MLB Player Props for Friday, 5/30: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Kyle Freeland, Jake Irvin, and Jeffrey Springs? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Friday, May 30th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Happy Friday! Major League Baseball started their weekend earlier this afternoon with a game between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field, but there are still 13 games left to get underway as of this writing. Of course, that means plenty of betting opportunities still on the board as well!
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat or unlucky if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Friday, May 30th!
Editor’s Note: Don’t live in a state with sports betting? Use our Underdog promo code & PrizePicks referral code GRINDERS for over $1,000 in sign-up bonuses for fantasy pick’em contests today.
Best MLB Player Props for Friday, May 30th
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:45 PM ET on Friday, May 30th:
- Kyle Freeland Over/Under 16.5 Outs Recorded
- Jake Irvin Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
- Jeffrey Springs Over/Under 5.5 Hits Allowed
Kyle Freeland OVER 16.5 Outs Recorded (-130, DraftKings)
Freeland isn’t regarded as one of the better pitchers in the big leagues, but one thing he consistently does well is work efficiently. Unsurprisingly, during the last 30 days, Freeland is averaging an efficient 3.46 pitches per batter faced. This evening, he gets to face a Mets lineup that has struggled against southpaws of late, ranking 23rd in wRC+ across the last two weeks and 18th in wRC+ across the last month. He should have a chance to record 17+ outs.
DRAFTKINGSJake Irvin UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (-105, DraftKings)
Irvin has looked good in his 4 most recent turns through the rotation, compiling a 2.45 ERA across 25.2 innings of work. However, the underlying metrics suggest that he could be due for some regression, namely a .210 BABIP and 82.6% LOB% rate. Even more notably, Irvin has been allowing a tremendous amount of hard contact of late, including a 12% barrel rate and 47% hard-hit rate. Combine that with the fact that he’s not missing many bats, and he could be in trouble against a potent Arizona offense.
DRAFTKINGSJeffrey Springs OVER 5.5 Hits Allowed (-115, DraftKings)
Springs has allowed fewer than 6 hits in 4 of his 5 starts this month, but there are some reasons to believe he could be in for a different outcome tonight. Springs owns a 2.05 ERA in May, but he’s benefited from a likely unsustainable .172 BABIP and 88.2% LOB% during that stretch. As a result, his 4.15 FIP is over 2 runs higher than his ERA. Entering play this evening, Toronto’s offense ranks 7th in batting average and 7th in wRC+ against southpaws during the last 2 weeks. The Blue Jays should be able to make life difficult for Springs to begin the weekend.
DRAFTKINGSImage Credit: Imagn