MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, August 31st Page Three
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Minnesota vs. Texas
| 8:05 PM | Minnesota – ROAD | Texas – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.241 | 0.698 | 22.20% | 0.54 | 0.262 | 0.740 | 16.80% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.238 | 0.695 | 22.00% | 0.43 | 0.260 | 0.737 | 16.70% | 0.47 | |
| SP STATS | Pelfrey – RHP | Garza – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.55 | 5.06 | 5.28 | 6.21 | 1.17 | 3.69 | 8.00 | 11.79 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.33 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 1.36 | 5.93 | 10.91 | 12.10 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
MIN vs R  | MIN BvP | TEX vs R | TEX BvP | ||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
- Mike Pelfrey – Nope. Nope nope nope nope nope. Don’t try to get cute.
- Matt Garza – His K-rate is over 10/9 IP over the last 2 weeks but his ERA is inflated as well. He’s been struggling, having allowed 4 ER or more in each of his last 6 starts. I watched Yu fail to get the win as a -300 favorite on Friday night so I can’t fully buy into Garza tonight. With that said, he’s -230 and the Twins are far from frightening especially without Morneau. If his price has dropped recently, take a chance on Garza. If he’s still priced near Anibal, take Anibal.
Batter Grind Down
- Righties are hitting .330 off Pelfrey and lefties are at .280 so it’s kind of a “take whoever the hell you want situation for Texas”.
- I will say that Leonys Martin is a whole different player at home and vs. righties. He’s a terrific play at the top of that lineup who can get on base and steal some bases, as well as put a couple of XBH out there.
- I don’t like the Twins, they’re really boring and even when they score it’s usually by moving runners around and playing fundamental baseball. Don’t get me wrong that’s cool and all but it’s terrible for DFS.
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Cincinnati vs. Colorado
| 8:10 PM | Cincinnati – ROAD | Colorado – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.249 | 0.718 | 20.10% | 0.58 | 0.264 | 0.735 | 19.80% | 0.60 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.251 | 0.723 | 20.10% | 0.47 | 0.266 | 0.749 | 19.90% | 0.48 | |
| SP STATS | Reynolds – RHP | Nicasio – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.46 | 5.73 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 1.39 | 4.57 | 6.61 | 7.76 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.17 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 1.28 | 1.53 | 7.33 | 12.07 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| CIN vs R | CIN BvP | COL vs R | COL BvP | ||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
- Greg Reynolds – He doesn’t strike many batters out and while he was actually OK in his last start, I would be shocked if anyone touched him in Coors.
- Juan Nicasio – 6 IP and 9 K’s last time out in Coors against the Giants? Wow I never thought he had that in him. But the Reds aren’t the Giants and I’m not expecting lightning to strike twice. This game should be high scoring.
Batter Grind Down
- Righties are hitting .293 off Nicasio this season and my main man Ryan Ludwick went yard on Friday night at a cheap price tag. Get him in if he’s hitting in the meat of the order.
- Lefties hit for a lower average but more pop against Nicasio, which could be the perfect storm for boom or bust specialist Jay Bruce tonight.
- In 20 AB (tiny sample size) lefties are hitting .400 off of Reynolds. Todd Helton is a man possessed over the last week and is 100% in play even with a rising price tag. Corey Dickerson is also a nice value lefty bats for the Rockies.
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San Francisco vs. Arizona
| 8:10 PM | San Francisco – ROAD | Arizona – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.259 | 0.692 | 16.90% | 0.51 | 0.259 | 0.717 | 18.30% | 0.56 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.261 | 0.701 | 16.80% | 0.40 | 0.257 | 0.716 | 18.90% | 0.45 | |
| SP STATS | Vogelsong – RHP | Cahill – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.52 | 5.58 | 7.23 | 7.38 | 1.38 | 4.39 | 6.58 | 7.96 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.04 | 2.41 | 6.43 | 10.07 | 1.19 | 2.81 | 7.31 | 10.67 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| SFG vs R | SFG BvP | ARI vs R | ARI BvP | ||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
- Ryan Vogelsong – Well he showed flashes of his former self his last time out and was actually solid against the BoSox the time before that, except for a rough first inning. The Dbacks got shut down by Big Time Timmy Jim on Friday night and while I don’t love the play, I can see it being a viable GPP option.
- Trevor Cahill – Cahill is one of my top pitching options tonight. He looked good in each of his last 2 starts and while he can always blow up, he has nice bang for your back against an offense that has been almost as bad as the Marlins and Astros.
