FREE NBA DFS Picks for 3/4: Smash Plays - FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo
Who is going to smash tonight? That’s the question on everybody’s mind when it comes to NBA DFS tournaments on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo. RotoGrinders NBA projections, projected ownership, core plays, and cheat sheets are here to help you figure this out for every night of the NBA season. Tonight is no exception, and we have some great information lined up for the nine-game slate.
In this article, you’ll find a top option on each of the three major DFS platforms. We power our LineupHQ using some of the same information that you see below, and encourage you to check out all the tools we have to offer for NBA daily fantasy sports in our DFS content schedule.
No more messing around though. Let’s check out who the projections think will smash their salary implied value tonight!
Top DraftKings DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Luka Doncic
DK Salary:$10,900.00
FPTS Projection:62.28
FPTS Ceiling:80.96
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Luka Doncic to smash for DraftKings GPP value in roughly 38.94% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 36 minutes and 1.73 fantasy points per minute.
— The New Orleans Pelicans allow 3.31% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 34.79% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 15.08% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 44.18% assist rate.
Early indication is that an abundance of value options for Wednesday’s slate will leave us with all of the salary in the world to spend up on Luka Doncic who rates as the top high-priced option of the slate. A matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one for Doncic as New Orleans plays at the third-fastest pace in the league while owning the ninth-worst defensive rating. At a 36 minute projection and 1.73 fantasy points per minute, Luka currently owns our highest DraftKings projection of the night at nearly 60 DK points (59.9).
Top FanDuel DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Caris LeVert
FD Salary:$6,000.00
FPTS Projection:39.3
FPTS Ceiling:58.16
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Caris LeVert to smash for FanDuel GPP value in roughly 43.77% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 32 minutes and 1.23 fantasy points per minute.
— The Memphis Grizzlies allow 2.27% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 29.42% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 6.87% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 28.74% assist rate.
Caris LeVert scored a whopping 51 points in last night’s OT road win against the Celtics en route to a 63.3 FanDuel point performance. That makes two 60+ fantasy point games in his last four for LeVert who has taken over as the Nets primary offensive weapon with Kyrie Irving sidelined for the season. This isn’t an ideal scheduling spot for LeVert on the second leg of a back-to-back but the matchup is extremely favorable against a fast-paced Grizzlies team that has allowed a lot of fantasy production to the opposition.
Top Yahoo! DFS Value Pick – High Smash Probability
Brad Wanamaker
Yahoo Salary:$10.00
FPTS Projection:26.54
FPTS Ceiling:36.36
Early Projected Ownership:Very High
Per our range of outcomes projections, we expect Brad Wanamaker to smash for Yahoo GPP value in roughly 48.73% of his outcomes.
— We currently project 32 minutes, and 0.83 fantasy points per minute.
— The Cleveland Cavaliers allow 4.90% fpts/gm above average.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 20.81% USG Rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 5.47% rebound rate.
— RotoGrinders early projections expect a 30.70% assist rate.
UPDATE: Jayson Tatum is listed as probable.
As it currently stands, Boston is expected to be without Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Gordon Hayward, and Kemba Walker. That means there will be plenty of minutes to go around for Celtics backups, including Brad Wanamaker who started the second half of last night’s game and saw 29 minutes of court time. Wanamaker is far from an efficient fantasy scorer (0.83 fantasy points per minute) yet still rates as an excellent value option on Yahoo! thanks to his minimum price tag expected 30+ minutes of playing time.