MLB Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Wednesday (4/16)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our MLB DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s MLB slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Don’t forget to check out our MLB weather page, which is curated by our Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth, to see how that may impact these picks as the day progresses. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s lineup is by heading to our MLB starting lineups page.
We have 15 games on the MLB schedule for 4/16. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Wednesday slate.
First… Sign Up to Make MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1,000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for MLB matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll be leaning heavily on our projections and our fantasy pick’em tool for making these Underdog picks today. Be sure to check out the tool to look for even more edges.
Underdog Fantasy Top MLB Picks for 4/16
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top MLB picks on Underdog for 4/16 at a glance:
- Nick Pivetta Higher/Lower Than 17.5 Outs
- Dean Kremer Higher/Lower Than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
- Steven Matz Higher/Lower Than 3.5 Hits Allowed
Cubs vs. Padres MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Cubs vs. Padres MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Nick Pivetta Lower Than 17.5 Outs
Pivetta is projected by us to get 14.37 outs, noticeably lower than the 17.5 mark. With our simulations indicating a 5.7% edge, this selection has a 52.7% win probability.
The win probability is on the lower side, but that’s because this lower than selection comes with a 1.23x multiplier on it. Our sims still show this is +EV over the long run.
Guardians vs. Orioles MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Guardians vs. Orioles MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Dean Kremer Lower Than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Kremer is projected by us to achieve fewer than 4.5 pitcher strikeouts, making this option attractive. The simulations reveal a 5.6% edge and a 56.3% chance of success.
Underdog’s projection is closely in line with ours, but since there is a 1.14x multiplier on this, we favor lower than in this spot.
Astros vs. Cardinals MLB Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Astros vs. Cardinals MLB Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Steven Matz Higher Than 3.5 Hits Allowed
Matz is projected by us to allow 5.79 hits, which comfortably surpasses the 3.5 mark. With our simulations indicating a 5.5% edge, this selection boasts a 70.5% probability of winning.
Based on these figures, choosing higher than 3.5 hits allowed for Matz tonight appears promising.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.
Image Credit: Imagn