NBA Grind Down: Saturday, February 28th - Page Two

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San Antonio at Phoenix – 9:00 PM EST

  • Vegas LinePhoenix -1, 208 Over/Under
  • San Antonio Proj. StartersParker-Green-Leonard-Duncan-Baynes
  • Phoenix Proj. StartersBledsoe-Knight-Tucker-Morris-Len
San Antonio Phoenix
Vegas Total 208 Vegas Total 208
Vegas Sprd 1.0 Vegas Sprd -1.0
Team Proj. 103.50 Team Proj. 104.50
Team Pace 95.51 Team Pace 99.36
Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters
DvP Rks PG SG SF PF C DvP Rks PG SG SF PF C
Proj Starter Tony Parker Danny Green Kawhi Leonard Tim Duncan Aron Baynes Proj Starter Eric Bledsoe Brandon Knight P.J. Tucker Markieff Morris Alex Len
Opp. Season 19 23 26 8 20 Opp. Season 11 1 1 22 18
Opp. Last 7 Opp. Last 7 17 27 12 11 6


San Antonio

Nobody expected the Spurs to drop a fifth straight game on Friday night, and they were able to pull out a win against Sacramento. San Antonio is hanging on to the seventh seed right now, but they have three teams within four games of them (Phoenix being one of those teams). The Suns play at a much faster pace than the Spurs, but the Spurs have been able to slow it down in each of the first two meetings (under 200 total both games).

Elite Plays

Gregg Popovich makes it hard to recommend any elite plays from the Spurs.

Secondary Plays

Kawhi Leonard – Leonard and Popovich seem to be back on the same page, and Leonard has put together two good games in a row. Leonard is a guy that can fill up the stat sheet, and it gives him a ton of upside in a matchup like this. Leonard is the one Spur I can trust, and I would consider him in play in all formats tonight.

Phoenix

Phoenix is coming off a big win Thursday night against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Phoenix is one game behind the Thunder for the eighth seed, and only 4.5 games behind the Spurs for the seventh seed. This is a big home game for the Suns, and currently has the highest total on the night.

Elite Plays

Eric Bledsoe – Since the trades of Thomas and Dragic, Bledsoe is averaging just over 40 fantasy points per game. Bledsoe has seen a slight bump in usage, but has seen a much higher average in minutes. The Spurs have really struggled guarding opposing guards lately, and Bledsoe playing well, will be key to the Suns beating the Spurs.

Secondary Plays

Alex Len – The Suns have unleashed Alex Len, and he is playing very well with the uptick in minutes. He’s played at least 30 minutes in four of his last five games, and was in foul trouble against Denver in the game he didn’t. Len has gone for at least 30 fantasy points in three of his last five games. I think Len will fly under the radar tonight, and be a lower owned center in GPPs.


Milwaukee at Utah – 9:00 PM EST

  • Vegas LineUtah -3, 186 Over/Under
  • Milwaukee Proj. StartersCarter-Williams-Middleton-Antetokounmpo-Ilyasova-Pachulia
  • Utah Proj. StartersExum-Ingles-Hayward-Favors-Gobert
Milwaukee Utah
Vegas Total 186 Vegas Total 186
Vegas Sprd 3.00 Vegas Sprd -3.00
Team Proj. 91.5 Team Proj. 94.5
Team Pace 96.37 Team Pace 92.84
Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters
DvP Rks PG SG SF PF C DvP Rks PG SG SF PF C
Proj Starter Michael Carter-Williams Khris Middleton Giannis Antetokounmpo Ersan Ilyasova Zaza Pachulia Proj Starter Dante Exum Joe Ingles Gordon Hayward Derrick Favors Rudy Gobert
Opp. Season 8 17 10 14 1 Opp. Season 1 12 21 11 21
Opp. Last 7 6 5 14 20 1 Opp. Last 7 9 23 3 23 11


Milwaukee

Milwaukee will be traveling to Utah for tonight’s game. This game is sitting at a 185.5 total, which is eight points lower than any other game. Utah is the second slowest team as far as pace goes, and has only allowed over 100 points once out of the last ten games. MCW is still priced too high for the minutes he’s playing, and I just can’t see spending up for him until we see an increase in minutes.

