MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Saturday, June 1st
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks tool makes the process even simpler.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2023 season unless otherwise noted.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Saturday, June 1st
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto MORE Than 7.0 Strikeouts
- Reese Olson MORE Than 15.5 Outs
- Ryan Weathers LESS Than 16.5 Outs
- Kyle Bradish MORE Than 6.0 Strikeouts
- Alec Marsh MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Yoshinobu Yamamoto MORE Than 7.0 Strikeouts
This is simple. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is averaging 10.53 K/9, the Rockies’ projected lineup has a 25.4% K rate and has a 2.7 implied total, and Yamamoto has pitched 6 IP in 5 of his last 7 starts. He’s also hit 100 pitches in his last 2, going 94 or more in 6 of his last 7. Yamamoto should go deep into this game for a high K floor and a high ceiling. We have him projected for 7.7 Ks, but I’d say that 6 is the floor and 10 is the ceiling.
Reese Olson MORE Than 15.5 Outs
Reese Olson is a super-solid real-life pitcher on whom we can’t depend for strikeouts, but we can see him go deep into the 5th inning. Projected for 94 pitches and 16.1 outs, Olson has surpassed 15 outs in 5 of his last 8 starts, and in 4 of 5 starts, he’s thrown at least 93 pitches. His MORE than 15.5 outs is one of the best plays on the board according to our pick ‘em tool.
Ryan Weathers LESS Than 16.5 Outs
Ryan Weathers is really bad, while the Rangers are really good. Weathers has a 4.76 SIERA, a 9.1% K-BB rate, and he allows an average 7.9% barrel rate. Even in Miami, this is a low-floor spot for Weathers, whom we have projected for just 14.8 outs on the day. He’s thrown 6+ IP in each of his last 5 starts, but that streak should end today and end hard.
Kyle Bradish MORE Than 6.0 Strikeouts
The Rays’ projected lineup has a 26.1% K rate against righties, so this is a ceiling spot for Kyle Bradish, who has had 11, 6, 3, 9, and 5 Ks across his 5 starts this season. He’s averaging 11.92 K/9 this season and is finally coming into his own as the stuff has promised us. We have Bradish projected for 6.7 Ks on the day, but there’s a wide range of outcomes here, where his floor is around 5 and his ceiling is in the 10-11 range.
Alec Marsh MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Alec Marsh isn’t good. Neither is San Diego, but they put so much wood on the ball that we have Marsh projected to surrender 7.2 hits on the day. This is a disparity in the projections that we have to attack. Marsh has allowed a 79% contact rate this season, while the Padres’ projected lineup has just an 18.1% K rate against righties. Moreover, Marsh is going very deep into games, throwing 103, 94, and 102 pitches in his last 3 starts.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
PrizePicks projections are pretty tight today and the DEMONs aren’t released, yet. I like 3 of 4 plays per contest with a normal volume of contests played. I’m probably not maxing out too many tickets today.
Image Credit: Getty Images