MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, July 20th: Part Three
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San Diego vs. St. Louis
| 7:15 PM | San Diego – ROAD | St. Louis – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.243 | 0.689 | 20.90% | 0.55 | 0.276 | 0.753 | 17.60% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.239 | 0.675 | 21.30% | 0.39 | 0.287 | 0.768 | 17.90% | 0.49 | |
| SP STATS | Volquez – RHP | Lynn – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.63 | 5.74 | 7.75 | 7.86 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 8.85 | 11.79 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.86 | 7.16 | 8.39 | 6.03 | 1.75 | 6.75 | 8.95 | 8.37 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
SDP vs R  | SDP BvP | STL vs R | STL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5
- Favored Team – STL -210
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home I thank the fantasy Gods when I see a player going like Lance Lynn at home. He is night and day different at home versus on the road, which is fantasy gold for the well informed. Most daily players look at his average ERA of 4.00. They do not see his home ERA of 2.44 with a home K/9 of 8.75. SDG is an easy draw. They are batting .255 on the road, .241 versus right-handers and .221 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10
- Away If you cannot pitch well in SDG, then you cannot pitch well anywhere. Edinson Volquez is having another horrible year and it will not get any better against the league’s 3rd best offense on the road. If you really want to lose then take Volquez today. STL is batting .281 at home, .289 versus right-handers. and .324 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
Batter Grind Down
- Home Don’t worry about the mules. Just load the Wagons! Matt Holiday ‘s BvPs are the best if he plays. RG Stack Rating 9
- Away Play the fade on your own dime today. I cannot recommend anyone from SDG. RG Stack Rating 1
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Baltimore vs. Texas
| 8:05 PM | Baltimore – ROAD | Texas – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.266 | 0.762 | 18.40% | 0.64 | 0.260 | 0.739 | 17.30% | 0.60 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.274 | 0.786 | 18.20% | 0.53 | 0.264 | 0.756 | 17.30% | 0.49 | |
| SP STATS | Gonzalez – RHP | Wolf – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.19 | 3.48 | 6.77 | 10.38 | 1.18 | 2.14 | 2.44 | 2.94 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.23 | 1.42 | 5.90 | 11.10 | 1.16 | 3.65 | 2.23 | 2.53 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| BAL vs R | BAL BvP | TEX vs R | TEX BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5
- Favored Team – TEX -113
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Quick everyone put Ross Wolf in your LU. In case you did not notice, I was being sarcastic. Life must be tough when you live under the shadow of someone as forgettable as Randy Wolf. He threw less than 80 pitches in his first stint in the rotation. There is no reason to believe that changes today. BAL is batting .268 on the road, .273 versus right-handers, and .236 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3
- Away Notorious had a very telling stat about TEX yesterday. He said that they have hit the under almost all year, which to me shows a team that people believe is better than it actually is. Miguel Gonzalez has been fantastic on the year and he is actually better on the road. In his 1 start versus TEX this year he held them to 1 ER in 6.2 IP. TEX is batting .267 at home, .264 versus right-handers and .260 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
Batter Grind Down
- Home TEX is becoming like TAM to me in which I only consider them versus a lefty. The OU is high but they have not shown me much so I think I will take a pass on them today. A.J. Pierzynski is about the only bat I would consider. RG Stack Rating 4
- Away This LU crushes right-handed pitching. I am going to go out on alimb and say that they hang a solid number on Wolf today. Chris Davis 1.239 OPS versus right-handers is playable either way and he went 2-4 with an HR just a week ago versus Wolf RG Stack Rating 6
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Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado
| 8:10 PM | Chicago Cubs – ROAD | Colorado – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.243 | 0.710 | 19.20% | 0.56 | 0.265 | 0.747 | 19.80% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.247 | 0.713 | 17.90% | 0.44 | 0.270 | 0.771 | 20.00% | 0.52 | |
| SP STATS | Villanueva – RHP | Nicasio – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.16 | 3.59 | 6.85 | 4.50 | 1.40 | 4.89 | 6.03 | 7.01 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.15 | 3.55 | 7.38 | 5.73 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 3.86 | 14.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| CHC vs R | CHC BvP | COL vs R | COL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 10