Batter Grind Down
- Marco Scutaro is 4-13 lifetime off Cahill and Buster Posey is 3-11 with a HR.
- Avoid Martin Prado, who’s just 2-11 off Vogelsong with 2 Ks.
- Righties are still hitting .324 off Vogelsong so Paul Goldschmidt is definitely a great high-priced 1B play. Although every time I take him he sucks. I promise I won’t take him tonight though so he does well for you.
- Aaron Hill is 6-12 with a HR against Vogey and is red hot right now. Keep rolling him out.
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Tampa Bay vs. Oakland
| 9:07 PM | Tampa Bay – ROAD | Oakland – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.262 | 0.748 | 18.70% | 0.62 | 0.244 | 0.718 | 19.40% | 0.59 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.253 | 0.739 | 18.70% | 0.49 | 0.244 | 0.710 | 19.10% | 0.46 | |
| SP STATS | Cobb – RHP | Gray – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.19 | 2.87 | 8.27 | 12.01 | 1.03 | 3.18 | 9.61 | 8.68 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.36 | 2.16 | 8.89 | 12.07 | 1.05 | 3.93 | 9.45 | 11.03 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| TBR vs R | TBR BvP | OAK vs R | OAK BvP | ||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
- Alex Cobb – 2 of his 3 starts since coming off the DL were gems but this Oakland team right now is just killing everyone they face. Moss, Crisp and Lowrie are all on fire and until that changes I don’t think I can play anyone against them. He’s a great option if you think that the A’s will come back down to earth but they recently burned Scherzer, Anibal and Price so I won’t be on that train.
- Sonny Gray – In 2 home starts he has 16 K’s in 15 IP with a 1.20 ERA and a .118 BA-A. Those were also against Seattle and Houston. I like Gray a lot though against the Rays who have struggled scoring of late and especially on sites like StarStreet where longevity is a big key to scoring high. He’s averaged 7.5 IP in both of his home starts.
Batter Grind Down
- I’m not sure who to target against Gray since his sample size is pretty low and he’s been solid overall. So instead I’ll trust the hot hand in Matt Joyce. He’s 12 for his last 30 with 3 HRs.
- For Oakland, I’m scared away by the .227 batting average Cobb has allowed lefties to hit at. I still think Moss, Crisp and Lowrie are all locked in and could go yard at any moment but with the O/U set at 7 this whole game seems like a good one to avoid.
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San Diego vs. LA Dodgers
| 9:10 PM | San Diego – ROAD | LA Dodgers – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.247 | 0.693 | 20.90% | 0.54 | 0.266 | 0.723 | 18.40% | 0.56 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.254 | 0.734 | 21.30% | 0.47 | 0.271 | 0.728 | 18.00% | 0.44 | |
| SP STATS | Cashner – RHP | Capuano – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.21 | 3.55 | 6.25 | 8.11 | 1.44 | 4.74 | 6.54 | 6.50 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.71 | 0.64 | 6.43 | 11.50 | 1.40 | 5.40 | 3.60 | 4.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| SDP vs L | SDP BvP | LAD vs R | LAD BvP | ||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
- Andrew Cashner – Besides looking like RotoGrinders’ own Cal Spears, Cashner has been tough to predict this season. He just tossed a 7 inning, 7 strikeout gem against the Cubbies but the Dodgers aren’t that soft. His ERA on the road is double what it is at home so I’ll be passing on him I think tonight.
- Chris Capuano – The Padres hit lefties well and Capuano sucks. I wouldn’t take him ever, I mean that.
Batter Grind Down
- Jesus Guzman mashes lefties and is 6 for his last 16 with 3 XBH. I also really like lefty killers Chris Denorfia, Jedd Gyorko, Chase Headley and Nick Hundley for some great value tonight.
- Headley is also 4-14 with a HR off Cap. Even the lefty Yonder Alonso is 6-13 off Capuano lifetime.
- I may be slowly talking myself into a Padres stack but I really like them tonight. Capuano can’t get righties out, as they’re hitting .313 against him and this San Diego lineup is stuffed with right handed bats.
- On the flip side Cashner has been great against right handers but struggled a bit against LHB, allowing them to hit about .260 with a .760 OPS against. Adrian Gonzalez went yard on Friday and could be in line for another tonight.
- Carl Crawford is another strong play. If he can get on base he can swipe some bags from Cashner.
- Overall, I really see this game going well above the 7.5 over/under line. Neither pitcher is very good and both offenses hit well in the given scenario (Home vs. Right for LAD, and Away vs. Left for SDP)
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