MLB Player Props Today: Ashcraft, Freeman, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (August 15)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Graham Ashcraft, Freddie Freeman, and Steven Kwan? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Tuesday, August 15, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Tuesday! Tonight’s 15-game MLB slate gets underway with a pair of east coast contests at 6:40 p.m. EST. There are seven games with a scheduled first pitch of 8:05 p.m. EST or later, giving bettors plenty of time to find some action to their liking this evening.
Across the last few weeks, we are 49-28-1 (64.8%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 146-110-8 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 91-44-4 (67.4%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for August 15!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 99-94-5
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-1
Outs Recorded: 31-15
Strikeout: 56-28-3
Walk: 1-0
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Graham Ashcraft u4.5 Strikeouts
- Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases
- Steven Kwan Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Graham Ashcraft u4.5 Strikeouts (-128), FanDuel
According to props.cash, Graham Ashcraft has gone under this market number in 14 of his last 20 turns through the rotation. During that stretch, Ashcraft owns a pedestrian 16.0% strikeout rate and has been significantly worse than league average overall – producing a 5.30 ERA, 5.36 FIP, and a 1.45 WHIP. Since the beginning of July, Ashcraft only has one start in which he has generated north of a 10.0% swinging-strike rate. Entering play on Tuesday, the Cleveland Guardians have struck out three times or fewer in each of their last three contests against right-handed starting pitching. The under is a good look in this spot.
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (-110), BetMGM
Freddie Freeman finished the weekend 0-for-9 at the plate, going hitless in back-to-back contests despite having zero softly-hit baseballs in those two games. Prior to his last two games, bettors would have to go all the way back to July 16 to find the last time Freeman went two games in a row without a base hit. They would have to go all the way back to April 21 to find the last time Freeman went three games in a row without a hit. Adrian Houser has struggled to a 5.53 FIP, 1.57 WHIP, and allowed a .261 opponent batting average to left-handed hitters in 2023. Do not be surprised if Freeman breaks out of his mini-slump in a big way this evening.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Steven Kwan Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Since August 6, Steven Kwan has struck out in only 3.2% of his total plate appearances, indicating that he is seeing the ball extremely well right now. Tonight, he gets a favorable matchup against Graham Ashcraft, who ranks in the 11th percentile in strikeout rate, 22nd percentile in whiff percentage, and the 25th percentile in chase rate in 2023. Kwan is a trustworthy option to avoid a strikeout on Tuesday night.
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