MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, July 21st: Page Two

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-22 01:24:59

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Miami vs. Milwaukee

2:10 PM	Miami – ROAD					Milwaukee – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.233	0.632	18.90%	0.44		0.257	0.714	19.30%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.234	0.628	18.10%	0.33		0.256	0.714	18.20%	0.43
SP STATS	Alvarez – RHP					Peralta – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.63	4.58	5.23	6.07		1.49	4.61	5.57	7.66
LAST 14 DAYS	1.63	4.58	5.23	6.07		1.00	0.42	8.10	15.70
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIA vs R		MIA BvP			MIL vs R		MIL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – MIL -160

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Vegas has Wily Peralta listed as the decent sized favorite. He has actually been pretty good over his last 3 but I think MIA gets to him today. The line is a little too scary for me to gamble. MIA is batting .229 on the road, .233 versus right-handers and, .198 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Henderson Alvarez has been completely useless since moving to the rotation. He is giving up a real high number of fly balls and I could see MIL hanging a very big number on him today. MIL s batting .266 at home, .256 versus right-handers, and .260 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2

Batter Grind Down

• Home Don’t worry about the mules. Just load the wagon on this one! RG Stack Rating 8

• Away Pick your poison with MIA. I think they score 3-5 runs today but good luck predicting who gets it done. RG Stack Rating 1

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Seattle vs. Houston

2:10 PM	Seattle – ROAD					Houston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.244	0.710	21.80%	0.54		0.235	0.668	25.30%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.247	0.721	21.60%	0.46		0.228	0.652	24.80%	0.38
SP STATS	Hernandez – RHP					Lyles – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.10	2.53	9.12	13.96		1.37	4.02	6.17	8.23
LAST 14 DAYS	1.09	1.64	6.95	14.33		1.31	4.15	3.46	6.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SEA vs R		SEA BvP			HOU vs R		HOU BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – SEA -180

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Jordan Lyles is not good to begin with and today he goes against one of the very best pitcher in baseball. Even I am not that wild. SEA is batting .230 on the road, .233 versus right-handers,and .236 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Felix Hernandez is about as close to you can get to a must play today versus HOU. He is a lock to get the win and should get 8 Ks in the process. Make him fit into your LU. HOU is batting .230 at home, .229 versus right-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10

Batter Grind Down

• Home Hou has an MLB team? Like me, you should forget the Astros exist. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away I am going to trust the low OU in this one and shy away from SEA. Should be a low scoring affair and there are juicy matchup to be had. RG Stack Rating 4

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Cleveland vs. Minnesota

2:10 PM	Cleveland – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.258	0.749	21.60%	0.66		0.245	0.703	21.00%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.261	0.754	20.60%	0.51		0.241	0.701	20.80%	0.44
SP STATS	Masterson – RHP					Diamond – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.23	3.72	9.13	12.81		1.53	5.32	4.25	5.89
LAST 14 DAYS	1.80	6.35	9.73	7.55		1.69	4.91	4.44	4.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CLE vs L		CLE BvP			MIN vs R		MIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – CLE -150

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Scott Diamond is the easiest guy to avoid today. All of the splits favor the hitters and CLE has a team that eats up left-handed pitching. CLE is batting .259on the road, .260 versus left-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2

• Away Justin Masterson seems to be a lock to get the win this afternoon. He draws a very weak opponent and his road ERA may not be great but his K/9 is stellar so he is more than worth a look. MIN is batting .262 at home, .241 versus right-handers, and .239 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

Batter Grind Down

• Home Mauer, Morneau and Plouffe all have positive BvPs versus Masterson. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away Load up on the right-handed bats of CLE because Diamond is allowing them to bat .340 versus him. RG Stack Rating 7

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Detroit vs. Kansas City

2:10 PM	Detroit – ROAD					Kansas City – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.281	0.785	17.30%	0.66		0.256	0.686	17.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.287	0.794	16.50%	0.53		0.252	0.681	17.30%	0.39
SP STATS	Fister – RHP					Shields – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.25	4.02	6.92	9.89		1.23	3.21	7.78	10.91
LAST 14 DAYS	1.50	7.00	6.50	7.00		1.64	4.67	6.32	8.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	DET vs R		DET BvP			KCR vs R		KCR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – DET -115

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home James Shields gets this start at home and DET is not near the road team that they are at home but you would have to be crazy to take him against this offense today. DET is batting .261 on the road, .286 versus right-handers, and .220 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Doug Fister has not been good over his last 5 outings. He draws a KAN team that has been better lately and does not K all that much to begun with. KAN is batting .248 at home, .251 versus right-handers, and .250 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Doug Foster is beatable. Billy Butler has the best numbers against him with 7-23 line. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away DET has a .316 BAA versus Shields as a team so there are positive numbers to be had by everyone but it is hard to like their overpriced bats today. RG Stack Rating 3

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San Diego vs. St. Louis

2:15 PM	San Diego – ROAD					St. Louis – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.689	20.90%	0.55		0.276	0.753	17.60%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.239	0.675	21.30%	0.39		0.242	0.708	16.70%	0.46
SP STATS	Stults – LHP					Wainwright – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.14	3.40	5.60	9.50		1.01	2.45	8.00	14.21
LAST 14 DAYS	1.20	2.79	4.71	10.37		1.10	3.86	6.86	10.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SDP vs R		SDP BvP			STL vs L		STL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – STL -215

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Adam Wainwright versus SDG is the easiest play of the day. Wainwright has been dealing especially at home where his ERA is a mere 1.78. SDG is no match for him. They are batting .254 on the road, .241 versus right-handers, .256 over the lst 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10

• Away Eric Stults is an okay pitcher but he has no chance on the road versus Wainwright. He is a matchup play at best and STL is not the matchup. STL is batting .278 at home, .242 versus left-handers, and .347 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home The OU is low but I like all of STL right-handed bats today. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away I cannot recommend any of SDG. Play the fade on your own dime if you want.RG Stack Rating

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