MLB Daily Grind Down May 24th Part 3
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Oakland at Houston
| Oakland | Houston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minute Maid Park | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Tommy Milone – (3-5), 3.71 ERA, 7.94 K/9, 1.18 WHIP | Erik Bedard – (0-2), 6.67 ERA, 10.33 K/9, 1.67 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (9-37 H/AB) 0.243 BA-A, 21.62 K%, 0.541 OPS-A | PvB | (5-29 H/AB) 0.172 BA-A, 24.14 K%, 0.69 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 4.94 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.6 K/9, 1.394 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 2.87 ERA, 3 HRA, 11.5 K/9, 1.149 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
OAK BvP  | OAK vs L | HOU BvP | HOU vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored OAK -165
Pitchers
- Home Erik Bedard ‘s best 2 start have been his last 2 but he has only qualified for the win in 2 of his first nine outings. You cannot play him. OAK is batting .249 on the road, .265 versus left-handers and .238 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Tommy Milone is one of the few pitcher I will not recommend you take versus the Astros because he is left-handed and HOU hits lefties well. I know it is very trendy to take whatever pitcher is taking the Astros because they have the most Ks in the league but his K/9 is on the low side so even if it gets a slight bump it will be only average. HOU is batting .239 at home, .280 versus left-handers, and .249 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home I like HOU as a strong source of value today so sprinklea few players into your LUs. Brandon Barmes, Brandon Laird, and Jose Altuve all crush left-handers and are playable either way you go.
- Away Berdard ‘s worst start of the year came against OAK in which he lasted only 0.1 IP and gave up 6 ER. OAK cam to life the last time they visited HOU. Gentlemen start your OAK stacks. Yoenis Cespedes has been hot producing 21.5 fp and draws the lefty today so he is playable either way.
San Diego at Arizona
| San Diego | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Eric Stults – (3-3), 4.57 ERA, 6.19 K/9, 1.41 WHIP | Brandon McCarthy – (0-3), 5.63 ERA, 6 K/9, 1.54 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (15-56 H/AB) 0.268 BA-A, 23.21 K%, 0.929 OPS-A | PvB | (2-8 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 12.5 K%, 0.75 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-2), 3.9 ERA, 2 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.4 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 5.68 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.5 K/9, 1.453 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SDP BvP | SDP vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored ARI -140
Pitchers
- Home If you had Brandon McCarthy in his last start then you won some serious money in your GPP. In his last 17 IP of work, he has 10 Ks and 0 ERA. Granted, those starts were against PHI and MIA but SDG is not any better. However, hiis troubles have come at home where he is 5.68 pitcher and he is allowing a much too high BAA of .305 with an even split between righties and lefties. SDG is batting .239 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .262 over the last 7 days. Their batters have the 8th most Ks in the league. In Play
- Away Eric Stults in ARI is not playable. He had a great start the last time he took the mound but has very little upside with only 36 Ks in 9 starts. ARI is batting .252 at home, .235 versus left-handers, and .263 over the last 7 days. Their batters have the 20th most Ks in the league. Avoid
Batters
- Home Will Nieves should get the start against the lefty and has a .350 batting average versus southpaws. Paul Goldschmidt remains hot producing 22.5 fp. He is 2-6 versus Stults with 1 HR. His dominance versus left-handers might be overrated but he does gain the traditional splits in his favor today. Martin Prado is 5-11 vs. Stults and Cody Ross is 2-5 with 1 HR also .
- Away There is not a lot of BvP data but Jedd Gyorko, Everth Cabrera, and Yonder Alonso have all produced over 20 fp over the last week. Chase Headley is player everyone likes to take on the road based off of his 2012 numbers. I think all of SDG players get a slight bump in this hitter’s park. I am not buying into McCarthy’s hot streak.
St. Louis at LA Dodgers
| St. Louis | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Lance Lynn – (6-1), 2.88 ERA, 9.72 K/9, 1.08 WHIP | Chris Capuano – (1-2), 6.6 ERA, 7.8 K/9, 1.73 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (6-33 H/AB) 0.182 BA-A, 24.24 K%, 0.485 OPS-A | PvB | (43-122 H/AB) 0.352 BA-A, 12.3 K%, 1.049 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 3.91 ERA, 3 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.217 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 8.03 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.6 K/9, 1.865 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| STL BvP | STL vs L | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored STL -120
Pitchers
- Home The argument could be made that Chris Capuano is rounding into form. His last to starts were well above average. However, STL owns a very hefty .353 BAA and 1.007 OPS as a team versus him and his two starts before those were really bad. Vegas likes him to keep it close but his low K/9 gives you little wiggle room if they are wrong. STL is batting .267 on the road, .223 versus left-handers, and .295 over the last 7 days. Their batters have the 25th most Ks in the league. Avoid
- Away Lance Lynn price tag today will probably be too high because he is a very average pitcher on the road. All of his numbers take a significant dip and there are a few sites that take this into consideration but most use season averages to determine their salary. He is capable of GPP winning performances and there are very few guys like that going today but I do not trust him on the road. LAD is batting .256 at home, .243 versus right-handers, and .224 over the last 7 days. They have the 26th most Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home I think LAD gets to Lynn a little today but the team has been slumping so it is hard to suggest anyone. Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford get the splits in their favor.
