NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Friday (12/15)

What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Joel Embiid, Kevin Durant, and Daniel Gafford? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Friday, December 15, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Friday! This evening’s NBA slate features eight games, headlined by an ESPN double-header to get the weekend started on a high note! The double-header will begin with LeBron James and the Lakers visiting Victor Wembanyma and the Spurs at 7:30 p.m. ET, followed by a matchup between the Knicks and Suns at 10:00 p.m. ET to conclude the night’s action.
Below, we take a look at three player prop leans worth considering for December 15, 2023!
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NBA Player Props Today – Friday, December 15, 2023
- Joel Embiid Over/Under 34.5 Points
- Kevin Durant Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds
- Daniel Gafford Over/Under 10.5 Points
Joel Embiid Over/Under 34.5 Points
Is there a player in the NBA that stat-pads against inferior opponents more successfully than Joel Embiid? In 10 games against teams with a below .500 record this season, Embiid is averaging 37.3 points per game. He has scored at least 35 points five times in those games and has only one game with fewer than 32 points – a night in which he still took 22 shot attempts, but made only eight field goals. Embiid had 41 points against the Pistons on Wednesday and is well-positioned for another dominant showing this evening. Detroit ranks 26th in defensive efficiency, 20th in opponent free throw attempts per game, and has allowed the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the paint during the last month of action. Embiid should have every opportunity to get the job done here to begin the weekend.
- PICK: Joel Embiid OVER 34.5 Points (-110), DraftKings
Kevin Durant Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds
Kevin Durant is averaging 6.5 rebounds per game this season, but his opportunities on the glass have been diminishing in recent weeks. Since November 29, Durant is averaging only 4.6 rebounds on 7.4 rebound chances per contest. Playing alongside Bradley Beal and Devin Booker on Wednesday, Durant had only seven rebound chances, which is not enough volume for him to consistently convert six or more actual rebounds. At plus money, this is great value against a New York team that is among the best in the league on the glass.
- PICK: Durant UNDER 5.5 Rebounds (+116), FanDuel
Daniel Gafford Over/Under 10.5 Points
Daniel Gafford is averaging only 10.1 points per game for the season, but his offensive contributions have slowly been rising throughout the course of the year – averaging 8.0 points in October, 9.5 points in November, and 13.0 points in four games to begin December. Tonight, he has an extremely favorable matchup against a Pacers team that ranks 28th in defensive efficiency and 1st in pace across the last month of action. During that stretch, Indiana has allowed the 4th-most field goal attempts per game in the restricted area, which is where Gafford attempts nearly all of his shots. This is a good spot to trust the big man in the middle for Washington.
- PICK: Gafford OVER 10.5 Points (-110), BetMGM
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NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 35-18-2
Rebounds: 10-18
Assists: 7-11-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 6-10
Points + Rebounds: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-2
Three-Pointers Made: 9-3
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 76-62-5 (55.1%)
Image Credit: Getty Images