MLB Same Game Parlay Today: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (August 24)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Christian Walker and Merrill Kelly? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, delivers his favorite MLB Same Game Parlay prediction for today – Thursday, August 24, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Thursday’s MLB slate features nine games, ending with an exciting matchup between two playoff hopeful teams – the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EST on FS1.
Not counting the All-Star Game, we have cashed eight tickets in this article, narrowly missed 27 winners, and had 22 tickets seemingly dead on arrival. Playing longshot parlays each day, these results are within the parameters of what is expected. As we highlight every day, these plays have been profitable if played as individual tickets.
In this article, we never post a ticket with shorter than +700 odds, meaning that we only need to hit once each week to be profitable. Overall, these plays are 96-80-1 (54.5%) if played as straight wagers, many of which have been significant alt-lines, even as individual tickets.
Below, we break down our favorite longshot (+998) look for August 24, focusing on today’s matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks!
Today’s Odds + Potential Payout Based on Investment
FanDuel Sportsbook Users = $5 to win $49.82
FanDuel Sportsbook Users = $10 to win $99.63
FanDuel Sportsbook Users = $25 to win $249.08
FanDuel Sportsbook Users = $50 to win $498.15
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MLB Parlay Piece for August 24, 2023
- Cincinnati Reds -1.5
- Christian Walker 2+ Total Bases
- Merrill Kelly 4+ Strikeouts
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+240)
Since August 1, the Cincinnati Reds rank 16th in OPS and 9th in ISO against right-handed pitching. The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 19th in OPS and 22nd in ISO against left-handed pitching in that stretch. Across his last seven starts, Brandon Williamson owns a 3.60 ERA and a 4.29 FIP. Merrill Kelly has a 3.66 ERA and a 5.20 FIP in his last seven turns through the rotation. This month, the Reds’ arm barn ranks 20th in FIP while the Diamondbacks’ relief unit ranks 23rd in FIP. Simply, the Reds have the statistical advantage in all three areas of this contest – trust them on the alt-run line here for a potential big payday.
Christian Walker 2+ Total Bases (+110)
Cristian Walker has been a menace against southpaws in 2023, with a 1.003 OPS and 160 wRC+ in 127 plate appearances. Astonishingly, 17 of Walker’s 30 hits against left-handed pitchers this year have gone for extra-bases, 11 of which have left the yard. Brandon Williamson has surrendered 14 home runs to right-handed hitters in only 69.2 innings of work this season. Do not be surprised if Walker has a big day at the office.
Merrill Kelly 4+ Strikeouts (-2500)
The first two legs of today’s longshot parlay get us north of +700, so we do not need to be overly aggressive with the final leg. According to props.cash, Merrill Kelly has recorded at least four strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home starts and 18 of his last 22 turns through the rotation overall. Tonight, he gets to face a Cincinnati Reds lineup that ranks 29th in strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching during the month of August. This should be a sweat-free inclusion in today’s same game parlay.
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