MLB Same Game Parlay Today: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs (July 18)
What kind of performances can we expect on Tuesday from Jeimer Candelario and CJ Abrams? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, delivers his favorite MLB Same Game Parlay prediction for today – Tuesday, July 18, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Tuesday’s MLB action begins in the City of Brotherly Love at 6:40 p.m. EST, but a 15-game slate means that there are plenty of chances for the betting community to find something they like tonight. One of the more intriguing games from a betting perspective this evening is the matchup between the Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs, which has a scheduled first pitch at 8:05 p.m. EST.
Not counting the All-Star Game, we have cashed five tickets in this article, narrowly missed 15 winners, and had 13 tickets seemingly dead on arrival. Playing longshot parlays each day, these results are within the parameters of what is expected.
In this article, we never post a ticket with shorter than +700 odds, meaning that we only need to hit once each week to be profitable, which we have achieved to date. Overall, these plays are 53-42-1 (55.8%) if played as straight wagers, many of which have been significant alt-lines, even as individual tickets.
Below, we break down our favorite longshot (+750) look for July 18, focusing on today’s matchup between the Washington Nationals and Chicago Cubs!
Today’s Odds + Potential Payout Based on Investment
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $5 to win $42.50
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $10 to win $85.00
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $25 to win $212.50
DraftKings Sportsbook Users = $50 to win $425.00
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MLB Parlay Piece for July 18, 2023
- Jeimer Candelario 1+ Total Bases
- C.J. Abrams 2+ Total Bases
- Under 8.5
Jeimer Candelario 1+ Total Bases (-185)
Jameson Taillon has been extremely underwhelming against left-handed batters in 2023, posting a 7.77 FIP, 1.78 WHIP, and allowing a .293 opponent batting average across the platoon. Jeimer Candelario has been much more productive against right-handed pitching than against left-handed pitching, making this a prime spot for him to record at least one base knock. Though not considered an elite bat, Candelario owns an impressive .869 OPS and a 132 wRC+ against right-handed hurlers this season. Trust him to get the job done for us.
C.J. Abrams 2+ Total Bases (+100)
This season, C.J. Abrams has been much better against right-handed pitching than he has been against left-handed pitching. Facing righties, Abrams’ batting average is 70 points higher, his OPS is 131 points higher, and his wRC+ is 102. Abrams has also been on a tear of late, with a .383 batting average and a 1.027 OPS since July 1. In that stretch of action, Abrams has a 30.0% line drive rate, which means that he will be less adversely impacted by the wind tonight than many other hitters. His total bases are a worthwhile inclusion in this longshot parlay.
Under 8.5 (+125)
Tonight, the wind at Wrigley Field is forecasted to be blowing in from right-center field nearly 10 miles-per-hour. Wrigley Field is one of the oldest ballparks in the MLB, and its construction allows wind to play a major role in home games for the Chicago Cubs on a daily basis. In January 2007, Chris Constancio documented in The Hardball Times that “more than 23% of fly balls result in home runs when the wind is blowing strongly toward the ivy-covered outfield walls, but only 13% of fly balls result in home runs when the wind is blowing in from the outfield.” Even without elite starting pitching in this contest, the environmental factors give this game a good chance to go under the pre-game total.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type
Parlay Results
July 17: 2-1 (Loss)
July 16: 2-1 (Loss)
July 15: 1-2 (Loss)
July 14: 0-2-1 (Loss)
July 8: 1-2 (Loss)
July 7: 1-2 (Loss)
July 6: 2-1 (Loss)
July 5: 3-0 (Win)
July 4: 1-2 (Loss)
July 3: 3-1 (Loss)
July 2: 1-2 (Loss)
July 1: 0-3 (Loss)
June 30: 2-1 (Loss)
June 29: 2-1 (Loss)
June 28: 1-2 (Loss)
June 16: 3-0 (Win)
June 15: 2-1 (Loss)
June 14: 1-2 (Loss)
June 13: 2-1 (Loss)
June 12: 3-0 (Win)
June 10: 1-1-1 (Loss)
June 6: 1-2 (Loss)
June 4: 2-1 (Loss)
June 4: 0-3 (Loss)
June 3: 2-1 (Loss)
June 2: 3-0 (Win)
June 1: 1-2 (Loss)
May 31: 1-1-1 (Loss)
May 30: 2-1 (Loss)
May 26: 1-1-1 (Loss)
May 25: 2-3 (Loss)
May 24: 2-0-1 (Win) *_James Outman did not enter the game_
May 23: 3-1 (Loss)