NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Monday (3/18)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Kristaps Porzingis, Jaylen Brown, and Bam Adebayo? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Monday, March 18, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Monday! The new week of NBA action begins with an exciting 8-game slate, including a pair of contests on national television. ESPN’s doubleheader will feature the Heat against the 76ers at 7:30 PM ET, followed by the Knicks against the Warriors at 10:00 PM ET.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Monday, March 18!
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NBA Player Props Today – Monday, March 18, 2024
- Kristaps Porzingis Over/Under 20.5 Points
- Jaylen Brown Over/Under 26.5 Points
- Bam Adebayo Over/Under 19.5 Points
Kristaps Porzingis Over/Under 20.5 Points
Neither Jrue Holiday or Al Horford will suit up for the Celtics this evening, but that still doesn’t justify this market number being so high for Porzingis. This season, Porzingis has only scored 20+ points in 2 of 8 games with Horford inactive and only 2 of 4 games with Holiday inactive. The Pistons have done a reasonably good job defending opposing centers of late, allowing more than 20 points only once to the position in March. The under is a worthwhile risk.
- PICK: Porzingis UNDER 20.5 Points (-115), BetMGM
Jaylen Brown Over/Under 26.5 Points
Holiday and Horford have already been ruled out, as noted above, but that still doesn’t justify a market number this high for Brown. In 6 games without Holiday this season, Brown has only 1 game with 25+ points. In 9 games without Horford, Brown has scored more than 25 points only 3 times. The Pistons have been a dream matchup for opposing guards of late, but there is a real risk of a blowout here, which further sours the outlook for Brown. The math favors the under.
- PICK: Brown UNDER 26.5 Points (-120), FanDuel
Bam Adebayo Over/Under 19.5 Points
Since the All-Star Break, the 76ers have been one of the best teams in the NBA defending the paint, allowing the 3rd-fewest shot attempts from that area of the floor and the 5th-lowest success rate on such attempts. Across the last 30 days, Adebayo is averaging 14.5 field goal attempts per game, over half of which are coming from the paint. The last opposing center to score more than 19 points against the 76ers was Kristaps Porzingis on February 27th. Adebayo could be in for a tough night on the offensive end of the floor, in what is an underrated difficult matchup.
- PICK: Adebayo UNDER 19.5 Points (-112), FanDuel
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 94-83-3
Rebounds: 32-30-2
Assists: 21-20-3
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 12-15
Points + Rebounds: 10-1
Points + Assists: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-4
Three-Pointers Made: 18-18
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 2-3
Combined Record: 198-175-9 (53.1%)
Image Credit: Getty Images