MLB Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Monday (5/19)

Ohtani of the Dodgers

I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our MLB DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s MLB slate on Underdog Fantasy.

Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.

Don’t forget to check out our MLB weather page, which is curated by our Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth, to see how that may impact these picks as the day progresses. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s lineup is by heading to our MLB starting lineups page.

We have 12 games on the MLB schedule for 5/19. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Monday slate.

First… Sign Up to Make MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks

If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog Fantasy promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1,000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for MLB matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.

I’ll be leaning heavily on our projections and our fantasy pick’em tool for making these Underdog picks today. Be sure to check out the tool to look for even more edges.

Underdog Fantasy Top MLB Picks for 5/19

Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top MLB picks on Underdog for 5/19 at a glance:

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Shohei Ohtani Lower Than 0.5 Walks

Ohtani is projected by us to record 0.45 Walks, just below the 0.5 mark. Our simulations reveal a 4.2% edge and a 58.2% probability of success.

Based on these figures, choosing less than 0.5 Walks for Ohtani tonight seems like a solid decision.

Brandon Pfaadt Higher Than 5.5 Hits Allowed

Pfaadt is projected by us to allow 6.26 Hits, exceeding the 5.5 benchmark. Our simulations indicate a 3.5% edge and a 55.2% probability of success.

Given these projections, selecting more than 5.5 Hits Allowed for Pfaadt tonight is a +EV decision. The data supports an outlook of increased action, aligning well with our expectations and making this a favorable pick for the game.

Phillies vs. Rockies MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Phillies vs. Rockies MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Kyle Freeland Lower Than 16.5 Outs

Freeland is projected by us to achieve 15.72 Outs, which is under the 16.5 mark. Our simulations show a 3.9% edge and a 61.7% probability of success.

Based on these numbers, selecting less than 16.5 Outs for Freeland tonight is a solid pick. The projections suggest he may not last long in his matchup vs. the Phillies.

Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Jbails26
Justin Bailey (Jbails26)

Justin Bailey (aka jbails26) is the Lead Editor for RotoGrinders and FantasyLabs. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and specializes in small-field NFL and PGA contests (but still dabbles in MME). Justin qualified for the DraftKings Fantasy Golf World Championship in 2023. Follow Justin on Twitter – @justinbailey32