MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Tuesday, June 11th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2023 season unless otherwise noted.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Tuesday, June 11th
- Elly De La Cruz MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON) and 8.5 Fantasy Points
- Bryan Woo LESS Than 37.5 Fantasy Points
- Mitchell Parker MORE Than 17.0 Outs and 26.5 Fantasy Points
- Marcus Stroman MORE Than 16.5 Outs and MORE Than 22.5 Fantasy Points
Elly De La Cruz MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON) and 8.5 Fantasy Points
EDe La Cruz in The Great American Ball Small Park hitting from the left side against a dude who can’t throw strikes is automatic fantasy points. He has a 14.3% barrel rate on a 52% hard-hit rate against RHP this season, to go with probably the best sprint speed in MLB and the greenest light to steal bases since maybe Kenny Lofton. Triston McKenzie just isn’t right. His 5.61 BB/9 and 10.9% barrel rate allowed play terribly in this ballpark. We have De La Cruz projected for 2.0 total bases and 10.3 fantasy points. The DEMON boost on the total bases is gravy.
Bryan Woo LESS Than 37.5 Fantasy Points
Woo is a very good pitcher, and the White Sox are a very bad baseball team, but Woo seems to be on an innings count. He hasn’t passed 85 pitches through 6 starts, and that was his most recent start. Before that, he hadn’t topped 80 pitches. He’s gone 6 IP in 4 straight starts, which is great, but he isn’t going into the 7th inning, despite low pitch counts. This isn’t terrible for fantasy points because we get points for outs, but he isn’t a big strikeout pitcher. Since coming back from injuries, his K/9 has been down to 6.42 this season, and this could be sticky while his volume is limited, trying to minimize his pitches per out. We have Woo projected for 34.2 fantasy points, and his LESS than 37.5 FPTS is a top-2 play on the board according to our pick’em tool. And this makes sense, projected for just 16.1 outs, despite 6.3 Ks.
Mitchell Parker MORE Than 17.0 Outs and 26.5 Fantasy Points
The Tigers are pretty terrible, and it gets worse against LHP. Samples are small, but we’re talking about four K rates around or more than 26% in their projected lineup against LHP this season. Parker isn’t much of a strikeout pitcher, but he’s had 6+ IP in 3 of his last 4 starts and is showing great command, with just a 1.89 BB/9. The command alone should get him deep into the game. Factor in the Tigers being the Tigers, and it’s easy to understand how this unspectacular pitcher is projected by us for 18.0 outs and 29.2 fantasy points, making these top plays according to our pick’em tool. If we get a DEMON boost on his outs up to 18.5, we should consider that too.
Marcus Stroman MORE Than 16.5 Outs and MORE Than 22.5 Fantasy Points
Stroman has been going deep into games, and that shouldn’t be ignored. He’s thrown over 90 pitches and gone 6+ IP in 4 of his last 5 starts. The Royals are very good, and Kauffman Stadium is a high-BABIP ballpark, but we have Stroman projected for 17.0 outs and 26.4 fantasy points, with his high floor making him a top play according to our pick’em tool. The outs are a tight squeeze, but MORE than 22.5 FPTS is a great play. 22.5 is just too low of a number for someone so efficient at compiling outs while mitigating power. For all of the boredom Stroman induces, he’s only surrendered a .300 wOBA, .129 ISO, and 6% barrel rate.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
Not a great day for hitting projections, as today is more of a pitchers day. I’m likely playing a very small volume of small contests. High volume without great pitching or great hitting spots is very dangerous.
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