NBA Grind Down: Friday, April 11th - Page 2

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Detroit at Chicago

Detroit

Games like this one frustrate me, because you have two opposite styles and one is bound to win out but that usually just leads to a blowout situation. The Pistons are flat out bad right now and will likely be without both Josh Smith and Will Bynum so the Vegas line seems to be a pretty fair expectation of how this one will play out. CHI wants to play an incredibly slow pace and every player on Detroit wants to shoot at the first glimpse of the rim. Should be interesting.

Chicago

On the one hand, you look at the chart for the Bulls matchups tonight and you get all tingly seeing so much green and blue. On the other hand you remember it’s the Bulls and it doesn’t matter if the Harlem Globetrotters were in town, they’re not changing their pace of play. The one reliable guy here though, as always, is Joakim Noah. Coming off another triple-double, Noah will be able to feast on the immature Drummond. The Pistons also play horrible off-ball defense so Noah should be able to easily rack up assists.

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Philadelphia at Memphis

Philadelphia

This is Part 2 of “teams with wildly differing paces” after the Bulls/Pistons contest directly above. The Sixers are 1st in the NBA in PACE but somehow dead last in Team Offense Rating. The fact that they’ve managed to do that is downright impressive(ly bad). Tonight they get Memphis, in Memphis, as 15 point underdogs. I’d say best thing you’re hoping for here is a complete annihilation where Brett Brown keeps guys like MCW on the court against the Memphis backups and Tony Wroten gets some added run.

Memphis

I love targeting the Sixers defense as much as the next guy but the blowout concern here really worries me. On the one hand, it’s a must win game for Memphis who just saw SA hand Dallas a loss on Thursday and could make a big move with a W. But on the other hand, you have to wonder if guys like Gasol will stay on the court when this one gets ugly. My guess is no and for that reason, you should probably just stick to Memphis guys in tournaments tonight.

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Houston at Minnesota

Houston

Houston should be without Harden and Dwight tonight, leaving the majority of their scoring available in a game with a huge O/U and close spread. Gear up because this is going to be a key game to target. Both teams are banged up so you’ll be able to find extreme values here. Both teams also push the tempo so targeting the few healthy studs is also going to be a smart move.

Minnesota

Much like the Rockets, the Wolves are banged up and in a terrific matchup tonight. Value is bountiful here with Martin and Pekovic doubtful and Barea questionable. Love was upgraded to probable and is likely the top high dollar play of the night against HOU’s defense. Overall, you can safely use almost any starter in these games. The one guy I’d avoid is Dante Cunningham, purely because I’m not a huge fan of how he’s being allowed to play after that whole terroristic threats arrest.

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New Orleans at Oklahoma City

New Orleans

Nothing like being 15.5 point underdogs to really inspire daily fantasy confidence. I fully expect this game to go as the line projects with NO shutting down Gordon and Davis for the season. The only good news is that minutes open up for guys like Miller, Aminu, Babbitt and Morrow with Stiemsma, Withey and Ajinca (who got a DNP-CD last game) seeing a boost as well. They’re short handed as a whole and even if this turns ugly the minutes should still be there for some of the bench guys playing more pronounced roles.

Oklahoma City

The Thunder play tonight and then are off until Sunday’s tilt with Indy so don’t expect Westbrook to sit this one out. I’d imagine KD and Russ do their damage in the early going before finding a nice comfortable seat on the bench for most of the 4th quarter, but if somehow the Pelicans do stay in it, both should be able to post huge stat lines. Still, I’m avoiding those high dollar guys because of the blowout potential.

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Cleveland at Milwaukee

Cleveland

The Cavs smacked the Pistons on Wednesday but my boy Kyrie really screwed me good, destroying my best chance at taking down a GPP. Tonight he’ll get the Bucks and their joke of a team, against whom Irving has averaged 46 FPPG this season. I love how close the spread is here for targeting Cavs against the Bucks defense and the 206 O/U is pretty tasty as well.

Milwaukee

The Bucks might be a disaster but they can be a lot of fun for daily fantasy purposes. Brandon Knight is fresh off a 47 FP effort vs. IND, marking the second time this season he torched the league’s best defense, and lands tonight against a backcourt D that is FAR from good. Jeff Adrien has 40+ FP in 3 consecutive games and Zaza Pachulia has right around 30 in 3 of his last 4. There’s value to be had here and it’s a good matchup, so feel free to fire away on a couple Bucks tonight.

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