Find Your Edge: Week 9

Director of Data and Analytics, Kevin Cole, returns with a look at how past DFS slates can yield valuable insights to roster construction, decision making, and winning strategies for the coming slate of games. This is a big deal. We’ve collected a massive amount of data on past DFS slates, and Kevin is going to help you “find the edge” buried deep within them.

Week 9

We’re back for another week of digging through the millions of contest entries, and this week the focus will go back to how to approach lineup construction during bye weeks.

A few weeks ago, I looked through some higher-level number on bye weeks versus the rest of the season, including overall scoring, positional ownership by week and how to approach chalk plays.

We looked at the overall numbers for the biggest weekly contests in 2016 and 2017 at the beginning of the season. This week, I’m going to split those stacking number by the heaviest bye week (Weeks 5-11) and separate those versus non-bye weeks (Weeks 1-4 and 12-17).

What we found in the Week 1 stacking article was that stacking generally gave winners (top 0.1% of entries) leverage over the field.

Does this trend hold when the game count and player pool is narrowed?

The stacking numbers

Below are the numbers for the exposure to different stacks for winners (top 0.1%) and the field divided by non-bye and bye weeks in 2016 and 2017.

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About the Author

colekev
Kevin Cole (colekev)

Kevin Cole previously worked on Wall Street as an equity and credit analyst before transitioning to data-related sports analysis. For a number of years, Kevin has specialized in creating predictive sports models that includes published work at Pro Football Focus, Rotoworld, numberFire, and RotoViz. He is now the Director of Data and Analytics at RotoGrinders.