Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS Picks Today for Wednesday 8/20

Million Dollar Musings: MLB DFS picks

Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks. Cheese, one of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy sports and a winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize on both DraftKings and FanDuel, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate.

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Happy Wednesday! After a crazy Tuesday night where basically all the good plays hit, we drop back down to an 8-game slate that appears to have a lot less upside overall. The slate ends up massively different between FD and DK because of just one player – Shohei Ohtani. On DK, he is available as a pitcher only…and is arguably the best pitcher on the slate. On FD, he is available as a hitter only…and is the top hitter on the slate. Let’s just pause for a moment and think about how amazing that is. That is kind of like if you consider ice cream to be both a food and a drink. You then have the best thing in the world in two completely different categories. Incredible.

There is also a smaller 3-game early slate on DK and 4-game early slate on FD that both start at 12:35 PM ET. We’ll have expert tags and analysis available in our MLB DFS optimizer, LineupHQ, to help you get started there.

Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Sleeper promo code and PrizePicks promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.

Wednesday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings

Kikuchi of the Angels

This pitching slate is quite a letdown after last night’s ace-filled slate, but we still have 5 decent options priced above $8,000 on DK and a few cheap options that look interesting.

TOP TIER PITCHING

Excluding Shohei Ohtani, who we’ll get to in the next section, the only pitcher on this slate with any real strikeout ceiling is Jacob Misiorowski. However, as great as he’s been, there are a lot of question marks here at this moment. In his return from the IL, he threw just 54 pitches and got shelled, as he failed to make it out of the 2nd inning. His velocity was fine, so he’s more than likely still going to have the per-inning upside. But in addition to the question we always have with his wonky control, we now have to add the workload question. Even in an important game, I can’t imagine them pushing him much past 75-80 pitches. When you add in the control woes, that gives him so little realistic upside, and even at his moderate salary, I have very little interest here. My hope is that the name value and the lack of aces on this slate leads him to pick up some ownership, but even without it, he barely makes in into my MME pool.

Noah Cameron is the anti-Misiorowski. He doesn’t have a huge per-inning ceiling with massive strikeout ability, but he also doesn’t have the control issues. The Rangers are a much better matchup for left-handed pitchers, with a severe lack of power and 7 batters in the projected lineup above a 24% K rate against LHP this season. On most normal slates, I would have very little interest in a below-average strikeout pitcher for $9,000, but he might make the pool tonight. Let’s move on and see what we find before deciding if Cameron is worth this salary.

Yusei Kikuchi is always reasonable with a moderate ceiling, but he is never safe. His borderline control and some power risk to righties basically offset his strikeouts.

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About the Author

CheeseIsGood
Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood)

One of the preeminent baseball minds in all of fantasy, Dave Potts (aka CheeseIsGood) has won contests at the highest levels of both season-long and DFS. He is a 2x winner of a $1,000,000 1st-place prize in DFS, having won the 2014 FanDuel baseball Live Final and following that up by taking down a DraftKings Milly Maker Tournament in 2015. In addition, he’s won the Main Event championship in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship and the NFBC Platinum League, which is the highest buy-in entry league. His consistent success in the NFBC tournaments earned him a prestigious spot in their Hall of Fame. Dave can also strum a mean guitar while carrying a tune, and if you’re lucky, you’ll see him do so on one of his MLB Crunch Time appearances. Follow Dave on X – @DavePotts2