MLB Player Props Today: Abbott, Severino, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (September 2)
What kind of performances can we expect on Saturday from Andrew Abbott, Luis Severino, and Freddie Freeman? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Saturday, September 2, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Saturday, The college football season is back in full swing, but that doesn’t mean that bettors should completely cut their action on the diamond. Major League Baseball has another 15 games on tap for today, with action spread across the day.
Across the last month and change, we are 76-48-3 (61.3%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 171-129-10 on non-Home Run props and 2-6 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 103-53-5 (66.0%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for September 2!
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MLB Player Props Today
- Andrew Abbott u16.5 Outs Recorded
- Luis Severino u4.5 Strikeouts
- Freddie Freeman Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Andrew Abbott u16.5 Outs Recorded (-128), FanDuel
In his first 10 turns through the rotation, Andrew Abbott had a 1.90 ERA, 3.73 FIP, and a 0.96 WHIP. Across his last six starts, he has a 6.67 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and a 1.81 WHIP. During his recent cold stretch, Abbott has consistently fallen behind in counts, which has forced him to challenge hitters with fastballs more later in the count. The result has been more walks and a much higher contact percentage on pitches thrown in the zone. The Chicago Cubs have been mediocre offensively against left-handed pitching in recent weeks, but they should still be able to send Abbott to the showers early in this contest, as most of Abbott’s recent struggles have been self-inflicted.
Luis Severino u4.5 Strikeouts (-146), FanDuel
Absolutely nothing has gone well for Luis Severino in 2023. Entering play on Saturday, Severino owns a 6.64 ERA, 6.11 xERA, 6.04 FIP, and a 1.66 WHIP. He has delivered back-to-back scoreless outings against lackluster offenses, but had struggled to an 11.08 ERA and a 7.97 FIP in his previous seven turns through the rotation. Since August 15, the Houston Astros rank 6th in OPS, 14th ISO, and have struck out less often against right-handed pitching than any other team in the league. This is a strong look for this evening’s slate.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Freddie Freeman Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Freddie Freeman makes it a personal goal to strike out fewer than 100 times each season. While he is going to fall short of that goal this year, the goal speaks more to his approach at the plate than anything else. Tonight, Freeman gets to face Bryce Elder, who has struck out only 14.2% of the batters he has faced in 2023. Freeman should be able to avoid a punchout in this situation.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 114-108-5
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 34-19
Strikeout: 65-32-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4