FREE NBA DFS Picks: 2/24 - DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo
The NBA daily fantasy sports contests on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo will be absolutely HUGE tonight for this eight-game slate. Our NBA projections, projected ownership, core plays, and cheat sheets are all fired up in advance of all this action. Below, you’ll find a top option on each of these three DFS platforms. We power our LineupHQ using some of the same information that see below, and encourage you to check out all the tools we have to offer for NBA daily fantasy sports in our DFS content schedule.
Without further delay, let’s check out who the projections think will smash their salary implied value tonight!
Top DraftKings DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Al Horford
DK Salary:$4,500.00
FPTS Projection:34.62
FPTS Ceiling:42.58
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Al Horford to smash for DraftKings GPP value in roughly 49.19% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 31 minutes and 1.12 fantasy points per minute.
— The Atlanta Hawks allow 6.81% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 17.09% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 13.47% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 24.16% assist rate.
The absence of Ben Simmons and highly questionable status of Tobias Harris bring Horford into focus tonight. We will need to get confirmation of Tobias Harris being unavailable before we go crazy here, but certainly his expectation increases well above his paltry price tag if he plays 31 minutes. He’s an outstanding option without the massive rates consumed by Harris and Simmons on the court.
Top FanDuel DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Brandon Clarke
FD Salary:$5,200.00
FPTS Projection:33.24
FPTS Ceiling:46.20
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Brandon Clarke to smash for FanDuel GPP value in roughly 39.58% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 32 minutes and 1.04 fantasy points per minute.
— The LA Clippers allow 0.09% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 18.21% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 12.89% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 8.97% assist rate.
This is also a projection that benefits from injury absence. Jaren Jackson Jr. will miss at least two weeks with his latest injury opening the door for fantasy point opportunity for Clarke. The matchup is marginal against the highly rated Clippers, but you can see above that our median expected rate stats for him would produce over a fantasy point per minute. It’s enough to create an estimated 40% “Smash” rate, and qualify him along side Naz Reid, Al Horford, and Julius Randle as potential top plays at the position early in the day.
Top Yahoo! DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Josh Richardson
Yahoo Salary:$14.00
FPTS Projection:32.16
FPTS Ceiling:45.99
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Josh Richardson to smash for Yahoo GPP value in roughly 48.27% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 32 minutes, and 1.01 fantasy points per minute.
— The Atlanta Hawks allow 6.81% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 21.80% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 6.33% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 21.68% assist rate.
This is simply way too cheap for a player that will assume plenty of offensive responsibility in the absence of Ben Simmons. To boot, the matchup absolutely cannot get any better than what we’ll see against the Atlanta Hawks. They have allowed a 4% USG bump to wing scorers over the course of this season per our defense vs. archetype matchup tool, while also being quite generous in the assist and rebounding department to the position. With almost a 50% chance of reaching his GPP viable threshold, Richardson is tremendously likely to smash this evening vs. the Hawks.