- Favored Team – COL -155
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Juan Nicasio is not a bad pitcher but he is not a player worth taking in COL. He has very low K/9potential and has only thrown over 100 pitches in 1 of his starts this year. See the high OU. Avoid even against CHC! CHC is batting .231 on the road, .247 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
- Away Carlos Villanueva is a long reliever making a spot start in COL in a game that has an OU of 10 in which he is the heavy dog. This one reads itself. COL is batting .280 at home, .268 versu right-handers and .226 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1
Batter Grind Down
- Home COL as a team has a .382 BAA versus CV. Consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 8
- Away I love all of CHC today because they offer extreme value in a game that has an incredibly high OU. If they are starting then I am playing them. Alfonso Soriano is your best bet because he is red hot. RG Stack Rating 5
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Arizona vs. San Francisco
| 9:05 PM | Arizona – ROAD | San Francisco – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.256 | 0.708 | 18.50% | 0.54 | 0.264 | 0.707 | 17.40% | 0.53 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.256 | 0.715 | 19.30% | 0.45 | 0.266 | 0.703 | 17.40% | 0.40 | |
| SP STATS | Miley – LHP | Cain – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.38 | 4.01 | 6.58 | 9.12 | 1.18 | 5.06 | 8.28 | 9.05 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.13 | 1.66 | 6.79 | 13.73 | 5.00 | 33.00 | 6.00 | -3.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| ARI vs R | ARI BvP | SFG vs L | SFG BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 7
- Favored Team – SFO -130
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home This is why I am. not off the Matt Cain Gravy Train at home even though he has been awful on the year. His WHIP is roughly the same as it is for his career average despite his ERA being a full 1 and a half points higher. To, me that shows a buy low senerio and I will be jumping on him until his price creeps back to where it should be. Vegas still believes in him based off the line and the OU and so do I. ARI is batting .259 on the road, .255 versus right-handers, and .179 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8 (Ballsy I Know)
- Away Wade Miley is not in a good spot here because SFO hit lefties very well. He has more problems with left-handers than right-handers but to me that just means all of SFO LU is playable. SFO is batting .270 at home, .263 versus left-handers, and .282 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3
Batter Grind Down
- Home Very low OU in this one but it hard not to like the right-handed bats of Posey, Sandoval and Pence in this one. I think a stack might work here also RG Stack Rating 5
- Away If you think I am crazy about Cain then load up on the left-handed bats. Paul Goldschmidt is actually batting better against right-handers than left-handers on the year. RG Stack Rating 2
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Oakland vs. LA Angels
| 9:05 PM | Oakland – ROAD | LA Angels – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.245 | 0.718 | 19.60% | 0.60 | 0.267 | 0.755 | 18.20% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.243 | 0.727 | 19.90% | 0.48 | 0.277 | 0.778 | 17.90% | 0.51 | |
| SP STATS | Straily – RHP | Wilson – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.13 | 4.28 | 7.43 | 9.43 | 1.33 | 3.37 | 8.24 | 11.64 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 0.69 | 0.68 | 8.93 | 16.55 | 1.21 | 1.32 | 7.50 | 13.10 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| OAK vs L | OAK BvP | LAA vs R | LAA BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8
- Favored Team – LAA -137
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Just like that C.J. Wilson went from having a subpar season to having a really great year. He has been a beast at home with a 2.51 ERA and he catches a struggling OAK team that will most likely be without their best hitter. OAK is batting .250 on the road, .245 versus left-handers, and .167 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8
- Away Dan Straily has been awful on the road and he does not get the kind of Ks you need from a SP in order to win a GPP. He makes a great matchup play versus weaker opponents but on the road versus a very tough LAA team is not the matchup you are looking to exploit. LAA is batting .280 at home, .277 versus right-handers, and .259 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4
Batter Grind Down
- Home Mike Trout is 5-10 versus Straily. Josh Hamilton has been heating up. RG Stack Rating 4
- Away Josh Donaldson is batting .360 versus left-handed pitching. He is also 4-14 with 1 HR versus Wilson RG Stack Rating 2
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