- Away There are positive BvPs to be had by all of STK starters except for Jon Jay who is 1-6. Matt Holliday ‘s numbers are the most impressive. He is 10-27 with 2 HRs. Allen Craig has been hot producing 20.25 fp over the last 7 days. Molina, Craig, Holliday and Beltran all hit left-handers at a high rate.
Texas at Seattle
| Texas | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Justin Grimm – (2-3), 4.28 ERA, 9.22 K/9, 1.49 WHIP | Joe Saunders – (3-4), 5.64 ERA, 3.79 K/9, 1.61 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (11-42 H/AB) 0.262 BA-A, 26.19 K%, 0.762 OPS-A | PvB | (47-151 H/AB) 0.311 BA-A, 9.27 K%, 0.954 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 5.14 ERA, 4 HRA, 6.9 K/9, 1.571 WHIP | HOME | (3-0), 0.94 ERA, 1 HRA, 4.7 K/9, 0.872 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TEX BvP | TEX vs L | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored TEX -120
Pitchers
- Home Joe Saunders has been awesome at home with a 0.94 ERA. I am not buying into this number. My question to you is if whoever is playing HOU becomes playable because they lead the league in Ks then does whoever is playing TEX become unplayable because the have the least amount of Ks in the league. If you trust the home ERA then use him as a second starter but I am looking towards a player with more upside for my rosters. In Play
- Away Justin Grimm at times has looked very good. He seems to pitch better in pitcher friendly parks and SEA is certainly that. He catches a very cold SEA team. SEA is batting .252 at home, .233 versus right-handers, and .227 over the last 7 days. Their batters have the 4th most Ks in the league. In Play
Batters
- Home Franklin Gutierrez has a HR the last time he faced Grimm. No one on the team has been hot and they seem to be struggling all around.
- Away With a Lefty on the hill, you have to like Adrian Beltre and Nelson Cruz. Beltre robbed me of a DFBC birth a couple of nights ago. He will be in my LUs tonight so hopefully he can win me one.
Colorado at San Francisco
| Colorado | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 10:15 PM | ||||||
| Tyler Chatwood – (1-0), 3 ERA, 6 K/9, 1.42 WHIP | Tim Lincecum – (3-2), 4.07 ERA, 9.71 K/9, 1.38 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (19-67 H/AB) 0.284 BA-A, 7.46 K%, 0.791 OPS-A | PvB | (88-318 H/AB) 0.277 BA-A, 21.38 K%, 0.811 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 0 ERA, 0 HRA, 7.5 K/9, 0.833 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 3.71 ERA, 2 HRA, 9.8 K/9, 1.163 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs R | SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored SFO -160
Pitchers
- Home Tim Lincecum is a 3.71 pitcher at home on the year. He has been very inconsistent but when he is on he can produce GPP winning outings COL is a tough draw even on the road. They are batting .260 on the road, .270 versus right-handers, and .272 over the last 7 days. Their batters have the 17th most Ks in the league. The BvP numbers are large and they favor COL but Tim is always a nice GPP play and Vegas likes him. In Play
- Away Tyler Chatwood WHIP is on the high side at 1.58 so do not be fooled by his low ERA of 2.55 which is much lower than his career average of 4.77. Granted, he is only 23. If you think his luck will continue then you can consider playing him today if you also believe Lincecum will implode. SFO is batting .282 at home, .277 versus right-handers, and .294 over the last 7 days. The have the 28th most Ks in the league. The numbers all favor SFO. Avoid
Batters
- Home Pablo Sandoval is 3-6 with 1 HR versus Chatwood. Marco scutaro is 3-10 versus him and is batting .352 versus right-handers. SFO has cooled of scoring runs as of late but they have been getting hits. I think they get to Chatwood a little today s I would consider playing everyone.
- Away Carlos Gonzalez is 12-44 with 2 HRs versus Lincecum, Willin Rosario is 6-14 with 2 HRs. Michael Cuddyer and Troy Tulowitzki ‘s BvPs are positive as well. Carlos Gonzalez has been very hot producing 36 fp over the last 7 days. Tulowitzki and Cuddyer are both batting over .300 versus right-handers.
