Find Your Edge: Week 12 - Attacking the Thanksgiving Slate
Director of Data and Analytics, Kevin Cole, returns with a look at how past DFS slates can yield valuable insights to roster construction, decision making, and winning strategies for the coming slate of games. This is a big deal. We’ve collected a massive amount of data on past DFS slates, and Kevin is going to help you “find the edge” buried deep within them.
Week 12
We’re going to bring together some past analyses on stacking and chalk usage but focus specifically on one of the more unique slates of the year: the three-game Thanksgiving contests.
For main slates, early this year we dug into which stacks were most commonly used and gave winners (top 0.1% of lineups). We found a number of high leverage stacks that were employed more often by contest winners.
We also looked into the success rate of chalk players at different positions, and found that RB, DST and QB chalk (top-3 ownership at the position) actually were positive EV for winners.
Let’s apply these same strategies but only to previous three-game slates like we’ll have this Thanksgiving. Our ResultsDB collection of previous contests has roughly 40 three-game slates from 2016 to present.
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