced by the 200+ air yards that Gordon racked up last week against the Chargers. The duo draws a much better matchup this week, as they square off against the Packers at home. On the season, Green Bay is ranked 21st in DVOA against the pass and Kizer has as much rushing upside as any quarterback on the board.
STLCardinals84: Derek Carr and Michael Crabtree (or Amari Cooper) – The Raiders blitzed this Kansas City defense through the air the first time these teams met, and Derek Carr threw for 417 yards and three scores. Carr struggled last week without Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree, but he will at least get Crabtree back from suspension this week. If Cooper is still sidelined by his injuries, Crabtree should dominate the targets and have a fruitful day. If Cooper returns, he’s a sneaky option at a discounted price point, especially since he was the one that had the big game in the first meeting. This is a fine combination that won’t break the salary bank.
JMToWin: Blaine Gabbert to Larry Fitzgerald – For years, Gabbert has shown an ability to successfully target short-area receivers, while struggling outside the numbers. Through three weeks, this has led to Gabbert completing 22 of 28 passes (78.6%) to Fitz, in spite of facing the top-ranked pass defenses of the Jaguars and Rams in two of those games. Along the way, Gabbert has comleted only nine of 25 passes (36.0%) to J.J. Nelson, John Brown, and Jaron Brown. Against a Tennessee team that ranks eighth-worst in receptions and third-worst in touchdowns allowed to wide receivers, this sets up perfectly for the Gabbert to Fitz connection to pile up points.
Stevietpfl: Jimmy Garoppolo and DeAndre Hopkins – I’ll be pairing Garoppolo with Goodwin and some Murphy, but I love running it back with Hopkins. Garoppolo had a tough matchup in his first start with the 49ers, but draws a great matchup against the Texans this weekend. They’re allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. Hopkins faces a 49ers secondary that has allowed at least one recieving touchdown to opposing wide receivers in 10 of 12 games this season.
Meansy53: Tom Savage, DeAndre Hopkins, and Stephen Anderson – That is right, Tom Savage! With several Houston pass catchers on the shelf, Hopkins and Anderson are going to see a ton of targets again in Week 14. Savage threw it 49 times last week, and this week he gets to face a 49ers defense that ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA. Hopkins and Anderson are great cash game plays. I am still trying to decide if I have the intestinal fortitude to roll out Savage in cash games, but I love the stack for tournaments regardless.
TheSeige: Jimmy Garoppolo and DeAndre Hopkins – SF/HOU going to be an up and down game and Jimmy G has a ton of options to spread the ball around too but Savage will lock in on Hopkins again and hopefully Jimmy G spreads the ball around but you can also add Goodwin or Taylor if you wanted to expand the stack.
Which useful trend or statistic stuck out most during your research?
Notorious: Ricky Seals-Jones is a talented tight end, but it’s hard to rely on him being this efficient given his limited snaps. He has played 24% of the snaps in each of the last two weeks. I’m going to fade RSJ for the likes of Austin Seferian-Jenkins and Stephen Anderson.
STLCardinals84: Josh Gordon returned and showed very little rust last week, making two very good catches and playing on about three quarters of the offensive snaps for the Browns. He was also on the field for about 90% of the team’s pass plays. Los Angeles CB Casey Hayward said that was the toughest matchup he has seen all year. That’s higih praise from one of the league’s better corners. The Packers secondary is thin on talent and has nobody capable of containing Gordon. The sky is the limit this week.
JMToWin: After Joe Mixon went down in Week 13, Giovani Bernard did not miss a snap. Although he is not typically a “between the tackles” runner, we should expect him to have a near-full workload in the likely event that Joe Mixon fails to get cleared from his concussion in time for Week 14.
Stevietpfl: Jimmy Garoppolo went 26 for 37 for 293 yards against the Bears in his first start of the season. Before facing Baltimore and Tennessee in the last two games, the Texans defense had allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four straight games. They also allowed over 300 passing yards in three of those four games. This defense isn’t better, those teams just didn’t play well.
TheSeige: Gio Bernard played 100% of the snaps after Mixon left with a concussion and with only Rookie Brian Hill as a backup he should be in for a large market share on Sunday.
What’s your hot take of the week?
Notorious: Sterling Shepard sees double-digit targets, catches eight or more passes, racks up over 100 receiving yards, and scores a two touchdowns.
STLCardinals84: Josh Gordon tops 150 receiving yards and scores twice as the Browns get their first win of the season at home against the Packers.
JMToWin: Josh Gordon is a top three (raw points) WR this week.
Stevietpfl: DeAndre Hopkins has at least 150 yards receiving and two touchdowns
Meansy53: Tom Savage throws three touchdown passes and two interceptions.
Who will you be most overweight on compared to the field and why?
Notorious: Giovani Bernard – As long as Joe Mixon is ruled out, I plan to use Bernard on my main lineup on all sites. He would handle 85%+ of the running back snaps and touches and the strongest part of his game is catching the ball out of the backfield. This is one of those good chalk type of plays that’s hard to get away from, even in tournaments.
STLCardinals84: Josh Gordon – If it’s not evident by my other answers, I’ll hammer the point home here. I think Gordon could be the highest scoring wide receiver on the entire slate. His athleticism is a mismatch against Green Bay’s secondary, and the conditioning does not appear to be an issue.
JMToWin: There are a number of guys I’ll be overweight on this week (see the NFL Edge), but Josh Gordon is the easiest guy to lock in across the board, after the Browns forced him targets last week in one of the most difficult wide receiver matchups. This week, in one of the easiest wide receiver matchups, Gordon’s Week 13 usage (which I expect to be replicated) will likely lead to a monster game.
Stevietpfl: Josh Gordon – I don’t care if he’s chalk this weekend, I think he’s a top 3 wide receiver on this slate, and he’s not priced like it. I’m going to be eating the Gordon chalk, and he looked really good last weekend in a tough matchup.
Meansy53: Stephen Anderson – With C.J. Fiedorowicz and Bruce Ellington on IR, Tom Savage is going to have limited options to throw to. Anderson is almost the bare minimum across the industry and, accordingly, is way underpriced for his expected volume.
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