MLB Player Props Today: Gausman, Acuna Jr., Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (August 9)
What kind of performances can we expect on Wednesday from Kevin Gausman, Ronald Acuna Jr., and Steven Kwan? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Wednesday, August 9, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Wednesday! Today’s 15-game MLB slate features three afternoon affairs, but the other 12 contests each have a scheduled first pitch of 6:40 p.m. EST or later – offering the betting community plenty of time to get involved in the action today.
Across the last two weeks, we are 39-21 (65.0%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 136-103-7 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 81-45-4 (64.3%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for August 9!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 96-87-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-1
Outs Recorded: 28-15
Strikeout: 52-28-3
Walk: 1-0
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Kevin Gausman o17.5 Outs Recorded
- Ronald Acuna Jr. u0.5 Strikeouts
- Steven Kwan Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Kevin Gausman o17.5 Outs Recorded (-170), DraftKings
Entering play on Wednesday, Kevin Gausman has recorded at least 18 outs in 16 of his 22 starts this year, which translates to a 72.7% hit-rate. A market price of -170 carries implied odds of 63.0%, meaning we have nearly a 10.0% edge on this play, despite the juice. The Cleveland Guardians have scored four runs or fewer in 10 of their last 11 games, making this an extremely favorable matchup for Gausman. This is a strong play.
Ronald Acuna Jr. u0.5 Strikeouts (+105), DraftKings
Ronald Acuna Jr. is often thought of as a power-hitter with plus-speed. He also happens to be one of the best contact hitters in baseball, ranking in the 96th percentile in strikeout rate, 80th percentile in whiff percentage, and 86th percentile in chase rate. He draws a favorable matchup against Quinn Priester, who ranks in the 35th percentile in fastball velocity and owns a pedestrian 16.7% strikeout rate against right-handed batters this year at the MLB level. At plus money, this is a worthwhile risk for bettors.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Steven Kwan Less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Steven Kwan delivered for us yesterday and earned the right to have us run things back again this evening. In 2023, Kwan ranks in the 98th percentile in strikeout percentage, 100th percentile in whiff rate, and 90th percentile in chase rate. Even in a tough matchup against Kevin Gausman, Kwan carries value in this market. Trust him to get the job done.
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