Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Monday 6/9

by Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) Last Updated 2025-06-09 20:36:45 Premium Content Part of the product MLB DFS

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

Happy Monday! We have a very strange and tangled 9-game slate that starts a little earlier than usual at 6:40 p.m. ET. Essentially, we have two ace pitchers who stand out above everything else, and then the other 16 pitchers and 16 offenses are all just a dart-throwing 16-way tie. I’ll attempt to pick out some favorites and rank things as best as I can, but sometimes the real answer is I don’t know.

On the MLB weather front, we have one questionable game with MIA/PIT, which also happens to be the first game of the night. So after that gets sorted, we should be all set to play whatever we want from all this tangle.

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Monday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

This slate gives us a very obvious top two that look worth spending on if you’ve got the salary. After Zack Wheeler and Chris Sale, Nick Pivetta is kind of in his own tier, so I’ll include him with that top tier, and then we’ve got a huge tangle of kind of OK pitchers, mostly in not-great matchups. It’s not clear where the dividing lines are after the top three, so even though it’s a pretty big group, I’m going to take everything else between and put it all in one big tier. This gives us 15 pitchers priced between $6,000-$8,500 on DK, so hopefully we can narrow it down!

TOP TIER ACES

• Zack Wheeler vs. Cubs – 32.1% K, 6.1% BB, 2.96 ERA, 2.69 SIERA
• Chris Sale at Brewers – 30.9% K, 7.4% BB, 2.93 ERA, 2.96 SIERA
• Nick Pivetta vs. Dodgers – 28% K, 7% BB, 3.16 ERA, 3.31 SIERA

Zack Wheeler ended his streak of 7 quality starts with his worst outing of the season. By definition, everyone has to have their worst start sometime, so as they say…whoop-dee-doo! However, if you want to find a reason not to play him, it’s not that hard to do. He’s over $10,000 on both sites and pitching at home in a good hitting ballpark against the Cubs. At the very least, you could make a case to play Chris Sale ahead of him if you’re only going to spend up for one pitcher. So let’s look at Wheeler and Sale together.

Both of these aces regularly get 100+ pitches, both of them are regularly around 8-10 strikeouts, and they have the ability to pop off for even bigger games than that. Both have had just a couple starts with a few too many walks or a few too many runs this season, but for the most part have been as consistent as anyone in the league. Based on skill set, while I’d give a very slight edge to Wheeler, it’s basically just a fantastic coin-toss. So let’s look at the matchups, using tonight’s projected lineups:

Cubs vs. RHP – 19.6% K, 9.6% BB, .204 ISO, .360 wOBA
Brewers vs. LHP – 19.6% K, 9.3% BB, .120 ISO, .310 wOBA

An important thing to note around this time of the season is that we have enough sample size with most hitters vs. RHP to use 2025 numbers. But against lefties, we are still well under 100 PA for the season, so I’m still going to use 2024-205 data there. So, shifting those numbers back to 2024-205 with the Brewers, we find this:

Brewers vs. LHP – 21.1% K, 9.5% BB, .147 ISO, .324 wOBA

So, either way you look at it, the matchups are similar for strikeouts and walks, but for power and run prevention, tonight’s matchup is better for Chris Sale. I can look at Wheeler vs. Sale a thousand different ways, and it’s all extremely close. I’ll say that the slight matchup edge makes Sale the SP1 and Wheeler the SP2, but the main point is that these two are heads and shoulders above the rest of the slate.

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