MLB Daily Grind Down May 12th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Cleveland at Detroit
| Cleveland | Detroit | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerica Park | 1:05 PM | ||||||
| Zach McAllister – (3-3), 2.63 ERA, 6.77 K/9, 1.12 WHIP | Rick Porcello – (1-2), 7.52 ERA, 5.17 K/9, 1.44 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (17-58 H/AB) 0.293 BA-A, 22.41 K%, 0.655 OPS-A | PvB | (47-157 H/AB) 0.299 BA-A, 15.92 K%, 0.873 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 3.86 ERA, 1 HRA, 5.4 K/9, 1.371 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 5.56 ERA, 0 HRA, 4.8 K/9, 1.324 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CLE BvP  | CLE vs R | DET BvP | DET vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored DET -125
Pitchers
- Home There is no mistaking that CLE offense is hot right now. If Justin Verlander could not get past them, do you really trust Rick Porcello to shut them down? He has not been good on the year to begin with. CLE is batting.278 on the road, .269 versus right-handers, and .262 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Zach McAllister has been good so far on the year but I will ever recommend taking a pitcher facing DET at home. DET is batting .316 at home, .285 versus right-handers, and .325 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home I think McAllister is pitching above himself right now and a start in DET is going to expose that fact. DET has a .293 BAA vs him as a team so consider everyone in play. Prince Fielder gets the splits in his favor today and Johnny Peralta has been hot over the last 7 days.
- Away Gentlemen start your CLE stacks! Everyone’s numbers look positive in this one.
Milwaukee at Cincinnati
| Milwaukee | Cincinnati | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great American Ball Park | 1:10 PM | ||||||
| Wily Peralta – (3-2), 5.54 ERA, 4.62 K/9, 1.54 WHIP | Bronson Arroyo – (2-4), 4.3 ERA, 4.89 K/9, 1.17 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (1-11 H/AB) 0.091 BA-A, 36.36 K%, 0.273 OPS-A | PvB | (67-282 H/AB) 0.238 BA-A, 17.73 K%, 0.73 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 3.55 ERA, 0 HRA, 5 K/9, 1.184 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 3.67 ERA, 2 HRA, 7 K/9, 1.148 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIL BvP | MIL vs R | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored CIN -160
Pitchers
- Home Bronson Arroyo has not had a clean start all year and he has given up at least 2 ER in each of his 7 starts. I do not think that that run will end today. With so many better options, why bother with him today. MIL is battong .235 on the road, .254 versus right-handers and .298 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Wily Peralta has not looked good in his first few starts of the year. If you want to take a player who is going to give up at least 2 ER and is not going to get you many Ks then he is your guy. CIN is batting .267 at home, .239 versus right-handers, and .274 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Jay Bruce, Joey Votto and Shin-Soo Choo are the guys to look towards today. All have been hot and gain the splits in their favor this afternoon.
- Away Jonathan Lucroy, Aramis Ramirez and Ryan Braun have had success versus Arroyo in the past. Jean Segura and Ryan Braun have been hot over the last 7.
Pittsburgh at NY Mets
| Pittsburgh | NY Mets | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citi Field | 1:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeanmar Gomez – (2-0), 2.38 ERA, 6.08 K/9, 1.28 WHIP | Matt Harvey – (4-0), 1.28 ERA, 10.63 K/9, 0.69 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-3 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 33.33 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 4.15 ERA, 3 HRA, 4.2 K/9, 1.385 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 1.24 ERA, 1 HRA, 11.2 K/9, 0.552 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PIT BvP | PIT vs R | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored NYM -200
Pitchers
- Home Matt Harvey is the best pitcher in baseball. Which overwhelming stat do you want me to list? The only thing you have to worry about him today is overlay. Target
- Away Jeanmar Gomez is another eliever making a start today. He made it 5 IP in his last outing and has been crisp but 80 pitches seems to be his cut off so there is not much upside in playing him. Avoid
Batters
- Home Gomez has been tough on the year and the low OU make me think that offense will be hard to come by. I might gamble on Ike Davis or Lucas Duda since they gain the splits in their favor but I am looking to other teams to fill out my LUs today.
- Away If you like watching your batters score negative points then take some Pirates today.
Chicago Cubs at Washington
| Chicago Cubs | Washington | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals Park | 1:35 PM | ||||||
| Scott Feldman – (3-3), 2.7 ERA, 6.71 K/9, 1.12 WHIP | Gio Gonzalez – (3-2), 4.97 ERA, 9.71 K/9, 1.34 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (9-33 H/AB) 0.273 BA-A, 12.12 K%, 0.606 OPS-A | PvB | (23-73 H/AB) 0.315 BA-A, 20.55 K%, 0.849 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 3.86 ERA, 3 HRA, 5 K/9, 1.469 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 3.38 ERA, 3 HRA, 8.3 K/9, 0.958 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CHC BvP | CHC vs L | WSN BvP | WSN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 6.5
- Favored WAS -160
Pitchers
- Home Gio Gonzalez takes the mound in a game with a low OU in which he is the heavy favorite. That makes him an instant target. He has yet to have a dominant performance on the year but I bet that happens today versus the Cubs. The K totals are there so his upside is high. CHC is batting .219 on the road, .243 versus right-handers, .258 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away I wonder how many people had Scott Feldman when he went 9 IP with 12 Ks a couple of starts ago. I would npt expect those kind of numbers again since the 12 Ks are nearly half of his total Ks on the year. WAS is slumping a bit at the plate but considering Feldman today would be playing too cute for your own good. WAS is batting .224 at home, .245 versus right-handers, and .251 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Ian Desmond has been very hot producing 24.75 fp over the last 7 days. Bryce Harper should be back in this one and gains the splits in his favor.
- Away If you are playing the fade then Starlin Castro and Alfonso Soriano have positive BvPS versus Gonzalez. Anthony Rizzo has been hot over the last 7 days producing 26.5 fp.
Toronto at Boston
| Toronto | Boston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenway Park | 1:35 PM | ||||||
| Chad Jenkins – | Ryan Dempster – (2-3), 2.93 ERA, 11.51 K/9, 1.09 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (19-108 H/AB) 0.176 BA-A, 25 K%, 0.546 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (1-2), 2.81 ERA, 4 HRA, 12.1 K/9, 0.969 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TOR BvP | TOR vs R | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored BOS -200
Pitchers
- Home Ryan Dempster is a K machine and faces a team that Ks a lot. He is a huge favorite and even though the OU is high should get enough strikeouts to mke him playable even if he does get roughed up. TOR is batting.233 on the road, .235 versus right-handers, and .263 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away Chad Jenkins has not looked bad in his brief stints in the majors but he is still a Triple A pitcher with limited K/9 upside. If he is so cheap on a site like DraftStreet then you can consider playing him as a value play because he could far exceed his value but I would look elsewhere today. BOS is batting .266 at home, .282 versus right-handers, and .256 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Gentlemen start your BOS stacks!
- Away TOR has a .176 BAA versus Dempster as a team and no one has been all that hot over the last 7 days. It is probably best to look away from them today.
