MLB Player Props Today: Strider, Suarez, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (October 12)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Spencer Strider and Ranger Suarez? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Thursday, October 12, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Thursday! Tonight’s MLB Postseason slate has only one game on tap – the Atlanta Braves against the Philadelphia Phillies at 8:07 p.m. ET. The Braves are hoping to push this series to a decisive Game 5 on Saturday. The Phillies are hoping to punch their ticket to their second consecutive National League Championship Series with a win.
Yesterday, we went 3-0 in this article! During the regular season, we went 103-63-6 (62.6%) across our last 172 recommendations in this article. We were 120-59 (67.2%) on pitcher prop recommendations.
Below are three prop leans for October 12!
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MLB Player Props Today
- Spencer Strider u8.5 Strikeouts
- Ranger Suarez u11.5 Outs Recorded
- Spencer Strider Less Than 17.5 Outs Recorded
Spencer Strider u8.5 Strikeouts (-135), BetMGM
Tonight will be the second time in less than a week and the fourth time in less than a month that Spencer Strider will be facing the Phillies lineup — an exceedingly rare situation at the professional level. Strider had only eight strikeouts against this lineup in Game 1 across seven innings of work and is likely to be on a shorter leash tonight with Atlanta’s season hanging in the balance. Moreover, Strider is primarily a fastball-slider pitcher, meaning that he does not have many different ways to offer “new” looks to opposing hitters on Thursday. Factoring in that Strider is poor at controlling the run game and there could be extra incentive for Manager Brian Snitker to go to the bullpen tonight in a high-stress situation. The under is a strong look here.
Ranger Suarez u11.5 Outs Recorded (-128), FanDuel
Ranger Suarez was as dominant as he possibly could have been in Game 1, but he was still only trusted to record 11 outs. If Suarez can allow only two baserunners and still get pulled before completing the fourth inning, it stands to reason that he is in for another very quick hook in Game 4 with a rested bullpen behind him and a trip to the National League Championship Series being the reward for a win this evening. Suarez struggled mightily during the regular season, and his numbers only got worse each subsequent time he went through the order in a game. It would not be surprising to see Manager Rob Thompson limit Suarez to three innings or less in Game 4.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Spencer Strider Less Than 17.5 Outs Recorded
Spencer Strider has completed seven innings in each of his last three starts against the Phillies, but that could change tonight, given the gravity of the situation at hand. Strider was mostly effective, in terms of run prevention, in the series opener, but he struggled to control the running game. On Thursday, it is likely that Philadelphia will be extremely aggressive on the basepaths once again as they look to get into the Atlanta bullpen, which was among the worst in baseball down the stretch of the regular season. In an elimination game, this market number is simply too high – even for Strider.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type (Regular Season)
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 122-114-7
Stolen Base: 2-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 38-22
Strikeout: 78-35-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4