MLB Daily Grind Down: Wednesday, September 11th Part 3

by Ethan Haskell (Ethan) Last Updated 2013-09-11 04:17:02

Detroit vs. Chicago White Sox

8:10 PM	Detroit – ROAD				Chicago White Sox – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.282	0.785	16.90%	0.65	0.251	0.683	19.30%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.273	0.782	18.30%	0.53	0.253	0.691	19.30%	0.40
SP STATS	Sanchez – RHP				Quintana – LHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.15	2.61	9.56	13.28	1.24	3.70	7.47	9.39
LAST 14 DAYS	1.26	3.86	7.91	11.40	1.38	4.02	7.70	7.07
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	DET vs L		DET BvP		CHW vs R		CHW BvP

Anibal Sanchez – Anibal is definitely one of the top-5 pitchers available today. He is averaging significantly less FPPG on the road but that’s due to a lack of run support more than his ERA (2.83 on the road, 2.42 at home). Get him in against a porous CWS lineup. Starter Rating: 8 out of 10
Jose Quintana – In one start against DET this year he gave up 3 ER over 8 IP with 7 K’s. He’s a heavy dog here and with the O/U set to 8, Vegas sees Detroit scoring a bit. That’s not surprising since they are one of the best hitting teams vs. LHP in baseball. Starter Rating: 4 out of 10

Miggy and Tuiasosopo both have HRs off Quintana in limited samples.
Quintana has just a .682 OPS against right handed bats on the year, but the 15 HRs have killed him. He’s a reverse splits pitcher though, allowing lefties to hit .744 off of him.
De Aza is the only White Sox bat in play, having hit 2 2B’s and 4 hits in 6 ABs vs. Sanchez.

8:10 PM	Oakland – ROAD				Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.244	0.718	19.40%	0.59	0.241	0.698	22.20%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.244	0.710	19.10%	0.46	0.238	0.695	22.00%	0.43
SP STATS	Gray – RHP				Pelfrey – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.00	2.51	9.21	10.38	1.50	4.97	5.69	6.54
LAST 14 DAYS	0.99	1.23	8.87	15.10	1.08	4.15	9.69	10.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	OAK vs R		OAK BvP		MIN vs R		MIN BvP

Sonny Gray – Outside of one hiccup, 4 of his last 5 starts have been gems and the talented prospect is living up to the hype as the A’s try and keep up. But (in a small sample) his road ERA is over 5 compared to just above 1 at home. I think he has good upside vs. a weak Twins lineup but would be cautious. Starter Rating: 6.5 out of 10
Mike Pelfrey – I have a weird habit of never taking Mike Pelfrey. I think that’s a smart decision. Starter Rating: 0 out of 10

Seth Smith is 6-13 with a HR off Pelfrey.
Left or right handed doesn’t matter vs. Mike. Lefties have a .758 OPS against and righties are at .791.
Sonny Gray has held righties to a .197 average against and lefties to a .209 average. I’d avoid MIN hitters.
Moss, Donaldson and Lowrie are probably my 3 top A’s hitters today.

8:15 PM	Milwaukee – ROAD				St. Louis – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.254	0.714	19.70%	0.57	0.272	0.743	17.90%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.251	0.713	18.90%	0.43	0.284	0.766	17.50%	0.49
SP STATS	Estrada – RHP				Lynn – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.21	4.49	8.18	9.71	1.35	4.37	8.54	10.72
LAST 14 DAYS	1.43	5.14	10.29	11.00	2.67	11.00	10.00	4.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	MIL vs R		MIL BvP		STL vs R		STL BvP

Marco Estrada – In 4 starts against STL he has a 9.61 ERA. That’s a lot of evidence that he can’t get these hitters out. Starter Rating: 1 out of 10
Lance Lynn – At -175 he’s one of the biggest favorites tonight but he hasn’t had a decent start in any of his last 6 appearances and patience is running thin here. He also has a 6.60 ERA in 2 starts vs. MIL this year so I’m fading him this evening. Starter Rating: 5 out of 10

Molina, Beltran, Holliday, Adams, Jay and Freese ALL have HR’s in their lifetimes against Marco Estrada.
Stack up the Cards bats tonight and watch the runs pour in.
Avoid Aramis, who is just 2-13 with 3 K’s vs. Lynn.
David Freese came into Monday with 2 HR and a 1.199 OPS over the last 7 days

10:10 PM	Houston – ROAD				Seattle – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.239	0.683	25.60%	0.54	0.243	0.706	21.70%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.237	0.678	25.30%	0.41	0.248	0.728	21.50%	0.47
SP STATS	Peacock – RHP				Maurer – RHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.46	5.62	8.42	6.75	1.66	6.85	6.50	4.57
LAST 14 DAYS	1.52	5.40	10.45	10.60	2.16	10.13	8.82	2.05
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	HOU vs R		HOU BvP		SEA vs R		SEA BvP

Brad Peacock – Peacock dominated the A’s in his last start and actually has some decent upside but the ERA over 9 against the Mariners this season is as bad as it gets. I expect some runs in this one. Starter Rating: 3 out of 10
Brandon Maurer – He’s really, really, really bad and even against the Astros I can’t bring myself to recommending him. Starter Rating: 3 out of 10

Villar and Altuve are in auto-steal mode every time they got on base. That adds a ton of value especially against the right handed Maurer.
LJ Hoes has been on a tear of late and hits righties a lot better than left.
Maurer allows lefties to a .965 OPS-against and righties to a .885 OPS-against. Basically, target anyone.
Brad Peacock has been great against righties (.198 average allowed) but has been ripped by left handers. Target Ibanez, Seager, Morales and Miller tonight.

10:10 PM	Arizona – ROAD				LA Dodgers – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.259	0.717	18.30%	0.56	0.266	0.723	18.40%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.264	0.718	17.00%	0.42	0.256	0.710	19.20%	0.43
SP STATS	Corbin – LHP				Ryu – LHP
SP STATS	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.08	2.97	7.81	12.29	1.22	3.02	7.49	11.62
LAST 14 DAYS	1.46	5.54	7.62	8.00	1.48	1.42	8.85	15.10
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
BATTER SPLITS	ARI vs L		ARI BvP		LAD vs L		LAD BvP

Patrick Corbin – His K-rate is way down, having struck out just 15 batters in his last 3 starts. He’s also given up a HR in each of his last 5 games played. I’m not saying he’s not a great young pitcher but in a game where it’s tough for him to get the W vs. Ryu, he may not be worth a high price tag to carry your lineups. Starter Rating: 6 out of 10
Hyun-Jin Ryu – His 2.07 Home ERA and 7.7 K/9 are both great splits but the Dbacks have hit him hard this season and can crush lefties on any given night. His ERA in 3 starts against is 6.60 and, like Corbin, getting the W will be tough tonight. Starter Rating: 6 out of 10

This seems like a good game to avoid for DFS purposes. Should be a low scoring grind game with both pitchers allowing a couple of runs but neither offense getting a lot going.