MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Wednesday, June 12th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
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MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Wednesday, June 12th
- Bailey Falter MORE Than 15.5 Outs
- Walker Buehler MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed (DEMON) and LESS Than 17.5 Outs
- Cristopher Sanchez MORE Than 16.5 Outs and MORE Than 29 Fantasy Points
- Nick Pivetta LESS Than 16.5 Outs
- Bryce Harper MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Bailey Falter MORE Than 15.5 Outs
So, Bailey Falter has been really good recently. Who knows how long it will hold up, but he gets a solid matchup against the Cardinals and has a really long leash. Falter has allowed just a .273 wOBA and .130 ISO over the last 30 days and has gone 6+ IP in 4 of his last 5 starts. That only recent start where he didn’t go deep was against the Dodgers. He’s also only surrendered more than 3 ER in 2 of his last 11 starts, keeping him in the game. His 4.99 xERA suggests that regression is coming and coming hard without strikeout stuff and getting hit hard, but the Cardinals have been really terrible. Their projected lineup has a .276 wOBA and .118 ISO with a collective 5.6 % barrel rate against southpaws. They don’t strike out much, but we don’t need Flater to put up great numbers; we just need him not to get rocked to stay in the game. We have Falter projected for 16.1 outs, and this might be conservative — as his floor is probably in the range of 14 with a 20-out ceiling — making him the top outs play on the board, according to our pick’em tool.
Walker Buehler MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed (DEMON) and LESS Than 17.5 Outs
Walker Buehler has a max pitch count it he 90s, but that’s not the problem. The problem is that he’s giving up a ton of power since returning from injury, and the Rangers have a lot of power. Buehler has allowed a .239 ISO, including 7 HRs in just 28 IP. His fly-ball, hard-hit, and barrel rates allowed are reason to see regression, but his 32.2% line-drive rate is evidence that guys are seeing the ball really well against him. The Rangers are a tough place to get your groove back. They haven’t been impressive this season and will likely be without Corey Seager, but until Buehler gets his 21.4% K rate up to a moderate level, we should feel good about him not completing 6 innings. We have Buehler projected to allow 6.3 hits and only record 16.2 outs, making these two of the best plays on the board.
Cristopher Sanchez MORE Than 16.5 Outs and MORE Than 29 Fantasy Points
One of the first things I checked when viewing PrizePicks projections was Cristopher Sanchez and his outs projection. I found it to be juicy. The pick’em tool loves this as a top-8 play on the board, and the math checks out. Lefties against the Red Sox have been a thing all season, as their projected lineup has a 29.5% K rate against them. Sanchez isn’t a huge strikeout pitcher, but he’s a quality pitcher, giving up next to no power through 281 batters faced this season. Sanchez has allowed just a .290 wOBA and .073 ISO on a 6% barrel rate with just a 10% fly-ball rate to go with a 62.7% ground-ball rate. We have Sanchez projected for 17.1 outs and 32 fantasy points in a game where he should compile, as he’s gone 6+ IP in 4 of his last 6 starts.
Nick Pivetta LESS Than 16.5 Outs
Nick Pivetta is one of the more polarizing DFS players because he racks up a lot of Ks while giving up a lot of dingers. The Phillies are monsters who should feast on the bad power prevention, as their projected lineup has a lot of power without many strikeouts (other than Kyle Schwarber and Edmundo Sosa). Pivetta is giving up 1.70 HR/9 on a 10.6% barrel rate with no visible splits — 11.8% since the start of the 2023 season. He should get knocked around hard and out of this game early. We have Pivetta projected for 15.7 outs, making this a top-10 play, according to our pick’em tool.
Bryce Harper MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
We should like the Bryce Harper correlation against Pivetta. Harper is crushing righties for team leads in wOBA (.386), ISO (.269), and barrel rate (11.9%). Conservatively projected by us for 2.3 total bases, the DEMON boost is huge for us here. Catch this before PrizePicks inflates this to 3.0 or 3.5.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
I don’t love this slate for DFS, but it’s a great pick’em slate.
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