MLB Player Props Today: Montgomery, Maldonado, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (October 15)
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday from Jordan Montgomery, Martin Maldonado, and Justin Verlander? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Sunday, October 15, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Sunday! Tonight, the American League Championship Series begins with Game 1 between the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros. Jordan Montgomery will get the ball for the Rangers and will be opposed by Justin Verlander for the Astros. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET from Minute Maid Park.
We are 5-1 across our last six postseason recommendations in this article! During the regular season, we went 103-63-6 (62.6%) across our last 172 recommendations in this article. We were 120-59 (67.2%) on pitcher prop recommendations.
Below are three prop leans for October 15!
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MLB Player Props Today
- Jordan Montgomery o4.5 Hits Allowed
- Martin Maldonado u0.5 Total Bases
- Justin Verlander More Than 5.0 Hits Allowed
Jordan Montgomery o4.5 Hits Allowed (-140), DraftKings
During the second half of the regular season, only the San Diego Padres had a higher OPS than the Houston Astros against left-handed pitching. No other team had a better ISO than the Astros during that stretch. Houston is a high-contact lineup that has a disciplined approach at the plate, making them dangerous regardless of who is opposing them on the bump. Jordan Montgomery has allowed at least five hits in each of his last five outings dating back to September. Manager Bruce Bochy is unlikely to rush into his bullpen to begin this series, meaning that Montgomery should have a long enough leash to hit the over in this spot.
Martin Maldonado u0.5 Total Bases (-140), Bet365
If not for Martin Maldonado being adored by the Houston pitching staff, it is likely that he would have been out of a job a long time ago. Since the beginning of the 2021 season, Maldonado owns a .183 batting average and has struck out in 31.5% of his plate appearances. Though he is better against southpaws than against right-handed pitching, he is still not someone who is responsible for shouldering any amount of offensive responsibility for the Astros. If he comes up with a runner on base, it is not out of the question that we see him lay down a bunt. This under has good value.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Justin Verlander More Than 5.0 Hits Allowed
Justin Verlander has a strong postseason resume for his career, but there are obvious signs that the Verlander of old will not be on the mound on Sunday night. After being reacquired by the Astros at the trade deadline this summer, Verlander posted a 3.31 ERA, 3.92 FIP, and 1.12 WHIP across 11 turns in the rotation. Compared to his 2022 numbers, Verlander posted pedestrian swing-and-miss numbers during that stretch, allowing more hard contact, more overall contact, and generating fewer whiffs due to a slight loss of fastball velocity. He is vulnerable in Game 1 against a strong Texas offensive attack.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type (Regular Season)
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 122-114-7
Stolen Base: 2-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 38-22
Strikeout: 78-35-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4