Elite Plays

None.

Secondary Plays

Khris Middleton – Middleton was pretty disappointing last night, but we have to have a short memory for DFS. Middleton hasn’t shown much upside lately, but he’s a consistent guy at a position that is tough to fill. His price across the industry doesn’t put him in the value area, but he has hit 27+ fantasy points in five of his last seven games.

Ersan Ilyasova – Ilyasova has quietly posted double-doubles in two of his last three games. He entered the starting lineup against Chicago on the 23rd, and it looks like he earned some extra playing time. It’s tough to predict the Bucks rotations, so I still wouldn’t trust Ilyasova in my cash game lineups.

Utah

Like I mentioned above, Utah plays at a very slow pace, and it’s tough to target a lot of players from this game. Since the trade on Kanter, it seems like Utah wants to see what they have in Rudy Gobert. Utah is all but out of the playoff picture; they are playing for chemistry, and getting ready to bounce back next season.

Elite Plays

Derrick Favors – Favors has been playing very well this season, and doesn’t seem to be slowing down in the second half of the season. He has at least 30 fantasy points in ten of his last twelve games, and has a solid floor for cash games. He’s a tough GPP play because his upside seems limited with a solid center next to him, and he’s only topped 40 twice in ten games.

Rudy Gobert – Gobert has really benefited from the trade of Kanter, and has played at least 30 minutes in three straight games. He’s posted at least 30 fantasy points in each of those three games. There’s no question Gobert is going to play a ton of minutes for the rest of the season, and is a very solid cash game center. Milwaukee’s front court is very limited these days, and I don’t see anyone that can match up well with Gobert.

Secondary Plays

None.


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About the Author

  • Stephen Young (stevietpfl)

  • The long-time host of the popular Morning Grind, Stephen Young, aka stevietpfl is also one of the top NASCAR analysts in the industry. The RotoGrinders lead NASCAR analyst is a multiple time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writer Association Racing Writer of the Year. Stevie is also a top baseball mind who excels in multiple sports in DFS. He has qualified for multiple live finals including a 3rd place finish at the 2015 FantasyAces Basketball Championship.

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Comments

  • aBBaZaBBa420

    Any thoughts on the Greek Alphabet?

  • aBBaZaBBa420

    Lol, my bad I meant Giannis Antesomethingorother

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

    • 925

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 FanDuel MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    @aBBaZaBBa420 said...

    Any thoughts on the Greek Alphabet?

    He hasn’t hit value in 6 straight games, and is in a very slow paced game. He has around a 25 point floor, but his upside has been very limited lately.

  • dethdealers

    stevie, am I crazy for trying g green in a gpp lu tonite?

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

    • 925

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 FanDuel MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    @dethdealers said...

    stevie, am I crazy for trying g green in a gpp lu tonite?

    Very risky for sure, he’s just not getting enough minutes for me to take a chance on him. I would take a shot on Otto Porter or James Johnson before Green.

  • Ericvincentt

    Thoughts on Lou Williams? Has he lost that GPP appeal, where he could go off on any given day?

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

    • 925

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 FanDuel MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    Lou is a streaky shooter, and if he gets hot will continue to shoot the ball. So on a short slate like tonight, I don’t mind him at all for tournaments.

  • plferren

    stevie…i REALLY liked the fact that you noted if the play was for gpp or cash! great job. I like the new daily cheat sheet as well for differentiating between the 2. Hopefully the grind down can be just as specific moving forward.

  • jay_7523

    As a Celtic fan, it says a lot about Rondo when I even wonder if he’s completely lost his mind. I’m tempted to put one lineup with him in it since he’s cheap and has potential for big numbers but my God has he been bad.

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