Covering The Bases: MLB DFS Picks Today for Saturday 6/28

by Justin Van Zuiden (stlcardinals84) Last Updated 2025-06-28 13:29:24 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Long-time grinder, Justin Van Zuiden (aka stlcardinals84), is here to cover the bases for the upcoming MLB DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Cards has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his favorite MLB DFS picks.

Happy Saturday, Grinders! We have the usual split-slate Saturday upon us, but this is more of a normal day like we have had for much of the season. We have 10 games all starting around 4 PM ET, so that becomes our main slate for the day. At first glance, this seems to be a pretty balanced slate between hitting and pitching, with a lot of options that are muddled together to some degree. I do not expect this to be a “straightforward” slate.

We had quite a few games on Friday with weather delays, and pop-up storms always become a thing during the summer months. Be sure to visit our MLB weather page to view all the latest updates leading up to lineup lock. We’ll also have you covered with our MLB DFS projections that update as all the lineups roll in.

Let’s dive into this 10-game main slate and see if we can uncover some spots to target on a tough docket.

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Saturday Afternoon Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

TOP TIER TRIO OF PITCHERS

Robbie Ray vs. White Sox
Bryan Woo vs. Rangers
Andrew Abbott vs. Padres

We have what looks to be a clear divide with the top tier, with these pitchers checking in as the most expensive options on both FD and DK. As usual, let’s start with a look at the 2025 numbers:

Ray – 2.83 ERA, 3.75 xFIP, 27.6% K, 9.5% BB
Woo – 3.12 ERA, 3.57 xFIP, 23.1% K, 4.0% BB
Abbott – 1.79 ERA, 4.02 xFIP, 24.3% K, 6.8% BB

If you just looked at these numbers and nothing else, you would think that Abbott is the clear outlier that you don’t want to play. After all, his xFIP is more than 2 full runs higher than his ERA, and it just seems like we are waiting for negative regression. However, the one thing I need to make clear is that Abbott is a fly-ball pitcher who naturally does a great job of keeping hitters off balance with his pitch mix. Fly-ball pitchers naturally pitch to surface ERAs that are better than their underlying metrics, and we saw Nick Martinez flummox (word of the day) this Padres offense for 8 no-hit innings on Friday night before breaking in the 9th.

Outside of the wonky xFIP number for Abbott, these pitchers are relatively similar, with solid, if unspectacular, peripherals. Ray is the highest strikeout arm but also has the most command issues. Perhaps looking deeper into the matchups can help uncover the best option of this group. Let’s look at the stats for the opponents this year:

White Sox vs. LHP (for Ray) – .289 wOBA (20th), .143 ISO (12th), 26.7% K (4th), 6.6% BB (24th)
Rangers vs. RHP (for Woo) – .297 wOBA (27th), .147 ISO (17th), 21.3% K (16th), 7.7% BB (25th)
Padres vs. LHP (for Abbott) – .285 wOBA (22nd), .118 ISO (24th), 19.6% K (28th), 8.6% BB (11th)

We tend to think of the White Sox as a bad offense that does at least have some redeeming qualities with their ability to take walks and limit strikeouts, but they’ve been more of a free-swinging unit against left-handed pitching. That’s good news for Ray, especially when you consider the White Sox just don’t have that look of a dangerous offense. The sample size against lefties is obviously smaller, but I like the way Ray matches up against this group.

Bryan Woo might be the safest pitcher on the board, and I could see using him over Ray for safety in cash games if you want to do that, but I’ll make him my SP2 behind Ray.

I have less interest in Abbott against a low-strikeout Padres team, and I think we’ll see a more motivated performance out of the San Diego offense after they almost got no hit on Friday. That said, they rank in the bottom third of the league in wOBA and ISO against LHP, and Abbott is the cheapest option of these on both sites.

I am ranking this top tier as Ray > Woo > Abbott, but the margins are razor thin, and I wouldn’t argue with you for ordering them a different way.

SECONDARY PITCHING OPTIONS

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