MLB Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Friday (5/30)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our MLB DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s MLB slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Don’t forget to check out our MLB weather page, which is curated by our Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth, to see how that may impact these picks as the day progresses. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s lineup is by heading to our MLB starting lineups page.
We have 15 games on the MLB schedule for 5/30. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Friday slate.
First… Sign Up to Make MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog Fantasy promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1,000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for MLB matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll be leaning heavily on our projections and our fantasy pick’em tool for making these Underdog picks today. Be sure to check out the tool to look for even more edges.
Underdog Fantasy Top MLB Picks for 5/30
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top MLB picks on Underdog for 5/30 at a glance:
- Zebby Matthews Higher/Lower Than 4.5 Hits Allowed
- Taijuan Walker Higher/Lower Than 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
- Lars Nootbaar Higher/Lower Than 0.5 Batter Strikeouts
Twins vs. Mariners MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Twins vs. Mariners MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Zebby Matthews Higher Than 4.5 Hits Allowed
Choosing Matthews for higher than 4.5 hits allowed is supported by our projection of 4.74 hits, which is slightly above the target. Their simulations give this pick a 56.8% win probability and a 5.7% edge, indicating both value and a strong chance of success. We’re also getting a 1.13x multiplier on this one.
Brewers vs. Phillies MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Brewers vs. Phillies MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Taijuan Walker Lower Than 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Selecting Walker for lower than 3.5 pitcher strikeouts is supported by our projection of 3.3 strikeouts, which is under the target. Our simulations also indicate a 62% win probability and a 4.2% edge for this outcome. Both the projection and simulation data are pointing to value on this selection.
Cardinals vs. Rangers MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Cardinals vs. Rangers MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Lars Nootbaar Lower Than 0.5 Batter Strikeouts
Choosing Nootbaar for fewer than 0.5 batter strikeouts is supported by our simulations, which show a 2.5% edge and a 45.6% win probability. Although the probability is below 50%, that’s because we are getting a massive 1.34x multiplier by selecting lower than. This decreases the number of times we need to be right to churn out long-term profit.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.
Image Credit: Imagn