MLB Player Props Today: Gimenez, Ramirez, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (July 16)
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday from Andres Gimenez, Jose Ramirez, and Josh Naylor? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Sunday, July 16, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Sunday! Today’s MLB action is already underway, with a 12:05 p.m. first pitch in Pittsburgh. Still, there is plenty of time for bettors to get action locked in for the remaining 14 contests on the slate.
Not counting the All-Star Game, since May 1, we are 96-81-7 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 73-40-4 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for July 16!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 65-70-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 27-12
Strikeout: 47-26-3
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Andres Gimenez u0.5 Strikeouts
- Jose Ramirez u0.5 Strikeouts
- Josh Naylor less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts
Andres Gimenez u0.5 strikeouts (+100), DraftKings
This line is simply mispriced at even money. Entering play on Sunday, Andres Gimenez has struck out in only 13.6% of his plate appearances against left-handed pitching in 2023. Martin Perez has struck out only 17.3% of the left-handed batters he has faced this year. Across his last five starts, Perez has a 5.5% swinging-strike rate, which is among the lowest in baseball for qualified starting pitchers.
Jose Ramirez u0.5 strikeouts (-155), DraftKings
Jose Ramirez has an extremely favorable matchup against Martin Perez today, making this a worthwhile risk despite the juice. Ramirez has struck out in only 11.7% of his plate appearances against southpaws this season and ranks in the 99th percentile in strikeout percentage overall. Perez has allowed a 91.7% in-the-zone contact percentage across his last five outings, while simultaneously generating only a 25.9% swing% on pitches outside of the strike zone. Expect a disciplined, high-contact hitter such as Ramirez to put the ball in play each time he steps in the box today. We will take our chances against the Texas Rangers bullpen in the latter innings.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Josh Naylor less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
When MLB fans think of high-contact hitters, Josh Naylor is not often top of mind. However, he enters play on Sunday ranked in the 86th percentile in strikeout percentage this year. Facing southpaws, Naylor has struck out in only 11.9% of his plate appearances. In a favorable matchup against Martin Perez today, Naylor is likely to have little trouble putting the ball in play during his first few trips to the plate. Similar to the analysis for his teammates above, we are willing to take our chances in the final few frames against the Texas Rangers bullpen.
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