Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Monday 8/11

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2025-08-11 17:55:16 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

Happy Monday! The new week kicks off with a good-looking 10-game slate that has quite a bit of everything. It is headlined with a top tier of four aces priced well above the rest of the slate, and then the offensive side has a mix of expensive upside bats with cheap stacks in good matchups. You can find several different ways to build, so let’s see what we find as we start digging through it.

On the MLB weather front, it looks like we’re going to be OK, with just a couple yellows in games where we don’t need pitching.

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Monday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

The pitching slate starts with four elite aces in their own tier up top, and then I’m going to lump everyone else together into one big leftover bucket.

The Fantastical Four

• Garrett Crochet at Astros – 31% K, 6.6% BB, 2.24 ERA, 2.91 SIERA
• Nathan Eovaldi vs. Diamondbacks – 26.4% K, 4.8% BB, 1.38 ERA, 3.09 SIERA
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto at Angels – 28.5% K, 8% BB, 2.51 ERA, 3.26 SIERA
• Logan Webb vs. Padres – 26.9% K, 5.5% BB, 3.24 ERA, 3.04 SIERA

All four of these superstars are great options at any salary on any site in any matchup on any day. We can kind of say that Garrett Crochet is the best DFS pitcher here because of his higher strikeout rate, but he’s also priced ahead of the other three by a sizeable margin on DK and a relevant margin on FD. I think we could also say that Logan Webb comes in 4th place with the lowest strikeout matchup of the group.

What I want to say about Logan Webb is that I think we need to mostly ignore his last 4 starts. I know that’s a lot to ignore, but basically, he had 2 unusually bad starts coming out of the All-Star Break, but then 2 ridiculously good starts that both came against the Pirates. The great starts against the Pirates show that he’s fine, but the underlying metrics also say the 21 strikeouts in 11 innings were just a fluke and matchup related. So, if we go back before these 4 starts, we find a great, consistent real-life pitcher who is more often hanging around a strikeout per inning with occasional ceiling games. The ceiling is unlikely against one of the lowest strikeout teams in the league, and that all does in fact leave him in 4th place.

Garrett Crochet is awesome, and while Houston is a little better against lefties, this is still a solid matchup. Plus, matchup is hardly relevant for a guy as elite as Crochet. He regularly gets 100 pitches and has a high floor and a high ceiling. It’s just about salary, so let’s look at the next two.

We are now 19 starts into his season, and Nathan Eovaldi still looks like arguably the best pitcher currently living here on our home planet. Over his last 14 starts, he has only allowed more than 1 run once. That is crazy. Let me say that again – he has only allowed more than 1 single run in 1 of his last 14 starts. It’s fair to say he’s been lucky, but he deserves a lot of the credit for the low BABIP and HR/FB. At some point, he has to have a random bad game, but I see no reason to expect it. Arizona has basically two great hitters, two good hitters, and 5 easy outs with high strikeouts. While Crochet has the higher best-case-scenario ceiling, I prefer Eovaldi to him straight up, even before the discount. This is my SP1.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is not quite as consistent as Eovaldi or as ceiling-y as Crochet, but he’s also fantastic. While he can always get Dodgered, they’ve been pretty good about letting him pitch deep when he’s going well, so I have no concerns with the ceiling here. It’s the same story as always when a righty faces the Angels. There is power risk, but the strikeouts make up for it. Yamamoto is not a guy who gives up a lot of power, so it would take an outlier for him to get into too much trouble here. He’s the 3rd SP on my list tonight. I would much prefer to play Crochet, but assuming the salary matters, if I can start with Eovaldi/Yamamoto on DK, that’s what I’m going to do.

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