MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, September 28th

by John Britt (jmbwngfn) Last Updated 2013-09-28 18:24:03

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

LA Angels vs. Texas

12:05 PM	LA Angels – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.263	0.743	18.90%	0.61		0.262	0.740	16.80%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.258	0.752	19.00%	0.51		0.261	0.731	17.10%	0.46
SP STATS	Richards – RHP					Holland – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.31	3.77	6.49	4.56		1.30	3.48	7.96	10.78
LAST 14 DAYS	1.44	2.63	6.82	11.60		1.67	8.00	4.00	2.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAA vs L		LAA BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Garrett Richards – Richards has pitched respectfully since the All-Star break, posting a 5-3 and a 3.43 ERA since the All-Star break. It’s probably best to avoid him today though as the Rangers will be in “all hands on deck” mode. Pitcher Rating: 4 out of 10

• Derek Holland – Holland was dominant in his last start and will look to keep it going today in order to keep the Rangers playoff hopes alive. He’s struggled versus the Angels this season but they’re just going through the motions at this point. Pitcher Rating: 7 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

Ian Kinsler is heating up down the stretch but has an eight game hitting streak snapped last night.
Lefties have had much more success than right handed batter have versus Richards this season and are hitting .282 off of him.

Tampa Bay vs. Toronto

1:07 PM	Tampa Bay – ROAD					Toronto – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.262	0.748	18.70%	0.62		0.252	0.733	18.00%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.274	0.751	18.30%	0.48		0.254	0.744	18.00%	0.49
SP STATS	Archer – RHP					Happ – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.08	3.02	6.64	9.86		1.49	4.82	7.64	7.57
LAST 14 DAYS	0.67	1.50	9.75	13.50		1.35	3.18	10.54	10.05
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TBR vs L		TBR BvP			TOR vs R		TOR BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Chris Archer – The 24 year old has been a pleasant surprise for the Rays this season and sports a fantastic 3.21 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. He’s had few problems with the Blue Jays lineup in either of their prior two meetings and will be motivated to secure the Rays a playoff spot. Pitcher Rating: 6 out of 10

• J.A. Happ – Happ has been decent (by his standards) lately, but has been knocked around by the Rays this season and is not a reliable fantasy option. Pitcher Rating: 2 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

Avoid all Toronto Right handed batters as Chris Archer is has held them to an abysmal .165 batting average.
Happ sports a case of the “reverse splits” as lefties are hitting .309 off of him this year.

Milwaukee vs. NY Mets

1:10 PM	Milwaukee – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.254	0.714	19.70%	0.57		0.239	0.683	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.250	0.702	18.90%	0.42
SP STATS	* – *					Harang – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON						1.34	5.69	7.21	7.21
LAST 14 DAYS						1.27	4.91	14.73	11.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIL vs R		MIL BvP					NYM BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Jimmy Nelson – I’ve never watch Nelson pitch, but his AAA numbers suggest that he has decent stuff. He fanned more than a batter an inning for Nashville but also appears to have some serious control issues. He’s nothing more than a GPP flier today. Pitcher Rating: 3 out of 10

• Aaron Harang – Even in the most advantageous matchups I simply can’t recommend Harang. Pass. Pitcher Rating: 3 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

Aramis Ramirez is 21 for 63 with five career homeruns off of the Harangatang.
Daniel Murphy enters today’s games on a nine game hitting streak.

NY Yankees vs. Houston

2:10 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Houston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.246	0.685	19.40%	0.55		0.239	0.683	25.60%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.245	0.694	19.80%	0.42		0.256	0.707	25.60%	0.42
SP STATS	Pettitte – LHP					Clemens – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.36	3.88	6.29	9.07		1.50	5.69	5.96	2.53
LAST 14 DAYS	1.05	2.70	6.30	9.33		1.61	4.63	4.82	5.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs R		NYY BvP			HOU vs L		HOU BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Andy Pettitte – This will be the last start of his 18 year career and he gets a nice parting gift with a favorable matchup versus the Astros. He’s been terrific since the all-star break and has pitched very well away from Yankee Stadium this season. The Astros roughed him up in their only other meeting this season, but something tells me that Pettitte is going to go out with a bang. Pitcher Rating: 8 out of 10

• Paul Clemens – Clemens versus Pettite used to be a Marquis matchup, but unfortunately Paul Clemens doesn’t have the same pedigree as Roger did. He owns a 5.69 ERA on the year and is not a relevant fantasy option. Pitcher Rating: 1 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

Chris Carter is looking for his first 30 homerun season, but may struggle to get there since he’s hitting just .165 at home in 2013.
Robinson Cano said he’s seeking a $305 million contract….. if you plans on getting that kind of dough, then he better take full advantage of matchups against pitchers like Paul Clemens.

San Diego vs. San Francisco

4:05 PM	San Diego – ROAD					San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.247	0.693	20.90%	0.54		0.259	0.692	16.90%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.242	0.671	20.90%	0.38		0.260	0.689	17.30%	0.39
SP STATS	Stults – LHP					Petit – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.28	4.02	5.82	8.52		1.13	2.84	9.18	13.01
LAST 14 DAYS	1.27	3.27	8.18	10.50		1.44	4.00	7.50	9.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SDP vs R		SDP BvP			SFG vs L		SFG BvP

Pitcher Grind Down

• Eric Stults – Stultz has been decent for the Padres this year, but has struggled down the stretch and has not had success away from Petco Park. The Giants have several players who feast on left-handed pitching, so you’d be better off looking elsewhere. Pitcher Rating: 4 out of 10

• Yusmeiro Petit – Petit has been sensational; posting a 4-0 record with a 2.84 ERA and more than a strikeout per inning in 2013. However, San Diego was one of the few teams to rough him up and they tend to me a tough team to pitch against. Pitcher Rating: 6 out of 10

Batter Grind Down

Righties are hitting .303 off of Stultz this season.
Buster Posey owns a career OPS of 1.006 versus lefties and is 7 for 15 off of Stultz

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