MLB DFS Top Stacks: Tuesday, May 28th
MLB DFS is complex. Most articles on MLB DFS picks are about the individual players most likely to succeed on any given day, but the MLB DFS picks most likely to succeed aren’t always the MLB DFS picks we should be most likely to play. In this article, we will look at the MLB DFS process over the MLB DFS picks. And we’re looking at teams over individual players, using the features of the RotoGrinders Top Stacks tool. We’ll still look at the player projections that are available in our MLB Lineup Optimizer, LineupHQ. However, we’ll be more focused on collective ownership, optimal scores, and matchups of full stacks within the context of game selection and leverage.
We’re back from the holiday weekend with the Mondayest Tuesday of all time. Fortunately, we’ve got another stellar MLB DFS slate on tap to help us get through it. We’ve got some potential weather concerns in Chicago, which should make things interesting from an ownership standpoint with the most popular projected stack on the board in that game. Check out our MLB Weather page throughout the day for the latest updates.
We’ve also got no shortage of ways to get different with bats on a slate with some shaky projected chalk on the pitching side. Here’s how I’ll be stacking on Tuesday night.
MLB DFS Picks: Top Stacks for Tuesday, May 28th
CHALK STACK
Blue Jays at Mike Clevinger
The Blue Jays were a popular target yesterday afternoon against Nick Nastrini and friends, and we’re looking at a similar situation tonight. If the weather holds, we’ll likely see some ownership flock to the Jays ahead of their matchup against veteran right-hander Mike Clevinger.
Clevinger was a pseudo-ace during his days in Cleveland, but it’s been 4 years since he was even a slightly above-average-strikeout pitcher. He’s only made 4 starts this season for the White Sox, but the results have been lackluster, to say the least. Clevinger’s strikeout rate is hovering around 19%, while his walk rate is up over 11%. He’s also yielded a sizable 14.8% barrel rate, which explains how he’s surrendered 4 homers already through 4 starts.
Lefties have historically enjoyed more success at Clevinger’s expense. The good lefties are few and far between in the projected Toronto lineup, however. Daulton Varsho (.211 ISO) and Daniel Vogelbach (.174 ISO) have flashed some power from the left side over the last 2 seasons vs. RHP, while the only other lefty in the projected order is Cavan Biggio, who’s slated to hit 9th.
That said, it’s not like Clevinger has dominated righties in recent years either. Righties had a .302 wOBA against him a season ago, and most of the thunder in the Jays’ lineup swings it from the right side. Davis Schneider (.352 wOBA, .185 ISO vs. RHP since 2023) should be a very popular target assuming he hits out of the leadoff spot. You can say the same of Danny Jansen, who’s been Toronto’s most potent bat against RHP (.368 wOBA, .252 ISO) over the last 2 seasons. He’s also projected to bat 2nd, which is rare for a catcher.
Naturally, Vladimir Guerrero, Bo Bichette, and George Springer are logical targets in any Jays stack, though you can’t pair Guerrero with Vogelbach on DraftKings, where they both only have 1B eligibility.
Even at significant projected ownership, the Jays are still projecting as a strong stack on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Their 23.23% Opto% on DK trounces their 11.31% projected stack ownership. The gap is about the same on FD, where Toronto is projected for about 10% stack ownership with an Opto% above 21%.
SEMI-CHALK STACKS
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