MLB Daily Grind Down May 10th Part 3
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Colorado at St. Louis
| Colorado | St. Louis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busch Stadium | 8:15 PM | ||||||
| Jon Garland – (3-2), 4.75 ERA, 4.25 K/9, 1.42 WHIP | Shelby Miller – (4-2), 1.96 ERA, 9.45 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (26-86 H/AB) 0.302 BA-A, 20.93 K%, 0.884 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 4.5 ERA, 1 HRA, 6 K/9, 1.333 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 2.13 ERA, 2 HRA, 10.7 K/9, 0.868 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
COL BvP  | COL vs R | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored -160
Pitchers
- Home Shelby Miller has pitched fantastic on the year and certainly has the upside you like to see. He is the huge favorite in a game with a low OU so he is an instant target. COL does scare me a little. They are batting .276 on the road, .277 versus right-handed pitching, and .239 over the last 7 days. However, Miller has been very good at home. Target
- Away Jon Garland has not pitched bad on the year but is a matchup play. He is on the road which should help him but I cannot see him out dueling the young kid and he does not get enough Ks to make him playable outside of a second starter. STL is batting .255 at home, .268 versus right-handers, and .307 over the last 7 days. They have a .312 BAA against him. Avoid
Batters
- Home Allen Craig has been hot producing 27 fp over the last week. Jon Jay has also been hot producing 26 fp. Carlos Beltran is 12-39 versus Garland with 2 HRs.
- Away The only person I am considering from COL is Troy Tulowitzki and only because his production is so much more than any other shortstop. He has a .364 batting average against right-handed pitching and is 6-10 over the last 7 days with 1 HR so he is hot.
Philadelphia at Arizona
| Philadelphia | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Tyler Cloyd – | Ian Kennedy – (1-3), 5.19 ERA, 6.89 K/9, 1.34 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (14-55 H/AB) 0.255 BA-A, 21.82 K%, 0.709 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (1-1), 5.49 ERA, 2 HRA, 6.4 K/9, 1.525 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PHI BvP | PHI vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored ARI -160
Pitchers
- Home Ian Kennedy is the huge favorite but has pitched really poorly at home and the OU is a very high 9 so most likely he will get roughed up a bit. His K totals are a little low so that makes him risky even though he is slated to get the win. PHI is batting .248 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .221 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Tyler Cloyd is a K per IP guy which gives him huge upside if you want to gamble. He will be cheap but a matchup in ARI versus this hot team is probably not the best place to look for value. If you are using multiple entries into a GPP then throw him in if you like but understand that you are betting on the horse with 27-1 odds. ARI is batting .252 at home, .265 versus right-handers, and .258 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Miguel Montero gains the splits in his favor today. Paul Goldschmidt has been super hot producing 43.75 fp over the last week. The Triple A pitcher could struggle and has trouble getting out left-handed bats so look deep into ARI roster today.
- Away I like the lefty/righty matchup that Chase Utley and Ryan Howard have today in this hitter’s ballpark. John Mayberry Jr. has is 3-5 with 1 HR versus Kennedy.
Miami at LA Dodgers
| Miami | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Jose Fernandez – (1-2), 3.48 ERA, 9.29 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | Matt Magill – (0-0), 7.88 ERA, 10.13 K/9, 2 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 6.43 ERA, 1 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 2.7 ERA, 0 HRA, 9.5 K/9, 0.9 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIA BvP | MIA vs R | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 6.5
- Favored LAD -135
Pitchers
- Home Matt Magill id not even make it 2 IP in his last start after looking pretty good in his first outing. He draws the easiest of matchup today in a MIA team that is batting .234 on the road, .225 versus right-handed pitching, and .206 over the last 7 days. He should pitch well and get the win in a game that has the lowest OU of the day and the value should still be there because of his last outing. Target
- Away Jose Fernandez has pitched very well but is still unplayable in daily fantasy because he seems to be limited to a pitch count of around 80. On a better team, he could be considered a limited upside matchup play. His last outing was fantasy relevant but do not expect that again today even though the OU is low. LAD is batting .243 at home, .234 versus right-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Fernandez has been tough and the low OU is enough for to look towards some more juicer matchups.
- Away Marcell Ozuna has been hot producing 23.25 fp over the last 7 days. He is a nice cheap option. Justin Ruggiano and Juan Pierre are the only two other players worth considering. MIA could offer decent value up and down their roster if you think Magill will struggle again.
Oakland at Seattle
| Oakland | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Dan Straily – (1-0), 5.94 ERA, 11.67 K/9, 1.2 WHIP | Hisashi Iwakuma – (3-1), 1.61 ERA, 8.55 K/9, 0.76 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (6-18 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 16.67 K%, 1.611 OPS-A | PvB | (6-38 H/AB) 0.158 BA-A, 26.32 K%, 0.605 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 2.7 ERA, 0 HRA, 14.9 K/9, 0.75 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 0.48 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.7 K/9, 0.589 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| OAK BvP | OAK vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SEA -130
Pitchers
- Home Hisashi Iwakuma has a 0.48 ERA at home on the year. He has pitched fantastic all around and catches an OAK team that has been struggling a bit of late. He has held OAK to a .158 BAA vs. him. OAK is batting .258 on the road, .233 versus right-handers, and .214 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away Daniel Straily has not looked good in his last 2 starts after that great start in HOU. He takes the mound in a pitcher’s park in a game with a low OU and SEA is almost as bad as HOU in the K department. SEA is batting .257 at home, .233 versus right-handers, and .172 over the last 7 days. The splits are in his favor if you want to gamble. In Play
Batters
- Home Kendrys Morales is 2-5 versus Straily with 2 HRs. Michael Saunders has been hot coming back from his injury.
- Away Yoenis Cespedes is 3-6 with 2 HRs versus Iwakuma and has 2 HRs over the last week.
Atlanta at San Francisco
| Atlanta | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 10:15 PM | ||||||
| Tim Hudson – (4-1), 3.83 ERA, 6.63 K/9, 1.13 WHIP | Matt Cain – (1-2), 5.57 ERA, 7.71 K/9, 1.26 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (27-113 H/AB) 0.239 BA-A, 14.16 K%, 0.566 OPS-A | PvB | (31-138 H/AB) 0.225 BA-A, 23.91 K%, 0.696 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 5.29 ERA, 4 HRA, 4.2 K/9, 1.353 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 11.17 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 1.552 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ATL BvP | ATL vs R | SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SFO -120
Pitchers
- Home Matt Cain at home was probably the safest bet in daily fantasy a year ago. He struggled to open the season but was sharp in his last outing. I think he gets back on track to being an ace again today and like him even more because his price has dropped. ATL is batting .250 on the road, .246 versus right-handers, and .271 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Tim Hudson has been receiving a lot of love by the media after his 200th win. He is only a 5.29 pitcher on the road this year, however. The Ou in this game is low and he could certainly walk away with the win if Cain continues to struggle. SFO is batting .270 at home, .267 against right-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Hunter Pence, Marco Scutaro, and Buster posey have all produced over 20 fp in the last 7 days. Hunter Pence is 7-18 versus Hudson and Buster Posey is 4-8 vs. him. Angal Pagan has encouraging BvPs also but I am not sure how much his injury will effect his play.
- Away Dan Uggla and Andrelton Simmons have both been hot producing over 30 fp in the last 7 days each. Dan Uggla has an HR in 19 AB versus Cain. Justin Upton ‘s BvP are positive also.
